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MowCowWhoHow III

(2,103 posts)
Fri May 20, 2016, 03:47 PM May 2016

Fatal EgyptAir flight suffered on-board fire minutes before crash

Source: Deutsche Welle

France is dispatching a naval vessel, equipped with sonar, to the site to try and locate the black box data recorders. An aviation expert told DW that equipment registered fires on board prior to the crash.

Smoke and fire broke out on board EgyptAir flight MS804 minutes before the plane plunged off radar screens during the early hours of Thursday morning.

"There was a fire on board," aviation expert Tim van Beverdn told DW. "The system sent very clear messages. There was a lavatory smoke detected. A minute later, avionics compartment smoke detected...Two minutes later, the flight control units are failing.". Van Beveren said he expected Egyptian authorities to corrobarte this information shortly.

Meanwhile, at the site of the crash, human remains have been identified, about 180 miles (290 km) north of Alexandria. The discovery comes roughly 36 hours after the A320 flying from Paris to Cairo abruptly disappeared from radar.

Read more: http://www.dw.com/en/fatal-egyptair-flight-suffered-on-board-fire-minutes-before-crash/a-19274278

95 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Fatal EgyptAir flight suffered on-board fire minutes before crash (Original Post) MowCowWhoHow III May 2016 OP
Something terrible happened in the galley/lav area just aft of the cockpit. MADem May 2016 #1
Looking more like a lithium battery problem... nt Jitter65 May 2016 #58
Thank you for the update, how sad for those on board. Edited, other sites carrying this now uppityperson May 2016 #2
I don't like to speculate, but would that likely be a bomb? LisaM May 2016 #3
Maybe a smoker who discarded a lit butt in the trash receptacle Warpy May 2016 #4
i think egyptair is non-smoking 6chars May 2016 #6
? Doesn't make any difference. nt thereismore May 2016 #8
So were the other flights it happened on Warpy May 2016 #9
And that's why they have ashtrays. joshcryer May 2016 #19
So is the bathroom at Cowboys stadium but that doesn't stop anyone snooper2 May 2016 #70
The trash receptacles in airplane lavs have fire extinguishers The Velveteen Ocelot May 2016 #79
This message was self-deleted by its author rjsquirrel May 2016 #26
Yep, nasty things when they go bad. Kelvin Mace May 2016 #37
No, less likely anigbrowl May 2016 #34
I think its unlikely to be a bomb as most bombings are typically followed by a message cstanleytech May 2016 #46
This seems to be based on this: muriel_volestrangler May 2016 #5
Aviate, Navigate, Communicate philosslayer May 2016 #7
What I hadn't realised was they already had 2 minutes between no contact and radar disappearance muriel_volestrangler May 2016 #21
Those clues could suggest an entire chunk of the plane was gone. AtheistCrusader May 2016 #15
EXtrodinary good data James48 May 2016 #25
Cracked windshield failues James48 May 2016 #27
I read the flight deck was on fire. AngryAmish May 2016 #78
Just remember what's most important matt819 May 2016 #10
Oh please leftynyc May 2016 #13
Exactly the kind of conclusions people shouldn't be knee-jerking to. AtheistCrusader May 2016 #16
That's not a conclusion, it's just acknowledging an obvious possibility anigbrowl May 2016 #36
No she didn't. That was a specific attribution. AtheistCrusader May 2016 #38
Wow, I didn't know she'd said this. polly7 May 2016 #45
No it wasn't anigbrowl May 2016 #47
I thought of mechanical failure, actually. AtheistCrusader May 2016 #65
I didn't say anything about trying to look 'stronger' so don't put quotes around it likme I did anigbrowl May 2016 #66
Double quote is exact, single quote is a paraphrase. AtheistCrusader May 2016 #73
"it looks like" is very different from "there's a possibility it is". uppityperson May 2016 #40
And what about Trump? blufinn May 2016 #62
That is a "Dog bites man" story, it would only be a story if Trump actually said something profound Fumesucker May 2016 #64
What about Trump? He proves repeatedly that he's a fear mongering ass. uppityperson May 2016 #88
Why, didn't you hear blufinn May 2016 #61
That should set our candidate and their candidate APART, not on the same page... AtheistCrusader May 2016 #76
Except that on the very same zentrum May 2016 #17
That's good advice for everyone's daily affairs: Know what you're talking about before . . . Journeyman May 2016 #23
Good thing greiner3 May 2016 #32
Exactly. AtheistCrusader May 2016 #39
