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milestogo

(16,829 posts)
Tue Apr 28, 2020, 04:19 PM Apr 2020

Sweden says its coronavirus approach has worked. The numbers suggest a different story

Source: CNN

Sweden has been an outlier during the coronavirus outbreak. The country has not joined many of its European neighbors in imposing strict limits on citizens' lives, and images of people heading to work on busy streets, or chatting at cafes and bars have raised eyebrows.

Younger children have continued to go to school, although universities and schools for older students have switched to distance learning. Businesses -- from hair salons to restaurants -- have remained open, although people have been advised to work from home where possible.

On April 7, the government introduced a bill allowing it to act quickly and take decisions on temporary measures where needed. Care home visits were banned from April 1 and the Ministry of Health and Social Affairs asked people to refrain from non-essential travel, adding: "Keep your distance and take personal responsibility."

Among Nordic countries -- which share similar cultural, geographical and sociological attributes -- the contrast with Sweden is great. Finland declared a state of emergency, closed schools and banned gatherings of more than 10 people on March 16, restricted travel to and from its Uusimaa region on March 28 and closed restaurants, cafes and bars on April 1.

Read more: https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/28/europe/sweden-coronavirus-lockdown-strategy-intl/index.html



Sweden has a higher death rate than other nordic countries.
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Sweden says its coronavirus approach has worked. The numbers suggest a different story (Original Post) milestogo Apr 2020 OP
Ive been watching them. It does t look to me like it's very successful. captain queeg Apr 2020 #1
They appear to be successful because their hospitals aren't overwhelmed. But one reason for that pnwmom Apr 2020 #4
Yup. It is a horror show, harkening back to the days of Sweden's eugenics program. SunSeeker Apr 2020 #21
Define "very successful". SergeStorms Apr 2020 #12
Just reread my post, I meant to say "doesn't" captain queeg Apr 2020 #14
Gotcha! SergeStorms Apr 2020 #25
What is up with Sweden? forgotmylogin Apr 2020 #2
Was the higher death rate due to the virus infecting more of the elderly in nursing homes or was it cstanleytech Apr 2020 #3
Statistically, it might work. JustABozoOnThisBus Apr 2020 #5
What a bunch of bullshit DoBotherMe Apr 2020 #6
Are they willing to let it "wash" over the country and take the elderly and infirmed with it? Peregrine Took Apr 2020 #7
They apparently Rebl2 Apr 2020 #16
This is literally what they are doing, what Trump wanted here obamanut2012 Apr 2020 #23
Sweden has a higher death rate than several other nordic countries COMBINED AtheistCrusader Apr 2020 #8
I read Worldometer charts and noticed these numbers... BigmanPigman Apr 2020 #9
Why? No front-end mass testing rocktivity Apr 2020 #10
K & R N/T w0nderer Apr 2020 #11
These are death numbers per million from today Progressive dog Apr 2020 #13
The US presently has 58,365 deaths with a population of 331,002,651. 17.6 per 100,000. truthisfreedom Apr 2020 #17
Well, Certainly Better RobinA Apr 2020 #18
Check your math. LisaL Apr 2020 #20
We'll be number one soon, Progressive dog Apr 2020 #26
And in Sweden voting ........... turbinetree Apr 2020 #15
I think we will understand very well how Sweden Steelrolled Apr 2020 #19
Because Republicans are pointing to Sweden to justify ending lockdowns. SunSeeker Apr 2020 #22
This is what I am saying - as much as we'd like to understand what is going on Steelrolled Apr 2020 #24

captain queeg

(10,242 posts)
1. Ive been watching them. It does t look to me like it's very successful.
Tue Apr 28, 2020, 04:29 PM
Apr 2020

But maybe time will tell. They’ll probably go thru whatever for one time, while we will no doubt have multiple spikes. It seems to me people are accepting the idea that the virus will drop off this summer but I don’t see much to indicate that will be the case.

pnwmom

(108,995 posts)
4. They appear to be successful because their hospitals aren't overwhelmed. But one reason for that
Tue Apr 28, 2020, 04:37 PM
Apr 2020

is they've consciously made a decision just to let covid patients die in nursing homes.

SunSeeker

(51,699 posts)
21. Yup. It is a horror show, harkening back to the days of Sweden's eugenics program.
Wed Apr 29, 2020, 02:29 AM
Apr 2020

They ended up having to pay for that, literally. https://www.theguardian.com/world/1999/mar/06/stephenbates

We'll see how long it takes them to pay for this. One thing they will eventually find is that a lot of young and middle aged adults will die too.

