Democrats can win these key states if they play it smart
Democrats have many avenues to reach 270 electoral votes in 2020, but most run through the upper Midwest and the Rust Belt. A new poll, part of the Blue Wall Voices Project, from the Cook Political Report and Kaiser Family Foundation, looks at voters in four key states: Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The results should leave Democrats modestly optimistic. There are three lessons to take away from the report.
Lesson 1: Democrats need to make the election about President Trump, especially his health-care and foreign-policy failures.
The best news is that Trump is by far the biggest motivator for Democrats, bigger than for Republicans. “Nearly three times as many voters offer responses related to defeating President Trump (21%) as offer responses related to reelecting him or not wanting a Democrat to be elected (8%),” the poll finds. “Defeating President Trump was offered as the top motivation to vote in 2020 by four in ten Democratic voters (39%) while responses related to reelecting President Trump/not wanting a Democrat were offered by 21% of Republican voters.” Defeating Trump is the top motivator for about one-fifth of independents.
Trump is really unpopular in these states, with 41 percent who approve of his performance and 59 percent who disapprove. “If we look at the strongest opinions, twice as many voters ‘strongly disapprove’ of the job President Trump is doing than ‘strongly approve’ (50% v. 25%).” Sixty-five percent of women and 64 percent of white college graduates disapprove of his performance.
It stands to reason that the more Trump tweets and talks and sucks up political oxygen, the better off Democrats may be. In terms of enthusiasm, Democrats run about 10 percentage points higher than Republicans in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and are about on par with Republicans in Minnesota.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/democrats-can-win-these-key-states-if-they-play-it-smart/ar-BBWqe1n?ocid=msn360
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