What Will It Take for Democrats to Flip the Senate in 2020?
'A new poll has ex-astronaut Mark Kelly well-positioned to unseat Sen. Martha McSally (R-Ariz.). How far-fetched is it to think Democrats could turn Congress most powerful chamber blue?
Mark Kelly, the fighter pilot-turned-astronaut and husband of retired congresswoman Gabby Giffords, announced in February that he is running to unseat Sen. Martha McSally (R-Ariz.) in 2020. His campaign has been doing quite well. In July, it announced that Kelly had raised $4.2 million in the second quarter, more than all but six presidential candidates. Kellys campaign manager called the haul a sonic boom. Get it?
On Tuesday, an Arizona poll showed Kelly leading McSally who lost her 2018 race against Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) but was appointed by the states Republican governor to fill the seat left vacant by John McCains death by a margin of 46 to 41 percent. If Kelly goes on to defeat McSally next November, Democrats will have flipped Arizonas two Senate seats in two scant years following over two decades of Republican control.
What about the rest of the United States?
Republicans currently hold a 53-47 advantage in the Senate. Thirty-four seats are up in 2020. Twenty-two of them are currently held by Republicans. On the surface, this seems like good news. Twenty-two chances to make up a three-seat disadvantage? And Democrats only have to defend 12 seats? Lets do this!'>>>
https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/democrats-senate-flip-2020-arizona-873917/?
Princetonian
(1,501 posts)The Democratic VP can break the tie.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)The problem is that the vast majority of the 22 seats Republicans will have to defend are in solid red states. Only three are deemed to be truly up for grabs: McSallys seat in Arizona, Cory Gardners seat in Colorado, and Susan Collins seat in Maine.
They fail to mention Daines seat in Montana, who will likely face popular former governor Brian Schweitzer. There are also former democratoc governors running in many red states that will will at worst force the repugs to spend more in those states and at best add substantially to democratoc pickups.
It isnt unlikely that the 3 states mentiomed here will be guaranteed pickups for democrats. Which means that they will likely be winning back the chamber if they also win the presidency.
leftieNanner
(15,179 posts)Whose seat is tenuous at best.
We will need to win four Republican held seats in addition to the White House in order to take back the Senate.
My fondest wish would be for Moscow Mitch to be defeated in Kentucky.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)A win there would be more a consultation prize than anything else.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)FakeNoose
(32,823 posts)But even if he manages to win again, he won't be Majority Leader if we can get enough BLUE wins next year. I believe Mitch would resign if he can't be the Majority Leader, he'll just leave the mopping up to somebody else.