The Crowmentum is Real in CO-6

[TexasTowelie]

Okay, we did it.

We adjusted “The Big Line” to move Democrat Jason Crow ahead of Republican Rep. Mike Coffman in CO-6.

We’ve resisted making this move for a long time because we’ve been burned before by Coffman. At various points over the last decade we’ve thought that Coffman was in real trouble of losing re-election, only to see him miraculously emerge victorious in November. We weren’t looking to make that mistake again, and we’ve said as much in this space on multiple occasions since the 2016 election.

So what changed? Quite simply, it is impossible to ignore the many signs that Crow has gained the upper hand in this race. Crow isn’t just inching ahead of Coffman — he’s blasting forward in a district that Hillary Clinton carried by 9 points in 2016. Crow is the Road Runner to Coffman’s Wile E. Coyote, and the finish line is in sight.

We noted earlier this week that Crow was polling with an 11-point lead over Coffman in a survey conducted for the New York Times, the second public poll of 2018 to show Crow with a significant lead. Coffman has never trailed his Democratic opponent in any public poll since first winning election in CO-6 in 2008, and now it’s happened twice in the last six months. The prognosticators at 538.com now consider CO-6 to be a “Likely Dem” seat. Not just “Leaning Democrat,” but “Likely Dem!” To anyone who has paid any attention to Colorado politics in the last decade, this prediction is astounding.



Read more: https://www.coloradopols.com/diary/112719/the-crowmentum-is-real-in-co-6
From 538.com

[gtar100]

1. It would be awesome to get rid of Coffman.

Go Jason Crow!

[Hermit-The-Prog]

2. cheat factor

This paragraph:

We’ve resisted making this move for a long time because we’ve been burned before by Coffman. At various points over the last decade we’ve thought that Coffman was in real trouble of losing re-election, only to see him miraculously emerge victorious in November. We weren’t looking to make that mistake again, and we’ve said as much in this space on multiple occasions since the 2016 election.

tells me that they've taken the cheat factor into account -- previous cheat history, at least.

We need sufficient control to overcome the voter suppression disease that GOPers have spread.
Electronic cheats seem to be on the way out as more states are requiring a paper trail.

[mountain grammy]

3. We vote by mail here in Colorado

I believe we have one of the best systems in the country.. Coffman has his loyal base. This is a 50/50 district. I don’t live there but have done some campaigning for various Coffman opponents, but Coffman presses the flesh..people know him. It’s a tough one. Crow looks good.

[Hermit-The-Prog]

4. you give me hope

Thank you.