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Purveyor

(29,876 posts)
Mon Feb 8, 2016, 06:15 PM Feb 2016

Here's What Executives Say About Possibility of U.S. Recession

Executives across corporate America are being asked for their views on whether a recession is in the offing.

Growth in the U.S. decelerated to a 0.7 percent annualized rate in the fourth quarter as companies contended with a slower global economy. The median probability for a U.S. recession in the next 12 months jumped to 19 percent in last month’s Bloomberg survey of economists, the highest since February 2013.

As stock and oil prices slide, executives are offering their perspectives on the economy in conversations with analysts and investors. These comments were collected by Bloomberg from earnings calls, meetings and conferences the past three weeks.

John Thain, chairman and chief executive officer, CIT Group Inc.: “Given the recent performance of the equity market and our stock price, the market seems to indicate a recession is imminent. I don’t see that. Low energy prices do not cause recessions. While the energy sector itself is weak, the U.S. economy is still growing." (Feb. 2)

Stephen Schwarzman, chairman and CEO, Blackstone Group LP: “While it’s always possible that a market correction becomes something more significant, we, at Blackstone, do not see a recession in the U.S. We do believe that global GDP growth is slowing, and we’ve seen a slowdown within certain sectors and regions in our global portfolio as a result." (Jan. 28)

more...

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-08/here-s-what-executives-say-about-possibility-of-u-s-recession

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Here's What Executives Say About Possibility of U.S. Recession (Original Post) Purveyor Feb 2016 OP
my household's small publishing company felt a recession in Nov and Dec truedelphi Feb 2016 #1
And another 6 trillion in global Wellstone ruled Feb 2016 #2
A correction was needed flamingdem Feb 2016 #3

truedelphi

(32,324 posts)
1. my household's small publishing company felt a recession in Nov and Dec
Mon Feb 8, 2016, 06:47 PM
Feb 2016

Income was off about 40%.

A lot of people who rely on our business are retirees who look to the stock market to see how well their investments will be doing.

And I guess that what they saw was not good.

Also experts did state that some 1.2 trillion bucks slipped out of the US economy over the beginning of the fourth quarter due to the lowering of oil prices.

 

Wellstone ruled

(34,661 posts)
2. And another 6 trillion in global
Mon Feb 8, 2016, 07:15 PM
Feb 2016

worth wiped out. Appears it was mostly derivatives used to float ETF's and leveraged funding for Oil.

flamingdem

(39,313 posts)
3. A correction was needed
Mon Feb 8, 2016, 11:27 PM
Feb 2016

but not too much please.

Aren't China's problems causing some concern about a recession?

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