This!!! And THIS!! and Finally THIS!!! Silver_Witch May 2016 #53
Thank you. pablo_marmol May 2016 #54
Of course they were. -none May 2016 #80
What dangerous narrative? leftynyc May 2016 #67
Doesn't matter what Egypt said. zentrum May 2016 #68
Is this from the same idiotic leftynyc May 2016 #69
Oh goodie, I see you're already lining up to pummel Iran too. AtheistCrusader May 2016 #75
What are you babbling about? leftynyc May 2016 #81
Keep on truckin' bro. AtheistCrusader May 2016 #82
War drum? leftynyc May 2016 #83
And what of the religious freaks here at home? AtheistCrusader May 2016 #84
Really? leftynyc May 2016 #85
I don't know or follow you. AtheistCrusader May 2016 #89
Waiting until the generation leftynyc May 2016 #92
Depending on who does the accounting, so do we. AtheistCrusader May 2016 #93
That was one of the arguments leftynyc May 2016 #94
Kerry has been every bit the SoS that Hillary should have been. AtheistCrusader May 2016 #74
She is a fear monger and Hawk and anything... Silver_Witch May 2016 #52
NAZI Trump already went there underthematrix May 2016 #29
Except that she said this: LiberalElite May 2016 #42
Yes I saw this and completely forgot she said this underthematrix May 2016 #44
Thats because it actually does shine a light on a very real issue cstanleytech May 2016 #49
Seems odd that it wasn't a terrorist attack.. phazed0 May 2016 #11
It rather depends on what part is burning and where the smoke is inside the plane. Ford_Prefect May 2016 #12
That's true. Apparently there have been none of the usual claims of responsibility. FailureToCommunicate May 2016 #24
A simple lav fire wouldn't bring down a modern jet. An electrical/cargo fire/bomb could. Baclava May 2016 #14
Bombs tend to decompress airplanes. AtheistCrusader May 2016 #18
Doesn't say front or rear, but it has both... jtuck004 May 2016 #20
Very irresponsible maindawg May 2016 #22
Why would anyone think terror? 6chars May 2016 #33
I think it's hilarious you're ready to jump to a conclusion... ProudToBeBlueInRhody May 2016 #55
An in-flight electrical fire can be catastrophic The Velveteen Ocelot May 2016 #28
... allan01 May 2016 #30
This goes against the terrorism theory, I think. Chemisse May 2016 #31
Yes, but they would have communicated, and you would expect a different sequence of ACARS messages. Yo_Mama May 2016 #48
Ahh. Yeah, I was thinking of ValueJet 592 that crashed in the Everglades. Chemisse May 2016 #57
Swissair flight 111 Angel Martin May 2016 #35
Benghazi ! Bernardo de La Paz May 2016 #41
Rubbish blufinn May 2016 #43
you tell 'em! 6chars May 2016 #50
I remember when an airplane accident was just that an accident. Silver_Witch May 2016 #51
Part of that is that planes are MUCH safer today. Adrahil May 2016 #77
if this were a bomb DonCoquixote May 2016 #56
Couldn't one intentionally short circuit an LiON battery? JCMach1 May 2016 #59
Of course...but blufinn May 2016 #60
Now, imagine you have piled all of them you are allowed to bring aboard in say a trash bin... JCMach1 May 2016 #63
Egypt deploys robot submarine in EgyptAir Flight 804 search Baclava May 2016 #71
some reported a fireball 'falling'. Those poor people, 90 degree jolt to left, full 360 to right & Sunlei May 2016 #72
Message auto-removed Name removed May 2016 #86
Something for the conspiracy theorists to chew over MowCowWhoHow III May 2016 #87
I hope some family members are able to recover their relatives remains. Nt moriah May 2016 #90
More conflicting reports: 'EgyptAir plane 'did not swerve' before crash' Baclava May 2016 #91
EgyptAir navigation official says plane didn't make sharp turns or lose altitude before disappearing MowCowWhoHow III May 2016 #95

LisaM

(27,813 posts)
3. I don't like to speculate, but would that likely be a bomb?
Fri May 20, 2016, 03:56 PM
May 2016

Or something akin to that ValuJet flight years ago where they were transporting used oxygen tanks and they exploded?

Warpy

(111,277 posts)
4. Maybe a smoker who discarded a lit butt in the trash receptacle
Fri May 20, 2016, 04:05 PM
May 2016

instead of into the toilet. It has happened before.

The Velveteen Ocelot

(115,740 posts)
79. The trash receptacles in airplane lavs have fire extinguishers
Mon May 23, 2016, 11:46 AM
May 2016

built into them. This is more likely an electrical fire like Swissair 111.

Response to LisaM (Reply #3)

 

Kelvin Mace

(17,469 posts)
37. Yep, nasty things when they go bad.
Fri May 20, 2016, 07:03 PM
May 2016

VERY hot fires. We are packing a LOT of energy in a very small space.

