Cruz rising in Iowa; Clinton back out to dominant lead

[brooklynite]

Source: PPP

PPP's newest Iowa poll finds a tight race on the Republican side in the state with Donald Trump at 22%, Ben Carson at 21%, Ted Cruz at 14%, Marco Rubio at 10%, Mike Huckabee and Bobby Jindal each at 6%, and Jeb Bush and Carly Fiorina each at 5%. Polling further back are Chris Christie at 3%, John Kasich, Rand Paul, and Rick Santorum each at 2%, Lindsey Graham with less than 1%, and Jim Gilmore and George Pataki each with no supporters.

Compared to our last Iowa poll in mid-September Trump's support is down 2 points (from 24% to 22%), while Carson's support is up 4 points (from 17% to 21%) putting them in the deadlock. The big gainer from a month ago is Ted Cruz though. He's gone from 8% to 14%, and also seen his favorability rating improve from 51/23 to 62/16. Cruz is now leading the field in Iowa among Tea Party voters (34% to 24% for Trump and 22% for Carson), and voters who identify themselves as 'very conservative' (24% to 22% for Carson and 21% for Trump.)

...snip...

On the Democratic side in Iowa Hillary Clinton has really reestablished her dominance, getting 57% to 25% for Bernie Sanders, 7% for Martin O'Malley, and 1% for the now departed Lawrence Lessig. Clinton's seen a 15 point improvement in her net favorability rating over the last six weeks, from +42 at 65/23 in mid-September to now +57 at 74/17. Sanders has continued to become more popular too, going from 56/20 to 62/20.

Clinton is really dominating with several key groups in Iowa. Among seniors she's up 74/13 and with women she's up 61/21. She leads across the board with the various constituencies we track but it is tighter with younger voters (43/40), men (51/31), and voters who identify themselves as 'very liberal' (48/30).

Read more: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/11/cruz-rising-in-iowa-clinton-back-out-to-dominant-lead.html

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32 point spread. So Sanders is pretty much down to just New Hampshire at this point.

[Thinkingabout]

1. K & R

Hillary had a good October and I see smooth sailing.

[Control-Z]

2. I thought she was polling

ahead of Sanders in NH as well. Not by a lot but I thought she passed him up after the debate.

Can not wait for the next debate!!! (bouncy guy is just for fun! )

[brooklynite]

3. Split decision...of the past six polls, they've each been ahead in three...

There should be a new poll by Monmouth out tomorrow.

[George II]

5. New Hampshire right now is a toss-up. It will be interesting when NH voters realize........

.....early next year that they have to commit to a party before voting in one primary or the other.

[WI_DEM]

4. I'm actually rooting for Cruz in Iowa on the GOP side

Keep the clown show running as long as possible.

[oberliner]

8. Be careful what you wish for

He could actually end up making it all the way to the end.

[bluestateguy]

6. Hm

Looks like that other poll showing her up %41 in Iowa was for real.

[oberliner]

7. I can see Cruz winning Iowa

Which I think is even scarier than Trump winning.

[flamingdem]

9. I think Cruz has zero chance of winning the General

and he'll pull even less repigs to the polls.

Rubio seems more likely since he's not quite as nuts.

[oberliner]

10. Santorum won Iowa in 2012

And he had zero chance of winning the General.

I can see things going that way for Cruz since Iowa has a high evangelical population.

[BumRushDaShow]

11. And Santorum gave Rmoney a scare in 2012

winning a total of 10 primaries. Cruz may pick up those same states in 2016 (although Santorum is still trying to hang in there).

[Dawson Leery]

12. Still 6 out of 10 Repubs are opting for a kook as their candidate.