Presidential Primary Poll (NC)
Source: Elon University
Registered voters who were self-identified Republicans or Independents who lean Republican
were asked who they planned to vote for if the presidential primary were held today. Fourteen
candidate names were read to respondents, with names randomly rotated to prevent primacy and
recency effects.
The survey found Carson in the lead with 31 percent. Carson gained 10 percentage points from
the prior Elon Poll conducted between September 17th and September 21st. Donald Trump
dropped to second place with 19 percent (compared to 21.5% in the last poll). Ted Cruz and
Marco Rubio are now in third place. Cruz was previously in 6th place with 6.2 percent but
currently has 9.7 percent support. Rubio was in 4th place in the previous poll with 7.4 percent,
but now has 9.7 percent support as well. Jeb Bush's support has dropped from 7 percent to 4.6
percent and Carly Fiorina, previously in 3rd place, has dropped to 6th place with only 3.4 percent
(a 6.5 point drop in support).
...snip...
Registered voters who are self-identified Democrats or Independents who lean Democratic were
asked who they would vote for if the presidential primary were held today. Three candidate
names were read to respondents with names rotated randomly.
Hillary Clinton is still the clear favorite among Democratic voters in North Carolina. Fifty-seven
percent said they planned on voting for Clinton, a 33 point lead over Bernie Sanders 24 percent.
Clinton's support is up 4 points from the September survey. Martin O'Malley had less than 3
percent support. Nearly 14 percent of Democrats or Democratic leaning Independents are still
undecided.
Read more: http://elon.edu/images/e-web/elonpoll/11_5_15_ElonPollEXEC.pdf
Elmer S. E. Dump
(5,751 posts)brooklynite
(94,745 posts)rtracey
(2,062 posts)I don't agree that it is COMPLETE bullshit, but I will say, trusting ANY POLL 1 year out is pretty asinine... you, I, we have ZERO idea what will happen in 2 weeks, 5 months, 12 months..... I start looking at polls the week before the election and a day AFTER elections just too see how close the polls were: IE ROMNEY WILL WIN IN A LANDSLIDE - DICK MORRIS POLL...hahahaha or the amazing result 538 had after the election.... they NAILED it......
onehandle
(51,122 posts)I didn't say primary voting starts in a year. The election is in a year. Polls now mean very little. No one knows what will happen in a week , month 6 months, etc.... IE tonight is a forum for Dems in South Carolina..well, Bernie, Hillary or O'Malley could say something very stupid, or very smart and change polls again...sort of like when Howard Dean was on top and did a rebel yell, (which I loved actually) and began too bottom out.....
Elmer S. E. Dump
(5,751 posts)bowens43
(16,064 posts)brooklynite
(94,745 posts)I'm Bernie Sanders and I approve this message?
CTyankee
(63,912 posts)so I am taking it easy. I try to stay clear of GD: Primaries for now. No use in getting all worked up early on...plenty of time for that later when we can all go legitimately nuts...