Poll: GOP gains on generic ballot, Trump approval ticks upward

[riversedge]

Source: Politico




By STEVEN SHEPARD

02/14/2018 05:40 AM EST


Republicans have erased the Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot in a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll that, for the first time since April, also shows President Donald Trump’s approval rating equaling the percentage of voters who disapprove of his job performance.

Fully 39 percent of registered voters say they would support the GOP candidate for Congress in their district, while 38 percent would back the Democratic candidate. Nearly a quarter of voters, 23 percent, are undecided.

Voters are split almost evenly along party lines. .....................................

The GOP’s 1-point advantage comes after three months of tracking in which Democrats maintained a lead ranging between 2 and 10 points on the generic ballot. That has been generally smaller than the party’s lead in other public surveys: The most recent RealClearPolitics average shows Democrats ahead by 7 points on the generic ballot, though that’s down from a high of 13 points late last year.

The new year has also produced a Trump polling bump. In the new poll, 47 percent of voters approve of the job Trump is doing as president, while the same percentage disapprove..........................

Read more: https://www.politico.com/story/2018/02/14/trump-polling-democrats-republicans-407315

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I suppose the only good thing about this is that there are many Undecideds!! Hoping this trend upwards for trumpy stops!

Link to tweet

Jesse Ferguson
?Verified account @JesseFFerguson
1h1 hour ago
Replying to @politico @POLITICO_Steve

Noteworthy:

MorningConsult poll has sample which says they voted for Trump by 7 points in 2016.

The voters actually voted Clinton by 2.1%
1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes




New conversation
CitizenDonna
? @CitizenDonna
41m41 minutes ago

Finally someone is addressing the composition of #SampleParticipants. Ticking up with whom? #TrumpVoters ???
0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

End of conversation


?Verified account @lesleyabravanel
1h1 hour ago

Replying to @politico @POLITICO_Steve

How is that possible?
4 replies 1 retweet 7 likes
Bethsinni
? @bethsinniresist
1h1 hour ago

Russian help???

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

0 replies 0 retweets 7 likes

[riversedge]

1. Trump started the year with 44 percent of voters' approval, a 4-point boost from November. How it ha

Maybe folks are just getting used to the new vile normal?? damn if true!!


Morning Consult Retweeted
Anna Gronewold
?Verified account @annagronewold
22h22 hours ago

.@realDonaldTrump started the year with 44 percent of voters' approval, a 4-point boost from November. How it happened and what it means for midterms from @cameron_easley.
https://morningconsult.com/2018/02/13/trump-approval-50-state-poll/ …

Link to tweet

[denvine]

2. WTF???????

[ffr]

3. I love my additional share from 2018 of Treasury's public debt, just went up, so good news?

Because nothing makes me happier than receiving a few dollars more in my paycheck today that I'll own thousands of dollars on later. Yippie!

Russia Today: America on its way to $30 trillion debt by 2028 as military expenditure soars
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100210226916

[pangaia]

12. I can't even divide 30 trillion by 320 million (USA POP) on my calculator

too many zeros(or is it zeri ? )

ON EDIT :::::::


Wait I just dd it..

everybody will owe $1,937,500

[ffr]

15. An A for effort, but I think you have one too many zeros and it's generally based on taxpayers

I think the number was something like 112,000,000 taxpayers in 2014 and that number jumped to 125 million by Feb 2016, so I'd imagine something above that number today for the denominator.

So $30T/125 million would be $240,000 per taxpayer. Using the same denominator, it currently stands at $165,000 per taxpayer.

[pangaia]

22. hUMM aND i WAS SO GOOD AT MATH IN HIGH SCHOOL

And the caps lock was on sorryyyyyy


I was terrible at geometry

[bucolic_frolic]

4. Democrats have to be more than just the anti-Trump

and that is difficult because we have no political power to promote our program. Resist as a message is wearing thin as the economy improves.

We'd best spend our time organizing.

[leftynyc]

5. Simply a reminder this is not the year

to sit on your ass and not vote - out of laziness or any other reason.