 

anigbrowl

(13,889 posts)
34. No, less likely
Fri May 20, 2016, 06:52 PM
May 2016

A bomb is more likely to result in explosive decompression and a breakup of the aircraft than a simple fire. Of course it's possible and we won't know until there's more evidence but generally bombs to go off with a bang.

cstanleytech

(26,299 posts)
46. I think its unlikely to be a bomb as most bombings are typically followed by a message
Fri May 20, 2016, 09:21 PM
May 2016

from the party or parties who did it claiming an almost gleelike responsibility followed by a bullshit explanation of why its really not their fault but the fault of x party for forcing them to kill a bunch of innocents.
Oxygen tanks? Possible I suppose but it could also be a number of other things as well like a fire due to faulty wiring or a fan blade broke off one of the engines and did some dmg causing the fire.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,322 posts)
5. This seems to be based on this:
Fri May 20, 2016, 04:08 PM
May 2016
On May 20th 2016 The Aviation Herald received information from three independent channels, that ACARS (Aircraft Communications Addressing and Reporting System) messages with following content were received from the aircraft:

00:26Z 3044 ANTI ICE R WINDOW
00:26Z 561200 R SLIDING WINDOW SENSOR
00:26Z 2600 SMOKE LAVATORY SMOKE
00:27Z 2600 AVIONICS SMOKE
00:28Z 561100 R FIXED WINDOW SENSOR
00:29Z 2200 AUTO FLT FCU 2 FAULT
00:29Z 2700 F/CTL SEC 3 FAULT
no further ACARS messages were received

http://avherald.com/h?article=4987fb09&opt=0

It seems odd that the pilots wouldn't say anything if this is what happened.
 

philosslayer

(3,076 posts)
7. Aviate, Navigate, Communicate
Fri May 20, 2016, 04:18 PM
May 2016

In that order. If I was trying to control a plane that was going down, communicating wouldn't be my highest priority.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,322 posts)
21. What I hadn't realised was they already had 2 minutes between no contact and radar disappearance
Fri May 20, 2016, 05:30 PM
May 2016
Greek aviation officials say air traffic controllers spoke to the pilot when he entered Greek airspace and everything appeared normal.

They tried to contact him again at 02:27 Cairo time, as the plane was set to enter Egyptian airspace, but "despite repeated calls, the aircraft did not respond". Two minutes later it vanished from radar.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-36333992

That 02:27 matches with the 0027 from Aviation Herald. The Greek site translates as (their 0327 being daylight savings time):

At 2:48 a.m. transferred to the next Audit and authorized by the responsible controller, the exit point from the Athens FIR. The pilot was cheerful and thanked the Greek.
 
At 3:27 a.m. the Athens Area Control Center tried to contact the aircraft for transfer of communication and control of the Athens FIR in Cairo FIR.
 
Despite repeated calls the aircraft did not respond, so the air traffic controller called the hazard rate with no response from the side of the aircraft.
  
At 3:29 above the exit point.
 
On 3:29:40 AM lost the position of the aircraft from the
radar about 7 NM south / southeast of the point KUMBI, in Cairo FIR.
 
Immediately requested the assistance of the Air Force radar target tracking possible, to no avail.

AtheistCrusader

(33,982 posts)
15. Those clues could suggest an entire chunk of the plane was gone.
Fri May 20, 2016, 05:03 PM
May 2016

I would expect maybe MORE messages, but depending on what happened, the pilots may have been in no condition or mood to radio anyone for anything

James48

(4,436 posts)
25. EXtrodinary good data
Fri May 20, 2016, 06:35 PM
May 2016

00:26Z 3044 ANTI ICE R WINDOW
00:26Z 561200 R SLIDING WINDOW SENSOR
00:26Z 2600 SMOKE LAVATORY SMOKE
00:27Z 2600 AVIONICS SMOKE
00:28Z 561100 R FIXED WINDOW SENSOR
00:29Z 2200 AUTO FLT FCU 2 FAULT
00:29Z 2700 F/CTL SEC 3 FAULT
no further ACARS messages were received

http://avherald.com/h?article=4987fb09&opt=0

First two lines:
00:26Z 3044 ANTI ICE R WINDOW
means a failure of the right window anti-icing electrical circuit sensor.


00:26Z 561200 R SLIDING WINDOW SENSOR

are consistent with a major windshield failure on the right (copilot) side, excessive heat, shattering the windshield, causing a significant fire. The windshield may have blown out, and the sliding window sensor could be someone trying to open the sliding window vent window to suck out the smoke, OR could be the next window immediately failed.

