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highplainsdem

(49,041 posts)
Wed Oct 24, 2012, 05:55 PM Oct 2012

Obama up in Nevada, Senate race tied

Source: Public Policy Polling

PPP's newest Nevada poll finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 51/47, numbers exactly identical to what they were when we last polled the state two weeks ago.

Obama is already well on his way to winning Nevada based on early votes that have been cast in the week. Among those who say they've already voted he has a 61/39 advantage. Romney is up 51/46 with those planning to vote between now and election day.

The debates over the last couple weeks seem to have improved Obama's image in Nevada. 52% of voters approve of him now to 46% who disapprove, up from a 49/48 spread on our last poll. Nevadans think Obama won Monday's debate by a 50/38 margin. He has a 49/47 advantage over Romney in terms of who voters trust more about the economy and a 51/46 lead on foreign policy.

Obama's leading based on advantages of 69/28 with Hispanics, 82/12 with African Americans, 54/44 with women, and 58/39 with young voters. Romney's ahead with men (50/48), whites (57/42), and seniors (53/45). He also has a 53/44 advantage with independents but he'd probably need to take them by a wider margin than that to overcome the Democratic registration edge in the state.

-snip-

Read more: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-up-in-nevada-senate-race-tied.html



The Senate race there is tied, according to PPP, with Shelley Berkeley and Dean Heller each at 44%, and the Independent American Party candidate at 7%. This is a 3-point improvement for Berkeley from 2 weeks ago. PPP expects her to continue to gain because the majority of the voters who are still undecided in the Senate race are Democrats supporting President Obama.
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Obama up in Nevada, Senate race tied (Original Post) highplainsdem Oct 2012 OP
NPR is blah, blah, blabbing about Nevada in play adigal Oct 2012 #1
"Obama is already well on his way to winning Nevada based on early votes that have been cast" Liberal_in_LA Oct 2012 #2
A smart political friend who knows Nevada politics said Shelley will win kimbutgar Oct 2012 #3

kimbutgar

(21,195 posts)
3. A smart political friend who knows Nevada politics said Shelley will win
Wed Oct 24, 2012, 07:46 PM
Oct 2012

She predicted that Reid would win when it looked like angle was going to win in the tea party sweep of 2010.

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