The Covid-19 Slump Has Arrived. But we're already botching the response.
Over a normal two-week period wed expect around half a million U.S. workers to file claims for unemployment insurance. Over the past two weeks weve seen almost 10 million filings. Were facing an incredible economic catastrophe.
The question is whether were ready to deal with this catastrophe. Alas, early indications are that we may be handling fast-moving economic disaster as badly as we handled the fast-moving pandemic thats causing it.
The key thing to realize is that we arent facing a conventional recession, at least so far. For now, most job losses are inevitable, indeed necessary: Theyre a result of social distancing to limit the spread of the coronavirus. That is, were going into the economic equivalent of a medically induced coma, in which some brain functions are temporarily shut down to give the patient a chance to heal.
This means that the principal job of economic policy right now isnt to provide stimulus, that is, to sustain employment and G.D.P. It is, instead, to provide life support to limit the hardship of Americans who have temporarily lost their incomes.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/02/opinion/coronavirus-economy-stimulus.html