Democrats guide to retaining control of the US House of Representatives in 2022.

[nkpolitics1212]

Democrats are going to lose-
1)AZ-2
2)AZ-6
3)CA-42
4)GA-7
5)IA-3
6)ME-2
7)MI-7
8)MI-11
9)NH-1
10)NJ-7
11)NC-11
12)OH-6
13)OH-9
14)PA-8
15)PA-17
16)TN-5
17)VA-2
18)WI-3
Democrats are going to gain
17)CA-22
16)CA-27
15)CA-45
14)CO-8
13)FL-26
12)FL-27
11)IL-13
10)MI-3
9)NM-2
8)NY-1
7)NY-11
6)NY-22
5)OR-6
4)TX-35

[FreepFryer]

1. Thanks for this! how wide a margin (if any) would that preserve?

[nkpolitics1212]

2. Democrats will have a net loss of 4 US House seats.

Democrats will end up 218 seats.

[live love laugh]

16. How do you know?

[Garibaldista]

3. "Lose" as in flipped Blue to Red? ...

... OH-6 is already Republican, no?

[nkpolitics1212]

6. The new OH-6 includes Tim Ryan's voters from the old OH-13.

Ryan-D is running for the US Senate but his voters were placed in the OH-6(currently held by Bill Johnson-R)
Other districts that are in that similar scenario-
NC-11(Kathy Manning-D is forced to run against Virginia Foxx in a Republican leaning district.)
US House Districts that has 2 Democrats competing each other in the same district.
CA-42(Roybal Allard-D and Lowenthal-D will be replaced by a Democrat- Christina or Robert Garcia-D)
GA-7(Lucy McBath-D or Carolyn Bourdeaux-D)
MI-11(Andy Levin-D or Haley Stevens-D)
PA-17?(Mike Doyle-D and Conor Lamb-D will be replaced by a Democrat or voters in Conor Lamb’s district will be placed in PA-16(Mike Kelly-R).(R vs D) similar to OH-6.

[James48]

4. I don't think this is accurate.

Michigan 7 is going to stay Dem.

Yes, it now is going to lean (R), but Slotkin has done a very, very good job of communication with many in the district, and I’m pretty certain she will be able to win.

[nkpolitics1212]

7. Democratic incumbent that I listed as losing but could win are in-

IA-3(Axne-D)
MI-7(Slotkin-D)
NJ-7(Malinowski-D)
OH-9(Kaptur-D)
VA-2(Luria-D)
OPEN Democratic held US House seats
AZ-6(Kirkpatrick-D)
WI-3(Kind-D)

Democratic held US House Districts that are +5R or greater.
AZ-2(O’Halleran-D)
ME-2(Golden-D)
NH-1(Pappas-D)
PA-8(Cartwright-D)

Democratic held US House Districts that will go Republican-
TN-5(OPEN Cooper-D)

[live love laugh]

5. How do you know?

[moose65]

14. The OP doesn't know

Just speculating, as usual. This poster posts multiple times a day, often with contradictory information in the posts.

[live love laugh]

15. Thanks. It was a rhetorical question.

[mwooldri]

8. NC Supremes tossed out the redistricting maps.

So too soon to say if there will be D losses in NC. Yet.

[nkpolitics1212]

9. Kathy Manning either keeps her district or defeats Virginia Foxx- the female Jesse Helms.

Both are positive scenarios.

[Clearheadsam]

10. Florida 27th

I haven’t seen a viable Democrat enter that race yet to challenge the Republican incumbent who flip that seat in 2020 by 10 thousand votes 50-48.

[wnylib]

11. The NY redistricting map has the state's

legislative approval but will certainly be challenged in court by Republicans who are howling that it is unfair.

[70sEraVet]

12. But there are wild cards in the mix, aren't there?

I mean, the 'as yet, unforeseen'?
For instance, bombshells coming out of the J/6 Committee, that would lead to indictments of sitting Repub house members.
Then there's always Matt Gaetz's district!

[70sEraVet]

13. Makes me sick what they did to my old district in Nashville.