Third and fourth lines
00:26Z 2600 SMOKE LAVATORY SMOKE
00:27Z 2600 AVIONICS SMOKE

are consistent with the electrical fire then immediately flaring up and catching the power panel on fire.
It would be possible for the Avionics bay and lav smoke detector to be detecting smoke caused by wiring inside the fuselauge frame going to the cockpit. (short circuit).

00:28Z 561100 R FIXED WINDOW SENSOR
That is saying that the windshield itself is failing. That is highly unusual, and occurs a full two minutes after the initial short circuit.

00:29Z 2200 AUTO FLT FCU 2 FAULT-
means the second flight control unit has failed. That FCU provides multi instruments would be affected-

00:29Z 2700 F/CTL SEC 3 FAULT-
Again, a major instrument failure.

no further ACARS messages were received




I would not speculate anything into that.

Could be mechanical/electrical catastrophic failure, OR something else.

Need much more information.

 

AngryAmish

(25,704 posts)
78. I read the flight deck was on fire.
Mon May 23, 2016, 11:36 AM
May 2016

That would make the pilots really busy.

But let's wait for some facts.

matt819

(10,749 posts)
10. Just remember what's most important
Fri May 20, 2016, 04:27 PM
May 2016

Speculate and blame before any information is available. (I'm looking at you Donald and Hillary.)

This one is a no-brainer. Well, they're all no-brainers. It's Obama's fault. And the Muslims.

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
13. Oh please
Fri May 20, 2016, 04:41 PM
May 2016

All she said was that it looked like terrorism - anyone who denies that is lying. She didn't BLAME anyone.

AtheistCrusader

(33,982 posts)
16. Exactly the kind of conclusions people shouldn't be knee-jerking to.
Fri May 20, 2016, 05:04 PM
May 2016

There's enough fucking fear in the world without fanning the flames.

 

anigbrowl

(13,889 posts)
36. That's not a conclusion, it's just acknowledging an obvious possibility
Fri May 20, 2016, 06:56 PM
May 2016

It's one thing to keep an open mind, it's another to dismiss obvious possibilities. I'm 50-50 on whether it's terrorism or poor maintenance.

AtheistCrusader

(33,982 posts)
38. No she didn't. That was a specific attribution.
Fri May 20, 2016, 08:18 PM
May 2016

And it might turn out wrong.


Clinton also addressed the disappearance of EgyptAir Flight 804, saying the disaster "Shines a very bright light on the threat that we face from organized terror groups."

"It reinforced the need for American leadership -- the kind of hard, steady leadership that only America can provide." Clinton said.


That's the same right-wing hawkish American exceptionalism BULLSHIT that Obama just spent 8 years trying to un-do. Fuck that noise.

I sincerely hope she's wrong, just to check her pro-war hawkishness before the general, because this kind of shit is going to be our undoing.

polly7

(20,582 posts)
45. Wow, I didn't know she'd said this.
Fri May 20, 2016, 09:08 PM
May 2016

In light of how much suffering she's willingly caused around the world with her love-for-war decisions - her claim that 'only America can provide' leadership against terror!!!! is laughable. Maybe she should make that claim to the millions who are terrorized daily since it all.

 

anigbrowl

(13,889 posts)
47. No it wasn't
Fri May 20, 2016, 10:02 PM
May 2016

A specific attribution would be 'I think ISIS did it.' You thought of terrorism as one possibility as soon as you heard the news, and you did so because there has been plenty of it about in that region lately. You're going to have a long all, because there is no way she plans on losing the general election by looking weak compared to Donald Trump. Every actual terror incident (especially in Western countries) is a free campaign ad for Donald Trump.

AtheistCrusader

(33,982 posts)
65. I thought of mechanical failure, actually.
Sat May 21, 2016, 04:11 PM
May 2016

Running 'stronger' than Trump on foreign policy is going to scare the ever loving shit out of the entire planet. Bush MK II would have trouble running 'stronger' than Trump.

 

anigbrowl

(13,889 posts)
66. I didn't say anything about trying to look 'stronger' so don't put quotes around it likme I did
Sat May 21, 2016, 04:16 PM
May 2016

I said she doesn't want to look weak, which is not necessarily the same thing.

AtheistCrusader

(33,982 posts)
73. Double quote is exact, single quote is a paraphrase.
Mon May 23, 2016, 11:21 AM
May 2016

I am curious why you disagree with that as a paraphrase.

Pretty much everything she said about it came right out of the right wing chickenhawk playbook. If you told someone it was a statement from Dick Cheney, no one would have batted an eye. Even Jeb Bush was banging that 'America must lead' drum a few months ago.

Didn't win him the fucking nomination either.


When you don't KNOW, this is what you say:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2016/05/19/statement-press-secretary-josh-earnest-egyptair-flight-804

President is a class act. Always has been. Always will be. That's why he defeated Hillary in '08. That's why we need someone more like him today.

