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SunSeeker

(51,574 posts)
Tue Jun 5, 2012, 09:39 PM Jun 2012

Exit poll: Obama bests Romney in Wisconsin by 12 points

Source: msnbc.com

With a third wave of exit poll data in, Wisconsin recall voters said they would pick President Obama over Republican Mitt Romney by a 54-42 percent margin in Wisconsin.

Caution, though, on the results -- 10 to 12 percent of the electorate voted absentee, and absentees are not included in the exit poll.

Exit polls show a tight race between incumbent Gov. Scott Walker (R) and Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett. If Walker is able to stave off the challenge and keeps his job, the Obama-Romney head-to-head numbers will throw cold water on analyses claiming the recall is a harbinger for this fall's presidential election.

Just 20 percent of Wisconsin voters said their personal financial situation had gotten better in the past two years; 45 percent said it was the same; 35 percent said it had gotten worse.

Despite that, voters didn't appear to blame President Obama. By a 45-36 percent margin, Wisconsin voters thought Obama would do a better job improving the economy than Romney, with 18 percent saying neither of them.

And by a 48-35 percent margin, voters said Obama would do a better job helping the middle class.


Read more: http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/06/05/12073187-exit-poll-obama-bests-romney-in-wisconsin-by-12-points?lite

16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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avebury

(10,952 posts)
3. I am confused. How can Walker be so far ahead (so far) yet Obama
Tue Jun 5, 2012, 09:49 PM
Jun 2012

doing so well. It seems like the two should be diametrically opposed.

LynneSin

(95,337 posts)
5. Cities take longer to get their returns in vs. rural/suburbs
Tue Jun 5, 2012, 09:54 PM
Jun 2012

Milwaukee is only at 6% returns and Barrett won that county with 62% of the vote. Not only does it take longer to vote but GOP controlled states tend to put less voting machines/voters in the cities - hoping that long lines will frustrate people and they go home. And if there are people in lines they all get to vote even if the polls are closed.

PLUS

The GOP will have their goons there questioning anyone who looks foreign to them - they will do everything to shave off voters.

SunSeeker

(51,574 posts)
6. I think you're talking about early returns--this is an exit poll.
Tue Jun 5, 2012, 09:57 PM
Jun 2012

Two very different things. The early returns tend to skew Republican. Small rural precincts that get their vote totals early tend to be Republican leaning. The Dems tend to vote later in the day (after work) and in very large precincts that report their vote totals quite late because of the huge size of the vote totals, such as Dane County (Madison).

LynneSin

(95,337 posts)
4. I am going to be very troubled if this exit poll stays like this and Walker somehow wins.
Tue Jun 5, 2012, 09:53 PM
Jun 2012

This isn't a Mike Castle or Susan Collins or some other moderate republican running for office. We don't have grey candidates here - this is black or white. I can't imagine anyone who still votes for Walker would consider voting for Obama in November.

It's one thing if the exit polls are only 1-2% between Romney and Obama. But if it's 10%+ for Obama and Walker wins then there is serious fraud going on with that election.

Wabbajack_

(1,300 posts)
11. Chuck Todd says
Tue Jun 5, 2012, 10:37 PM
Jun 2012

"Most important result from the exit poll: the 60% who said recalls are ONLY appropriate for OFFICIAL misconduct."

 

Daniel537

(1,560 posts)
15. Same reason someone would vote for Jay Nixon but not Barack Obama.
Wed Jun 6, 2012, 06:46 PM
Jun 2012

Some people like small govt. at the federal level and big govt. at the state level, in Wisconsin's case it would be vice-versa.

 

KamaAina

(78,249 posts)
16. So some people are cool with repukes destroying their state, but not the country, or vice versa.
Wed Jun 6, 2012, 07:02 PM
Jun 2012

cprise

(8,445 posts)
14. Exit polls are no longer considered an indicator of anything important
Wed Jun 6, 2012, 01:00 PM
Jun 2012

Especially if they agree with polls taken in the runup to an election.

It is a brave, new era of stupid.

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