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IDemo

(16,926 posts)
Mon Dec 8, 2014, 08:38 AM Dec 2014

Oil prices tumble further after Morgan Stanley cuts forecast

Source: CNBC

Oil prices fell to a five-year low on Monday, after Morgan Stanley cut its 2015 forecast for Brent crude, citing oversupply.

The bank said crude prices could average as little as $53 per barrel in 2015, although its base case scenario was for $70. This was down from an earlier estimate of $98.

"Without OPEC intervention, markets risk becoming unbalanced, with peak oversupply likely in the second quarter of 2015. Prices are set up to fall in the first half of 2015," said analysts Adam Longson and Elizabeth Volynsky in a report out late on Friday.

The price of crude has declined by around 40 percent since June, with Brent futures hitting $67.52 on Monday – its lowest level since October 2009.

Read more: http://www.cnbc.com/id/102247766

5 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Oil prices tumble further after Morgan Stanley cuts forecast (Original Post) IDemo Dec 2014 OP
Enjoy it while you can. louis-t Dec 2014 #1
These low gas/oil prices create a massive transfer of wealth from BP/Saudi Arabia to the average okaawhatever Dec 2014 #2
Damn...a real free market at work. dixiegrrrrl Dec 2014 #3
Are oil futures something to consider IDemo Dec 2014 #4
there is a large 'carrying cost' to oil futures quadrature Dec 2014 #5

louis-t

(23,295 posts)
1. Enjoy it while you can.
Mon Dec 8, 2014, 12:40 PM
Dec 2014

The big investors are panicking and fleeing, the banksters are saying "IT'S BOTTOMING OUT, DON'T LEAVE!1!1!1"
Citi was screaming with their hair on fire last week that $70 was the absolute bottom.

okaawhatever

(9,462 posts)
2. These low gas/oil prices create a massive transfer of wealth from BP/Saudi Arabia to the average
Mon Dec 8, 2014, 12:57 PM
Dec 2014

citizen. Enjoy folks....

dixiegrrrrl

(60,010 posts)
3. Damn...a real free market at work.
Mon Dec 8, 2014, 12:59 PM
Dec 2014

I nm confident that the banks will figure out a way to capture the market and raise prices, tho.
Might take them awhile, but they will manage.
Can't have any of that "surplus=lower prices" stuff going on, ya know.

Gallon of regular is 2.38 today in my lil town.

 

quadrature

(2,049 posts)
5. there is a large 'carrying cost' to oil futures
Mon Dec 8, 2014, 08:04 PM
Dec 2014

what you are buying is...
today's price, plus storage cost.

storage is not cheap
(or not usually cheap)

you have to pay to rent** storage facilities
(** that price gets built into the price of a call)
..........
with that said,
you might want to look at
a 'passive long' commodity fund


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