Fumesucker

(45,851 posts)
64. That is a "Dog bites man" story, it would only be a story if Trump actually said something profound
Sat May 21, 2016, 03:13 PM
May 2016

Then of course it would be a Yoooge story...

blufinn

(6 posts)
61. Why, didn't you hear
Sat May 21, 2016, 02:38 PM
May 2016

Trump's tweet right after the incident and his diatribe while at the NRA convention about it? You talk about fear-mongering!

zentrum

(9,865 posts)
17. Except that on the very same
Fri May 20, 2016, 05:05 PM
May 2016

….day, our current SOS, John Kerry, said he absolutely wasn't going to say it looks like terrorism until he knows for sure.

He went on to say that such language, before you know for sure, "harms people and countries". See? That's how you do diplomacy---- rather than whipping up a dangerous narrative.

Journeyman

(15,036 posts)
23. That's good advice for everyone's daily affairs: Know what you're talking about before . . .
Fri May 20, 2016, 06:17 PM
May 2016

you open your yap.

 

greiner3

(5,214 posts)
32. Good thing
Fri May 20, 2016, 06:46 PM
May 2016

US Secretaries of State have the good sense not to add confusion by stating something that has no proof OH wait w

pablo_marmol

(2,375 posts)
54. Thank you.
Sat May 21, 2016, 04:07 AM
May 2016

KNX news radio L.A. is a good example of how not to handle the situation. They were peddling the terrorism angle right out of the gate with soundbites from "experts".

-none

(1,884 posts)
80. Of course they were.
Mon May 23, 2016, 11:54 AM
May 2016

What is the country du jour our war hawks want to bomb into a gravel lot? They must have done it correct?

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
67. What dangerous narrative?
Mon May 23, 2016, 05:22 AM
May 2016

Acknowledging that Egypt Air has had 3 different incidences (just this year) and this could very well be the same thing? How is that a "dangerous narrative"? Especially considering the airline itself mentioned terrorism FIRST?

zentrum

(9,865 posts)
68. Doesn't matter what Egypt said.
Mon May 23, 2016, 08:54 AM
May 2016

Or its airline. For God sakes, is there no inner guiding principle that HRC will follow except the latest trending headline?

We're the big boots in the world. So it matters in a unique and powerful way what our "leaders" say. And when a future possible POTUS and past SOS says things like this, it not only sounds like George Bush, it increases local, even domestic acts of violence against Muslims, (since that's what "terrorist" is usually taken to mean), it hurts tourism in countries where tourism is already down 40%, it has indirect effects on the RW rise in Israel, it effects the recent Obama treaty with Iran about re-establishing diplomatic ties with a Muslim country, it increases worldwide tension, xenophobia and fear. Sorry if you can't make these worldwide links in your mind.

And I see you do not address what our actually really truly diplomatic SOS said: Don't say "terrorism" until you know for sure. It's its own loaded gun. Kerry said, may I repeat, "it harms people and countries". Saying it right off the bat codes like a reckless pander to the RW in this country.

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
69. Is this from the same idiotic
Mon May 23, 2016, 09:02 AM
May 2016

playbook that says you can't use the words Islamic extremism because it may make already pissed off terrorists more pissed off? Frankly, saying it may be the result of simple mechanical failure is a whole lot more scary than that Egypt Air has problems with terrorists getting their hands on their planes. Saying it looks like terrorism is realistic and frankly, I don't give a fuck if it messes with the Iran nuclear deal which looks more and more like a loser every single day.

AtheistCrusader

(33,982 posts)
75. Oh goodie, I see you're already lining up to pummel Iran too.
Mon May 23, 2016, 11:30 AM
May 2016

Is there a fucking difference between us and them anymore? Any difference at all?

How do I get off this train

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
81. What are you babbling about?
Mon May 23, 2016, 12:08 PM
May 2016

Who is them? Who is us? Perhaps you're happy with the mad mullahs in Iran but I detest religious freaks no matter whey they come from.

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
83. War drum?
Mon May 23, 2016, 12:17 PM
May 2016

So now hating the religious freaks that are in charge of iran makes me a warmonger. THIS is why your candidate is losing. Because of infantile, ridiculous arguments like yours - well done.

AtheistCrusader

(33,982 posts)
84. And what of the religious freaks here at home?
Mon May 23, 2016, 12:55 PM
May 2016

Who invades us to get rid of them?

Iran is a sovereign nation. We have a tenuous DIPLOMATIC deal worked out with them right now. It seems to be bearing fruit. From its inception, the far right, pro-war contingent have been savaging the president over it, because it makes war LESS likely with Iran.

