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Judi Lynn

(160,545 posts)
Mon Sep 29, 2014, 06:28 PM Sep 2014

Brazil's Rousseff extends lead over Silva in election poll

Source: Reuters

Brazil's Rousseff extends lead over Silva in election poll
Source: Reuters - Mon, 29 Sep 2014 21:00 GMT

By Anthony Boadle

BRASILIA, Sept 29 (Reuters) - President Dilma Rousseff is leading her closest rival Marina Silva by nine percentage points for a likely second-round runoff to Brazil's presidential election, a new opinion poll showed on Monday.
Rousseff would win the runoff with 47.7 percent of the votes against 38.7 percent for Silva, widening her lead from the one-point advantage she had in the previous survey by polling firm MDA last week.

The first round of Brazil's presidential election is on Sunday. If no candidate wins more than 50 percent of the valid votes, the election will be decided on Oct. 26 in a runoff between the top two vote-getters.
The election is being closely watched by investors who would like to see Silva, a popular environmentalist who has embraced pro-market policies, unseat leftist Rousseff and end 12 years of Workers' Party rule.

In a first round vote, Rousseff would take 40.4 percent of the votes and environmentalist Silva 25.2 percent, the MDA poll showed. That compares with 36 percent for Rousseff and 27 percent for Silva in the previous MDA poll. Support for centrist candidate Aecio Neves, the market favorite stuck in third place, has risen to 19.8 percent from 17.6 percent last week.

Read more: http://www.trust.org/item/20140929210053-a2q1b/

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Brazil's Rousseff extends lead over Silva in election poll (Original Post) Judi Lynn Sep 2014 OP
Good news! Warpy Sep 2014 #1
The race appears to be her or the Socialist Green Silva rpannier Sep 2014 #2
Silva is an Evangelical, yes??? blkmusclmachine Sep 2014 #3
I do not trust Silva. Dawson Leery Sep 2014 #4
Yes. MNBrewer Sep 2014 #8
Forbes: Meet The Multimillionaire Banking Heir Who Is Backing Brazil's Marina Silva Presidential Bid Judi Lynn Sep 2014 #5
Al Jazeera: Is Marina Silva the right choice for Brazil? Judi Lynn Sep 2014 #7
Yow. I gotta take some time to wrap my mind around this one... freshwest Sep 2014 #6
Rousseff Takes Lead in MDA Poll as Brazilian Vote Nears Judi Lynn Sep 2014 #9

Warpy

(111,277 posts)
1. Good news!
Mon Sep 29, 2014, 06:47 PM
Sep 2014

People have been criticizing her for things like the World Cup but they know she will be much better than anything they can expect the conservatives to supply.

rpannier

(24,330 posts)
2. The race appears to be her or the Socialist Green Silva
Mon Sep 29, 2014, 07:29 PM
Sep 2014

I have my bias against Silva because she's an evangelical who quotes scripture at campaign rallies
I've seen a few of these liberal evangelicals get into office and they shift pretty quickly
The behavior of the administration prior to and during the World Cup was reprehensible
But, if I were voting, I'd vote for the President

Judi Lynn

(160,545 posts)
5. Forbes: Meet The Multimillionaire Banking Heir Who Is Backing Brazil's Marina Silva Presidential Bid
Mon Sep 29, 2014, 10:21 PM
Sep 2014

8/27/2014 @ 12:36下午 7,765 views
Meet The Multimillionaire Banking Heir Who Is Backing Brazil's Marina Silva Presidential Bid

Brazil’s presidential elections were turned upside down two weeks ago when a fatal jet crash killed presidential candidate Eduardo Campos. Campos’ running mate Marina Silva replaced him on the ticket and is already leading in the polls. Investors from around the world are watching Silva, an environmental leader who placed third in the 2010 presidential election as a then Green Party (PV) candidate, with nearly 20% of the votes. (Silva has since left PV to found a new party, the “Sustainability Network,” but it failed to achieve the required number of signatures from new members and was ineligible to register with the Electoral Court.)

Last October, 56-year-old Silva was invited by Eduardo Campos to form a ticket to run for the presidency, and joined his Brazilian Socialist party (PSB) as Campos’ vice-president in its presidential bid. After his tragic death, Silva was the natural choice to replace him, though she has made it clear that as soon as her party gets legalized she will leave the PSB.

