Clinton tops Trump by 9 points in new Pew poll

[Cryptoad]

Source: Politico

Voters are highly interested in the presidential contest between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, but they're also largely dissatisfied with their options, according to a national Pew Research Center poll released Thursday.

Clinton leads Trump in a head-to-head matchup, 51 percent to 42 percent, with 7 percent undecided, according to the poll.

In a three-way race among Clinton, Trump and Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, Clinton maintains her margin of victory over Trump, topping both candidates with 45 percent support. Trump follows at 36 support, with Johnson at 11 percent and 8 percent remaining undecided.

Trump holds a nine-point advantage over Clinton among white voters, 51 percent to 42 percent, but Clinton dominates among African-American (91 percent to 7 percent) and Hispanic (66 percent to 24 percent) voters.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/07/clinton-trump-pew-poll-225255

[riversedge]

1. Keep up the good work Hillary

[Tarheel_Dem]

2. I continue to be puzzled by the Hispanic numbers. I recognize that Trump needs to get about 40% of..

that demo to be competitive, but Obama won Hispanics & Asians in the mid 70's.

[CobaltBlue]

6. Tarheel_Dem—About the poll…

I haven’t read the report; but, for your information…

ELECTION 2008—NATIONAL
• Hispanics (09): John McCain 31% | Barack Obama 67%
• Margin: D+36

ELECTION 2012—NATIONAL
• Hispanics (10): Mitt Romney 27% | Barack Obama 71%
• Margin: D+44


Now, if a 2016 Hillary Clinton overperforms a 2012 Barack Obama nationally—holding the White House in the Democratic column—then the only way she would receive less Hispanic support is with the percentage of them who vote Democratic. But, at the same time, the size of their vote—going into the overall pool of raw votes cast for president of the United States—will have increased. So, take the size of the vote (in parentheses) and multiply times their percentage. That tells you how much of a winner’s and loser’s percentage of support came from Hispanics. Frankly, if Hillary Clinton wins nationally by +10, or more (after Obama was re-elected by nearly +4), I think Hispanics move from 10 to 12 percent the size of the vote. And their percentage of Democratic support will have moved from 71 to, say, 75 percent.

[DrToast]

3. Pew is one of the best

Excellent polling methodology.

[groundloop]

4. We need to hope that black and Hispanic voters get to the polls in November

Nothing is finished until the votes are cast.

[Binkie The Clown]

5. Only 9 points?!? That's outrageous.

She should lead by 50 points at least.

[riversedge]

11. After seeing and hearing when Trump says, it should be 100% (minis the

trump family).

[CobaltBlue]

7. Cryptoad—Trump +9 with Whites! Romney carried them by +20.

I haven’t yet read the poll report. That summary stood out immediately to me.

[greymattermom]

9. If whites have to choose between female and crazy

they will choose female. Especially the females.

[Kingofalldems]

8. Good job Hillary.

Trump fans not liking this one.

[AntiBank]

10. old data >>>>> The national Pew survey was conducted June 15-26