That's the group you stand among. The ones who want to micromange the internals of another nation. People like John McCain.

Please stop. Let diplomacy do its job.

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
85. Really?
Mon May 23, 2016, 12:58 PM
May 2016

Just HOW and WHERE is this agreement bearing fruit? You mean like the micromanaging that DUers regularly engage in trashing Israel? You want to trust the mullahs, knock yourself out - I despise them.

If you haven't seen me trash religious freaks no matter where they come from, you don't follow me AT ALL.

AtheistCrusader

(33,982 posts)
89. I don't know or follow you.
Mon May 23, 2016, 02:22 PM
May 2016

You can probably guess by my username how tolerant I am of religious freaks when intersecting with Politics/Policy as well.


The UN is preparing to certify Iran's dismantling of their nuclear program. That's insane progress in three years. A master-stroke of foreign policy. Ahmadinejad was kept in office by fear mongering, shadow-boxing the great satan western imperialists, and Bush/Co. never failed to deliver them evidence that the US wanted to fight, and wanted to dominate them. Obama pulled the rug out from under him. Rouhani is a moderate. His rise is no fluke. It's the backpedal away from the right-wing extremists in Iran, who no longer have a ready supply of examples of western hegemony to beat the people about the head and neck with to shore up their support.

They lost an enemy. No windmills to tilt at now. So they have come to the diplomatic table, with negotiation rather than stonewall rhetoric. Obama has, with multi-national support, de-fused Iran. It's working.

No, from a civil rights standpoint, it's not all sweetness and light. Iran has a lot of problems for women, for people in general. It sucks there. But the hard-right is slipping, losing power. There's a shift underway.


Taking a hard-line diplomatic approach with Iran right now would un-do all the gains our current admin has accomplished, and that's intolerable to me.

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
92. Waiting until the generation
Mon May 23, 2016, 02:36 PM
May 2016

of mullahs to die would have worked in moderating Iran just as easily as this agreement did. While I usually come down heavily on one side or the other on subjects like that one, I easily could have argued both sides....mostly because although it sounded good, I give the mullahs zero credit for anything - especially in matters of life or death. Meanwhile, Iran still finances terrorism on a daily basis. That hasn't changed at all.

AtheistCrusader

(33,982 posts)
93. Depending on who does the accounting, so do we.
Mon May 23, 2016, 03:25 PM
May 2016

Sad but true. Everyone's playing the same game here. I hope you can see that.

I don't think the mullahs need to die off of old age for us to continue progressing here. They are already losing control. Had the riots in 2013 happened today, Iran would be a whole new country. Sadly, a lot of them died off or are in prison from that rioting.

The people of Iran are still pro-west and their politics are moving in that direction. It's something to encourage, not threaten.

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
94. That was one of the arguments
Mon May 23, 2016, 03:28 PM
May 2016

I used at the time - that the younger people are pro-Western. Like I said, I could easily argue both sides.

AtheistCrusader

(33,982 posts)
74. Kerry has been every bit the SoS that Hillary should have been.
Mon May 23, 2016, 11:28 AM
May 2016

Should have been president in 04, too.

 

Silver_Witch

(1,820 posts)
52. She is a fear monger and Hawk and anything...
Sat May 21, 2016, 03:13 AM
May 2016

that promotes hate and fear are her main feast.

Hillary will always see anger, fear and hate - because that is her nature. Pure and simple. My first thought was how horrible...all those poor people. Her's "looks like terrorism".

underthematrix

(5,811 posts)
29. NAZI Trump already went there
Fri May 20, 2016, 06:42 PM
May 2016

I expect HRC to say nothing until she receives info and clearance from the WH.

LiberalElite

(14,691 posts)
42. Except that she said this:
Fri May 20, 2016, 08:35 PM
May 2016

"Clinton also addressed the disappearance of EgyptAir Flight 804, saying the disaster "Shines a very bright light on the threat that we face from organized terror groups."

cstanleytech

(26,299 posts)
49. Thats because it actually does shine a light on a very real issue
Fri May 20, 2016, 11:26 PM
May 2016

from a number of sources around the world who do actually do try to commit such things like airline bombings, thats a fact its not a statement that is what actually happened to this airline because I dont think it was an actual bomb in this instance because if it was the assholes who had done it would have would have released a prepared statement to claim responsibility right away within the first few minutes if not hours.

 

phazed0

(745 posts)
11. Seems odd that it wasn't a terrorist attack..
Fri May 20, 2016, 04:31 PM
May 2016

considering all of the MSM, Trump and Hillary are on the "scary" bandwagon with no iota of information.

Bombs usually take a bit longer than 2-3 minutes to explode and don't cause localized fires.