The simple fact that she could win the election has had a positive impact on the markets. The consensus is that anything is worth it to oust Rousseff and revive Brazil’s economy, which has been hit by slow growth and high inflation due to the left-leaning policies of Rousseff’s Workers’ Party government. Shares of the Bovespa rose to an 18-month high last week on increasing hopes of a victory for Silva or Aecio Neves, the main opposition candidate, both of whom say they would intervene less in the economy and be friendlier to business.

One of Silva’s biggest backers is banking heir and philanthropist Maria Alice Setubal, more commonly referred to as Neca, who is also acting as a campaign coordinator for the candidate. A member of one of Brazil’s most distinguished banking dynasties, Setubal is a shareholder of Sao Paulo-based conglomerate Itausa, which has interests in finance, real estate and a range of industries. Itausa also controls Itau Unibanco, the largest bank in the southern hemisphere with total assets of $500 billion.

More:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/andersonantunes/2014/08/27/meet-the-multi-millionaire-banking-heir-who-is-backing-brazils-marina-silva-presidential-bid/

Judi Lynn

(160,545 posts)
7. Al Jazeera: Is Marina Silva the right choice for Brazil?
Mon Sep 29, 2014, 10:36 PM
Sep 2014

Brazil's 'accidental' presidential candidate

Is Marina Silva the right choice for Brazil?

Last updated: 23 Sep 2014 06:45

~snip~

Different background


With her background being quite different from the regular ruling elite - a woman of African descent from Amazonia - she has been portrayed favourably by the international media both as a disruptive force and as a welcome departure from the usual suspectsrunning Brazil (Rousseff's workers' party has been in power for more than a decade). Silva has even been depicted as a kind of "green" heroine, all of a sudden popping up on the political field to save Brazil from corruption.

But not all disruption is good. The country's progressives and those who know Silva's past, and her political trajectory, see little to be thankful for should she become the president of Latin America's largest country.

In her early days, Silva worked on a number of projects with Chico Mendes, an environmental activist working to preserve the Amazonian forest. When Mendes was assassinated by a rancher in 1988, Silva appeared on the scene soon after as his "disciple". Her name often appeared with that of Mendes who had become an international martyr.

Yet Silva's environmentalism is questionable. During her time as the minister of environment, she was often criticised for her inability to implement programmes and to mediate effectively between competing interest groups.

Unable to resolve her disagreements with the government and political opponents, she resigned in 2008, after five years of serving in the ministry; an act of frustration which revealed her inability to form political alliances to implement her political agenda.

When Silva presented her proposed governing plan for her campaign, it looked like an improvisation that was hastily put together by combining various doctrines. She was even accused of plagiarism with parts of the doctrine directly taken from other texts.

More:
http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2014/09/brazil-accidental-presidential--201492211150907256.html

Judi Lynn

(160,545 posts)
9. Rousseff Takes Lead in MDA Poll as Brazilian Vote Nears
Tue Sep 30, 2014, 06:10 AM
Sep 2014

Rousseff Takes Lead in MDA Poll as Brazilian Vote Nears
By Raymond Colitt Sep 29, 2014 10:00 PM CT

Brazil’s President Dilma Rousseff has pulled out ahead and would win next month’s election against former Environment Minister Marina Silva in an MDA poll.

Rousseff has 47.7 percent support against 38.7 percent for Silva in a probable runoff election, according to the Sept. 27-28 poll published yesterday by the National Transport Confederation that has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.2 percentage points. Rousseff had 42 percent against Silva’s 41 percent in the previous poll, conducted Sept. 20-21.

While Silva initially captured support from voters dissatisfied with above-target inflation and a slowing economy, her challengers have attacked her proposals as contradictory and questioned her ability to form a majority in Congress. The Ibovespa plunged the most among major stock indexes yesterday and the real slumped to a 13-month low as Rousseff’s chance of winning a second four-year-term increased.

“Dilma’s the favorite again,” Andre Pereira Cesar, director of public policy and business strategy consulting company Prospectiva, said by telephone from Brasilia yesterday. “Marina has been unable to respond to criticism and will have to reshape her campaign.”

More:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-09-30/rousseff-takes-lead-in-mda-poll-as-brazilian-vote-nears.html

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