Damn......how good of a poll is AARP??? it shows both Democrats losing with the 50+ group.

[a kennedy]

A poll released Thursday found voters 50 and older are driving support for the Republican candidates in Wisconsin's high-profile races for governor and U.S. Senate.

The poll, commissioned by AARP Wisconsin, surveyed voters of all ages, although a disproportionately large share of the respondents were 50 and older.

In the governor's race, Republican challenger Tim Michels led Democratic Gov. Tony Evers 50 percent to 47 percent. In the U.S. Senate race, GOP Sen. Ron Johnson led Democratic challenger Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes 51 percent to 46 percent.

The group, which advocates for older Americans, found support for the GOP candidates was stronger among those 50 and older.

https://www.wxow.com/townnews/politics/new-aarp-poll-michels-johnson-leading-with-support-from-voters-50/article_2b171541-fef3-5795-8491-2839a0099708.html

[XanaDUer2]

1. Social Security?

Dumbasses

[LakeArenal]

2. I quit them for their continual begging for money.

I don’t think they are impartial at all.

[TheRealNorth]

3. Don't know how good of a poll it is....

But that result is not surprising to me. Most of the family members I have in WI that are 50+ either racist Trumpanzees or bigot-friendly independents.

[live love laugh]

14. Used to live there. Full of bigotry.

[JT45242]

4. Wouldn't trust it

The sampling and wording of AARP likely are slanted pro R.

Plus I doubt that only 25 percent of independent voters thing abortion is an important issue.

Plus large, 4.4 percent margin of error.

[JohnSJ]

5. It is Wisconsin, what do you expect. This is why the younger people MUST turn out to vote

there

[Meadowoak]

6. Who even has a landline anymore?

[ret5hd]

7. AARP members!

[Genki Hikari]

8. Please stop with this long-debunked canard

No reputable polling firm relies on landlines alone anymore, and this poll is no different:

AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward & Impact Research to conduct a survey. The firms interviewed 1,399 likely Wisconsin voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 500 likely voters, with an oversample of 550 likely voters age 50 and older and an additional oversample of 349 Black likely voters age 50 and older, between September 18-25, 2022. The interviews were conducted via landline (30%), cellphone (35%), and SMS-to-web (35%). The margin of sampling error for the 500 statewide sample is ±4.4%; for the 855 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.4%; for the 400 total sample of Black voters 50+ is ±4.9%.

Due to rounding, answer choices may not always add up to 100%. Data is specified in the report that it is among either the 18+ or 50+ universe. Partisan crosstabs in this report represent how people identify their partisan affiliation when asked, not how they are modeled on the voter file.

Link:

https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2022/aarp-wisconsin-2022-elections-voter-survey.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00550.017.pdf

Note that going to the link will download a PDF file that has not only the methodology, but also all of the questions and responses.

[sybylla]

15. Agreed. But...

who answers their phone for someone they don't know anymore? Someone who isn't in their contact list?

Doesn't that make it hard for any pollster to claim they got a clean "random" sample set anymore?

I will definitely download the pdf. Thanks for sharing.

[ampm]

9. Nevada checking in

Yup just showing who they are finally. I read their articles and I was watching how they are leaning more right. Their more about products that don't help seniors

[MichMan]

10. Probably not happy seeing their retirement accounts plummeting while prices keep rising

The party in power is going to get blamed. Just how it is.

[kacekwl]

11. AARP not doing their job

advocating for seniors apparently. Republicans bad for seniors is the message they should be sending.

[ColinC]

12. I imagine far more than 51% of women will turnout

Thinking closer to 55%. I also expect there to be slightly fewer whites than this poll shows, and likely a lot more young voters. With those adjustments, Wisconsin could easily go Dem. It's all about GOTV

[G2theD]

17. I feel helpless

I am 67 and don’t want anyone screwing with social security or medicare. But I only have one vote, regardless what the MAGA freaks think.

I’m expecting women to turn out at a rate between 60-70% of eligible women voters. I expect most women and their male allies to vote for the referendum to nullify the 1849 abortion laws in Wisconsin which doesn’t allow for rape and incest exceptions. Of course this is a non-binding referendum so our republican legislature will reject it no matter the outcome.

Madison and Milwaukee are very liberal. The problem is with all the Trump sycophants up north. We can defeat them but only if we can get all good people to vote. I’m right on the border of pessimist and optimist.

[ColinC]

19. If you can help get liberals to turnout. Anywhere. November 8 will be a great night in Wisconsin

If you can volunteer to knock on doors for a local campaign, that is a great start. If you can't do that, perhaps you can make phone calls instead. If you can't do either of those things, just making sure that every single liberal you know doesn't forget to vote, could do the trick. Sometimes you'll find that your most reliable voting friend might still forget, and you could be the one to make sure they don't.

[G2theD]

20. Thanks.

I keep reminding the magats on Lies Antisocial to remember to vote on November 9th.

[FBaggins]

13. AARP isn't the pollster - just the group that paid for the poll

There's nothing special about Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research, but better polling (e.g., PPP) in recent days shows a similar age disparity in support

[sybylla]

16. Living in a rural county with a high 50+ population, this actually looks pretty good.

I wish my county were only 50% red. #SupremacyRUs

As almost always happens, the urban areas will have to pull through for us.

[G2theD]

21. Most older people have been through numerous dowturns and recessions.

They understand it always bounced back.

My 401k is down 27% but I try not to think about it. I know it’s just temporary.

Just don’t take any money out now unless you absolutely have no options.

I just hope the younger people understand these things.

[budkin]

22. Barnes is getting hammered with negative ads

He needs to fight back.

[jednick]

23. Ridiculously inept campaign

I haven't signed in to DU in a long time, and returned to see if anyone was commenting about this. It doesn't look like it. He started the "I know what milk costs, and my mom was a teacher and my dad worked third shift" routine in MAY. Enough, already! This is even worse than Feingold's campaign six years ago, and I thought that one was awful. Hit Johnson on Social Security and Medicare. There's twelve years of idiotic remarks they can use. He's going nowhere.

[budkin]

24. So bad.

Imagine losing to Ron Johnson at this point...