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New Hampshire: Rubio Rising In GOP Race
Source: Monmouth University
West Long Branch, NJ – Donald Trump maintains his sizable lead in the New Hampshire
Republican primary and Ben Carson holds onto second place, but the latest Monmouth University Poll
has found a new occupant in the 3rd place slot – Marco Rubio. GOP primary voters are also unhappy with
the recent budget deal reached by Congress, and their ire is directed at both parties.
One-in-four (26%) likely GOP primary voters in New Hampshire continue to back Donald Trump
for the presidential nomination. Ben Carson (16%) places second and Marco Rubio (13%) comes in third,
followed closely by John Kasich (11%). Other contenders include Ted Cruz (9%), Jeb Bush (7%), Carly
Fiorina (5%), Chris Christie (5%), and Rand Paul (3%). None of the other six candidates included in the
poll registers higher than 1%.
Most of these results are within a few points of each candidates’ vote share back in September,
except for Marco Rubio whose support has tripled from 4%. In the past two months, Christie’s support
has increased by 3 points, while support for Trump and Fiorina have each decreased by 2 points, all
within the survey’s margin of error. No other candidate’s vote share changed by more than one
percentage point since September. When voters’ first and second choices are combined, Trump (35%),
Carson (31%), and Rubio (27%) clearly stand out from the rest of the field, including Kasich (18%), Cruz
(18%), Bush (17%), Fiorina (14%), and Christie (13%)
Republican primary and Ben Carson holds onto second place, but the latest Monmouth University Poll
has found a new occupant in the 3rd place slot – Marco Rubio. GOP primary voters are also unhappy with
the recent budget deal reached by Congress, and their ire is directed at both parties.
One-in-four (26%) likely GOP primary voters in New Hampshire continue to back Donald Trump
for the presidential nomination. Ben Carson (16%) places second and Marco Rubio (13%) comes in third,
followed closely by John Kasich (11%). Other contenders include Ted Cruz (9%), Jeb Bush (7%), Carly
Fiorina (5%), Chris Christie (5%), and Rand Paul (3%). None of the other six candidates included in the
poll registers higher than 1%.
Most of these results are within a few points of each candidates’ vote share back in September,
except for Marco Rubio whose support has tripled from 4%. In the past two months, Christie’s support
has increased by 3 points, while support for Trump and Fiorina have each decreased by 2 points, all
within the survey’s margin of error. No other candidate’s vote share changed by more than one
percentage point since September. When voters’ first and second choices are combined, Trump (35%),
Carson (31%), and Rubio (27%) clearly stand out from the rest of the field, including Kasich (18%), Cruz
(18%), Bush (17%), Fiorina (14%), and Christie (13%)
Read more: http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212
So, Bush has pledged to win NH. That means he has to double his vote just to pass Rubio, and then double it again to beat Trump. Piece of cake.
5 replies
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