The Nevada Early Voting Blog -- 5th day raw vote, Dems commanding 26,500 vote lead
Source: Jon Ralston Reports - KTNV 13 Las Vegas
UPDATED, 10/27/16, 6 AM
The latest statewide numbers, missing a few rural counties, show a 26,500 lead for the Dems in raw votes. That's 45 percent to 36 percent, the same percentage lead and 3,500 raw votes more than they had at this point in 2012 and about 3 points above the actual registration difference.
The Clark firewall increased by more than 4,000 votes to nearly 33,000 (it was 30,000 at this time in 2012 but with 150,000 fewer registered voters). But it was the GOP's best day so far, and slightly better than its performance in 2012 on Day 5.
The Dems won Washoe by a handful of votes, maintaining a nearly 2,800-vote lead there (Day 5 in 2012 saw the GOP win by 200 votes.)
The rurals continue to go big for the GOP, as expected. Totals there now show a more than 9,000-voter lead for the Republicans.
Read more: http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/the-nevada-early-voting-blog
The new numbers, less a few rural counties - 10/27/16, 9:30 AM
Early vote only
Statewide: 279,941
Dems: 126,226 (45%)
Reps: 99,720 (36%)
Other: 53,395 (19.1%)
Almost dead-on from last night's numbers.
#NVGOTV in Nevada (NV) 5TH day. Dems lead by > 25,500 EV, 45% to 36%
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512547747
beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)A 25,000 vote margin by party affiliation means little...at this point..though it's better than being behind...but commanding lead?....not so much...
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)45 percent to 36 percent is a rather commanding lead, regardless of whether you think that sensational or not.
ffr
(22,670 posts)Yesterday -
Obama carried Nevada by 6.5 points in 2012 when he had a smaller EV lead by this stage.
The democratic EV lead is "commanding." If it holds, and there is every indication it will, Hillary Clinton will win the state and probably sweep in many downballot democratic candidates.
It's about GOTV. And in that department, Nevada democrats are winning that battle.
Cha
(297,275 posts)Ralston Reports: Culinary Union could serve up a blue Nevada
snip//
If you wanted a glimpse into why the Democrats have such an advantage in Nevada, reflected in early early voting numbers, those workers in that room epitomized the ground game that carried Barack Obama to two wins here, and could propel Hillary Clinton and Catherine Cortez Masto to victories, not to mention state Sen. Ruben Kihuen in a key congressional race.
These were the LOAs of the Culinary Union, the most populous labor organization in the state and one that is emblematic of the diverse population of a state that looks like America. LOA stands for leave of absence, and these dozens of folks housekeepers and cocktail workers who have benefited from the Cadillac plans their leaders have negotiated, mostly with casinos have volunteered this cycle to put their jobs on hold to turn out voters for their chosen candidates.
Of Culinarys 57,000 members, more than 30,000 are Hispanic and nearly 7,000 are African-American. And on the eve of the election, nearly 60 percent 34,000 of the unions members are registered to vote, a record total for Local 226.
You want more numbers? I have them: With 45 organizers, the team in Reno has knocked on more than 62,000 doors, and in the South, that number is an eye-popping 220,000 doors.
The rest of the exciting story..
http://www.rgj.com/story/news/politics/2016/10/25/ralston-reports-culinary-union-could-serve-up-blue-nevada/92751424/
Gracias, ffr~
Mahalo Cha!
4lbs
(6,858 posts)90% of Democrats said they will vote for Hillary.
80 to 85% of Republicans said they will vote for Trump.
The rest will vote Hillary or 3rd party.
For "other", that should go Hillary's way by decent margin. Something like 50% to 40%, with 10% for Johnson or Stein.