[Thekaspervote]

6. Fivethirtyeight still has the generic Congress ballot at plus 6 for the democrats

Nate, fooled like so many many pollsters in 16 was not near as far off

[turbinetree]

7. SO the traitor in chief has people with "FAILED" background checks and are subject to, I don't

know BLACKMAIL, has at least two assholes under indictment and have plead guilty and two other "associates" fighting corruption charges, money laundering, and his numbers go up......................who did the poll.

I would have asked in the poll, do you think Blackmail is a serious interest to NATIONAL SECURITY.

Would you hire some that beat two of his wives and let them run around the white house?

Do think lying on your background paperwork to work inside the white house is a crime, and that they falsified there paperwork would you vote for some one that did that?

And the Polls show that a do nothing kleptocracy congress is just fine and dandy..............that tells me that Sinclair broadcasting and Fix Noise are a problem, and the dark money is working just fine, and the Russia is going to fuck this country again---------this November...................because of the orange hair narcissist and right wing congress are doing nothing...........


I say bullshit to this poll, we have flipped 36 seats into our column


November 2018 cannot get here fast enough

[ffr]

16. *** Like ***

[bluestarone]

8. BULLSHIT POLL!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Thekaspervote]

9. And... if you do a search for 2018 midterm predictions the NYT, VOX and others arent

Saying the same as morning consult. As little as one day ago they are still saying the dems have a very good chance of taking the House. Anybodyelse finding differing predictions?

[Betty]

10. how is this even possible?

is there just an endless supply of stupid, self destructive people in this country?

[keepleft101]

11. unfortunately

there is. I dont understand how anyone could vote for Trump but his followers love him.

[ooky]

19. Its the Fox News audience.

They park their TV on Fox News and receive endless propaganda full of lies and praise for Donald Trump. They live in an alternate reality.

[DeminPennswoods]

13. Yet actual election results are disproving this

Dems took a couple state legislature seats just in the past few weeks.

[DavidDvorkin]

14. Democrats Lead by 8 Points On Generic House Ballot Nationally (PPP)

Democrats Lead by 8 Points On Generic House Ballot Nationally

Democrats have a solid 49-41 lead on the generic Congressional ballot, although that’s down a shade from December when it was 51-40. Beyond their overall lead, they’re also benefiting from an enthusiasm advantage- 65% of Clinton voters say they’re ‘very excited’ to vote in the election this fall, compared to 58% of Trump voters.

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/democrats-lead-8-points-generic-house-ballot-nationally/

[Dawson Leery]

17. Roger Simon should be ignored.

We are up by 7 points in the averages.

[TomCADem]

18. I Believe It. People Underestimate Racism and Sexism

The conditions are ripe for a Nazi Germany like rise of authoritarianism.

[titaniumsalute]

20. A few things from someone who has done survey research

It is one poll. There is no doubt that the economy (low unemployment in particular), the stock market overall, and the extra few bucks in paychecks are helping.

However, one poll means nothing. The Ipsos poll has his approval at 39%. Gallup at 40%. So an aggregate is always better to gauge. Stock market has recently taken a beating. Wait until people see all that red at the end of Q1 on their quarterly stock, mutual fund, IRA, and 401K statements. If jobs slow (which they are) you could see some more negative stock market impact. Retail stores closing everywhere doesn't help for optics either.

I also poured over the data in the Morning Poll. I saw that Dems still had an 8 point generic ballot advantage. So not sure why this headline.

[TranssexualKaren]

21. Despair

All morning I have been mentally processing this post and all I can come up with is that enough people were taken in by the (temporary) tax cut. It will simply have to get a lot worse before it starts to get better.

[Kablooie]

23. Five thirty eight also shows Trump popularity rising

They have a rating aggregated from all the polls so it’s probably accurate.

Most people don’t follow the news. They only know that they may pay less taxes so in their minds Trump is doing a good job.

[Upstate One]

24. Democrats keep winning election after election

gains my ass.