Congress

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts) Tue Oct 30, 2018, 06:05 PM Oct 2018

2018 US Senate Election Prediction- Based on recent polls- Democrats will end up losing 2 seats.

Democrats pick up AZ but lose ND,MO,and IN.
If upcoming polls in NV shows Rosen-D leading Heller-R, NV will be the 2nd Republican held seat Democrats pick up.
If Democrats have a good night next week. They will narrowly win MO and IN. Democrats need to eke out a win in ND,TN,or TX.
Democrats will hold onto FL,MT,WV,MI,WI,OH,and PA.

9 replies

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2018 US Senate Election Prediction- Based on recent polls- Democrats will end up losing 2 seats. (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Oct 2018 OP

Which polls? The Velveteen Ocelot Oct 2018 #1

Real Clear Politics Average Polls. nkpolitics1212 Oct 2018 #5

As long as we get one House of Congress, I'm going to be happier than I am now. maxsolomon Oct 2018 #2

Yup. Winning the Senate in this cycle was always a pipe dream. Too many seats to defend. bearsfootball516 Oct 2018 #4

And Impeach him while they're at it. maxsolomon Oct 2018 #6

It is playing to an inside straight. We basically have to win 7 tossups. Funtatlaguy Oct 2018 #9

... Scurrilous Oct 2018 #3

As always, turnout will be key, hispanics and educated white women beachbum bob Oct 2018 #7

I think we take the senate vercetti2021 Oct 2018 #8

The Velveteen Ocelot

(115,714 posts)

1. Which polls?

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Tue Oct 30, 2018, 06:06 PM

Oct 2018

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)

5. Real Clear Politics Average Polls.

Reply to The Velveteen Ocelot (Reply #1)

Tue Oct 30, 2018, 06:13 PM

Oct 2018

maxsolomon

(33,345 posts)

2. As long as we get one House of Congress, I'm going to be happier than I am now.

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Tue Oct 30, 2018, 06:09 PM

Oct 2018

Which is to say, I'm not happy in the least right now.

Trump will be in a world of hurt with Schiff in charge.

bearsfootball516

(6,377 posts)

4. Yup. Winning the Senate in this cycle was always a pipe dream. Too many seats to defend.

Reply to maxsolomon (Reply #2)

Tue Oct 30, 2018, 06:12 PM

Oct 2018

If we take the House, I'll be happy. Then unleash investigation hell on Republicans.

maxsolomon

(33,345 posts)

6. And Impeach him while they're at it.

Reply to bearsfootball516 (Reply #4)

Tue Oct 30, 2018, 06:17 PM

Oct 2018

put him on trial in the Senate. make Roberts do his job. hold their elderly Caucasian feet to the fire, even if they won't convict.

he deserves that stain on his bald orange head.

Funtatlaguy

(10,877 posts)

9. It is playing to an inside straight. We basically have to win 7 tossups.

Reply to bearsfootball516 (Reply #4)

Tue Oct 30, 2018, 07:24 PM

Oct 2018

Scurrilous

(38,687 posts)

3. ...

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Tue Oct 30, 2018, 06:11 PM

Oct 2018

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)

7. As always, turnout will be key, hispanics and educated white women

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Tue Oct 30, 2018, 06:26 PM

Oct 2018

specifically. My interpretation of all pollsters, they really are not placing sufficient value on the anger level that democrats have. I believe between that and some major surprises on Nov 6th, democrats take the senate and deliver a crushing blow to republicans in the House. One week till we see.

vercetti2021

(10,156 posts)

8. I think we take the senate

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Tue Oct 30, 2018, 06:35 PM

Oct 2018

Just my opinion. We hold all and take a few more. Including TX

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