Ford_Prefect

(7,901 posts)
12. It rather depends on what part is burning and where the smoke is inside the plane.
Fri May 20, 2016, 04:31 PM
May 2016

A relatively small fire in the right place could disable or disrupt important instruments and control functions. Smoke in the cockpit rather than the cabin could interfere with the pilots' ability to see the instruments telling them what the problems are.

As several have mentioned we have no idea at this point what caused the smoke. I agree with those who suggest that it is more likely something intentional than accidental, or a technical fault. But that does not make it so. The public reactions of political candidates asserting probable terrorism are not worth hearing. Until more is known that kind of remark amounts to yelling fire in a theater as far as I'm concerned.

If it was a terror attack why has no one taken credit? It's not worth doing this kind of thing if you get no PR from doing it, or at least claiming you did. Where's the terror value if nobody knows it was you that pulled it off?

 

Baclava

(12,047 posts)
14. A simple lav fire wouldn't bring down a modern jet. An electrical/cargo fire/bomb could.
Fri May 20, 2016, 05:02 PM
May 2016

Let the endless speculation until the data recorders are found, begin.

I give it a month till they find them, if at all. Like we've seen before, the deep ocean doesn't give up it's secrets easily.

AtheistCrusader

(33,982 posts)
18. Bombs tend to decompress airplanes.
Fri May 20, 2016, 05:07 PM
May 2016

Smoke detectors don't pick up heat or smoke in that condition.

This could have been a laptop fire in the cargo area below the deck, it could have been any number of things. It'll be months before we know much for sure. FDR and CVR *MIGHT* contain clues.

Edit: Fuck I got annoyed and started replying to you before fully reading your message. Your post was fine, sorry if I sounded snarky.

 

jtuck004

(15,882 posts)
20. Doesn't say front or rear, but it has both...
Fri May 20, 2016, 05:21 PM
May 2016


Whatever it was generated a lot of heat and smoke really fast, it seems, but with enough time for alarms to go off separated by minutes.Sounds more like a battery or oxygen-fed fire right near the panels that control things both fore and aft. It wouldn't be the first plane with a cargo that wasn't described correctly.Still could be a bomb, but they are darn quiet about it if it is.

At 37K feet, they might have had a minute to think about it, then all would be unconscious. Anyone who was asleep probably never knew. The pilots have masks and O2, but this might have started breaking the plane up as well, disrupting those systems, and falling into the sea.



 

maindawg

(1,151 posts)
22. Very irresponsible
Fri May 20, 2016, 06:03 PM
May 2016

Of the reporters to push the terror agenda in the first place. That the candidates Clinton and Trump Both immediately screamed terrorism is more than deeply disturbing. Here was a chance for Hillary to appear cautious and wise. But no, she went right out and pointed her pudgy little finger at terrorists.
Turns out some guy smoked a cigarette .

6chars

(3,967 posts)
33. Why would anyone think terror?
Fri May 20, 2016, 06:52 PM
May 2016

Just because the last year has already seen Isis blow up an egyptair flight leaving Cairo and killed hundreds in the Paris attack and right before this Paris to Cairo accident promised a flurry more emanating in Paris? Silly ct. Cigarette smokers are the real threat.

ProudToBeBlueInRhody

(16,399 posts)
55. I think it's hilarious you're ready to jump to a conclusion...
Sat May 21, 2016, 04:19 AM
May 2016

....to fit your narrative based on the scant additional information provided.

Chemisse

(30,813 posts)
31. This goes against the terrorism theory, I think.
Fri May 20, 2016, 06:44 PM
May 2016

A bomb (typically) would have had devastating effects much faster, and not by emitting smoke. It would puncture a hole in the airplane and the plane would decompress, and possibly break up in the air.

If a fire started in the cargo hold, it could take time for it to reach critical equipment and cut out the electronics, thereby causing the crash. That would account for the time lapse of a few minutes before the trouble started and the plane vanished from radar.

Yo_Mama

(8,303 posts)
48. Yes, but they would have communicated, and you would expect a different sequence of ACARS messages.
Fri May 20, 2016, 10:50 PM
May 2016

The problem seems to have started in the cockpit.

They'll get the recorders, recover most the wreckage, and I am sure they will come to a conclusion eventually.

This explains why they started talking about a bomb so quickly.

But, although it was a different plane and some changes have been made, Swissair 111 comes to mind. Electrical arcing caused a fire inside the upper right ceiling of the cockpit.
http://www.tsb.gc.ca/eng/medias-media/fiches-facts/a98h0003/sum_a98h0003.asp

In this case, perhaps under the flooring. By the time you see the first error message, perhaps it was far along, and it rapidly knocks out systems. So technical problem can't be ruled out?