SergeStorms

(19,204 posts)
12. Define "very successful".
Tue Apr 28, 2020, 07:14 PM
Apr 2020

They seem to be sacrificing a certain segment of the population and are hoping the virus doesn't work it's way down through younger people. Since some studies seem to show that people don't build up immunity to the virus after recovering from it, it's quite possible these people could just contract it again and again. Will they be as lucky the second time? And I certainly wouldn't want to be in my "golden years" in Sweden right now.

captain queeg

(10,242 posts)
14. Just reread my post, I meant to say "doesn't"
Tue Apr 28, 2020, 07:22 PM
Apr 2020

Contractions often don’t carry thru my text, I need to proof read more closely.

SergeStorms

(19,204 posts)
25. Gotcha!
Wed Apr 29, 2020, 11:11 AM
Apr 2020

How did we ever live without all of this technology, huh? Auto-correct on my phone has come up with some real doozies in conversations before.

cstanleytech

(26,319 posts)
3. Was the higher death rate due to the virus infecting more of the elderly in nursing homes or was it
Tue Apr 28, 2020, 04:34 PM
Apr 2020

a much higher death rate across the entire population regardless of age?

JustABozoOnThisBus

(23,365 posts)
5. Statistically, it might work.
Tue Apr 28, 2020, 04:37 PM
Apr 2020

Models of "the curve" have two forms. One rises steeply and quickly, going extremely high, then falls off quickly, going very low. The other "flattened" model has a slow rise, a long plateau, and a slow decline. Both should have the same number of cases, the only advantage of flattening is to keep the total current number from exceeding the health care system's capacity.

If Sweden's curve falls quickly, to a daily number far below the rest of Europe, which attempted to flatten their curve, then maybe they chose wisely, as the economic impact is fairly minimal.

The rest of us will pay for the massive economic shutdown for a long time, perhaps for generations.

Sweden's method predicts a higher death rate, but for a shorter period of time, so maybe a similar rate of total death over the course.

Peregrine Took

(7,417 posts)
7. Are they willing to let it "wash" over the country and take the elderly and infirmed with it?
Tue Apr 28, 2020, 04:50 PM
Apr 2020

I don't get it at all.

Rebl2

(13,555 posts)
16. They apparently
Tue Apr 28, 2020, 08:00 PM
Apr 2020

don’t care about the elderly and people with pre existing conditions like cancer, those who take medication that lowers their immunity, diabetes,etc.

obamanut2012

(26,142 posts)
23. This is literally what they are doing, what Trump wanted here
Wed Apr 29, 2020, 06:27 AM
Apr 2020

To let it wash over, and let "the weak" die. It was horrific when Trump suggested it, and it's horrific that Sweden is doing it.

BigmanPigman

(51,627 posts)
9. I read Worldometer charts and noticed these numbers...
Tue Apr 28, 2020, 05:43 PM
Apr 2020

these are "deaths per 1 million pop".

Two weeks ago... Today....
Finland. 16....... 36
Norway. 30....... 38
Denmark. 60..... 75
Sweden. 150....... 233


rocktivity

(44,577 posts)
10. Why? No front-end mass testing
Tue Apr 28, 2020, 05:45 PM
Apr 2020

The fewer infected people that the uninfected people need to "compete" with, the better herd immunity can work.


rocktivity

Progressive dog

(6,918 posts)
13. These are death numbers per million from today
Tue Apr 28, 2020, 07:20 PM
Apr 2020

in Sweden.

The death rate in Sweden has now risen significantly higher than many other countries in Europe, reaching more than 22 per 100,000 people, according to figures from Johns Hopkins University, controlled for population.

By contrast, Denmark has recorded just over seven deaths per 100,000 people, and both Norway and Finland less than four.

https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/04/28/what-the-numbers-say-about-swedens-coronavirus-strategy/

truthisfreedom

(23,155 posts)
17. The US presently has 58,365 deaths with a population of 331,002,651. 17.6 per 100,000.
Tue Apr 28, 2020, 08:46 PM
Apr 2020

We're really not doing very well.

 

Steelrolled

(2,022 posts)
19. I think we will understand very well how Sweden
Tue Apr 28, 2020, 10:48 PM
Apr 2020

fared in a year or two. Why people are arguing this now is beyond me. I guess it is something to do.

SunSeeker

(51,699 posts)
22. Because Republicans are pointing to Sweden to justify ending lockdowns.
Wed Apr 29, 2020, 02:34 AM
Apr 2020

We need to be able to understand what is going on in Sweden.

 

Steelrolled

(2,022 posts)
24. This is what I am saying - as much as we'd like to understand what is going on
Wed Apr 29, 2020, 09:37 AM
Apr 2020

in Sweden, we have little chance. We don't understand all of the factors. The "fog of war" is a fitting metaphor. Look at the big differences within Europe, all of whom are taking very similar measures. The same goes for US states. We might well find, in a year or so, that much of what we are doing has very little effect There is the danger of "groupthink".

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