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Art_from_Ark

(27,247 posts)
1. Considering we don't even know who the Republican nominee will be yet,
Fri Feb 17, 2012, 03:00 AM
Feb 2012

I wouldn't put too much faith in any prediction this far from the election.

msongs

(67,459 posts)
2. if he'd start acting like a liberal democrat maybe he could 400 electoral votes. the public is way
Fri Feb 17, 2012, 03:16 AM
Feb 2012

ahead of him on so many issues.

Yupster

(14,308 posts)
3. Not too comforting
Fri Feb 17, 2012, 03:29 AM
Feb 2012

Move the three states that they have him winning with less than 51 % to the other side and the Repubs get exactly 270.

To me it looks like there's the possibility of a a huge win with the economy improving.

Carnage251

(562 posts)
4. That's covered in the forth to last paragraph
Fri Feb 17, 2012, 04:14 AM
Feb 2012
This may be a conservative estimate for Obama, because January's economic indicators suggest that the states are likely to experience greater-than-average income growth in the first quarter. We will update our predictions accordingly when the actual data from the current year is available.

Carnage251

(562 posts)
6. Their model combines powerful scientific algorithms with both real-time and historical data sources.
Fri Feb 17, 2012, 04:25 AM
Feb 2012

Also it would of have correctly predicted the winner in 88 percent of the 500 individual state elections.

Lasher

(27,641 posts)
7. Election Projection says Obama would win against Romney, 332 to 206
Fri Feb 17, 2012, 04:41 AM
Feb 2012
http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/president12.php

They predict we'll barely retain control of the Senate with a 50/50 split and Vice President Biden casting the tie breaking vote.

Remember this is way early but I think these predictions are interesting.

n2doc

(47,953 posts)
9. I thought that too
Fri Feb 17, 2012, 12:54 PM
Feb 2012

It's confusing. What the article says is that Obama is expected to win, 303 to 235 for the repub. Not that there is a range.

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