Chemisse

(30,813 posts)
57. Ahh. Yeah, I was thinking of ValueJet 592 that crashed in the Everglades.
Sat May 21, 2016, 07:42 AM
May 2016

They lost communications quickly. But I looked it up and they did have a couple of minutes during which they communicated about smoke in the cockpit.

Angel Martin

(942 posts)
35. Swissair flight 111
Fri May 20, 2016, 06:53 PM
May 2016

crashed from equipment failures due to fire that started in the entertainment system.

There is still some question if unusual amounts of magnesium were placed deliberately as a fire accelerant.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swissair_Flight_111#Probable_cause

the EgyptAir timeline for equipment failure due to fire was much quicker

Bernardo de La Paz

(49,011 posts)
41. Benghazi !
Fri May 20, 2016, 08:28 PM
May 2016

A conservative site is reporting that there is a link between the captain and muslims involved in the Benghazi debacle.


blufinn

(6 posts)
43. Rubbish
Fri May 20, 2016, 08:51 PM
May 2016

Conservative says it all. Rubbish.

I still say it was short circuit or lithium batteries. And Trump and his blowhard mouth has to rant on and on and on.

 

Silver_Witch

(1,820 posts)
51. I remember when an airplane accident was just that an accident.
Sat May 21, 2016, 03:08 AM
May 2016

It is sad that the first assumption is terror - when accident is the more likely answer. I worry that we are all so full of fear. Perhaps there is a lesson in this.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
77. Part of that is that planes are MUCH safer today.
Mon May 23, 2016, 11:32 AM
May 2016

Seriously. I work in aviation. The strides made in aviation safety over the last 40 years is pretty astounding. It is a pretty rare event that we lose a large commercial aircraft to technical failures.

Look here:

http://www.boeing.com/resources/boeingdotcom/company/about_bca/pdf/statsum.pdf

DonCoquixote

(13,616 posts)
56. if this were a bomb
Sat May 21, 2016, 04:35 AM
May 2016

There would be a fight between Isis and Al-Quaeda to claim who did this first, and it would have been in the first hour.

Plus, this was a Paris to Egypt flight. If they had enough skill to place the bomb in Paris, would it not have made sense to blow the thing in, Paris? aka, send a blatant FU to the EU and go "nyah nyah nyah, we got you again."

JCMach1

(27,559 posts)
63. Now, imagine you have piled all of them you are allowed to bring aboard in say a trash bin...
Sat May 21, 2016, 02:49 PM
May 2016

backup power, laptop battery, several cell phone batteries, etc....


Just speculation, just as likely to be an actual bomb or some other type of catastrophic failure.

It's about probabilities...

Could even be a meteor strike, but that's an extremely extremely low probability...

Sunlei

(22,651 posts)
72. some reported a fireball 'falling'. Those poor people, 90 degree jolt to left, full 360 to right &
Mon May 23, 2016, 10:15 AM
May 2016

drop thousands of feet like a stone. Not a word from pilots, sounds like a bomb or very major explosion.

Response to MowCowWhoHow III (Original post)

MowCowWhoHow III

(2,103 posts)
87. Something for the conspiracy theorists to chew over
Mon May 23, 2016, 02:01 PM
May 2016

From and including: Saturday, 8 March 2014 (Malaysia Airlines Flight 370)
To and including: Thursday, 19 May 2016 (EgyptAir Flight 804)

is 804 days.

 

Baclava

(12,047 posts)
91. More conflicting reports: 'EgyptAir plane 'did not swerve' before crash'
Mon May 23, 2016, 02:34 PM
May 2016

Egypt air navigation official says plane did not swerve or lose altitude before it disappeared, as claimed by Greece.

The head of Egypt's state-run provider of air navigation services says that EgyptAir flight 804 did not swerve or lose altitude before it disappeared off radar, challenging an earlier account by Greece's defence minister.

Ehab Azmy, head of the National Air Navigation Services Company, told The Associated Press news agency on Monday that in the minutes before the plane disappeared it was flying at its normal altitude of 37,000 feet, according to the radar reading.

He said: "That fact degrades what the Greeks are saying about aircraft suddenly losing altitude before it vanished from radar."

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/05/egyptair-plane-swerve-crash-160523143800474.html

MowCowWhoHow III

(2,103 posts)
95. EgyptAir navigation official says plane didn't make sharp turns or lose altitude before disappearing
Mon May 23, 2016, 04:58 PM
May 2016
EGYPT: EgyptAir navigation official says plane didn't make sharp turns or lose altitude before disappearing as Greece claimed - @ZoraSuleman
https://twitter.com/Conflicts/status/734849842355245057
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