Dangerous Flood Threat Looms In Texas As Tropical Disturbance In Gulf Pushes North
Source: Associated Press
By Brian McNoldy June 15 at 10:45 AM
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A tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico, with the potential to become the hurricane seasons second named storm, will bring a significant amount of tropical moisture and rainfall to the southern states this week mostly to areas that are still saturated from the past couple months of above-average rainfall.
Beginning tonight and extending through Wednesday, eastern Texas and eastern Oklahoma could see widespread rainfall totals of five to seven inches, with isolated locations getting 10 or more. Needless to say, this could turn out to be a very dangerous situation for flash flooding in these areas that were inundated by excessive rainfall events time and again in May.
Flood and flash flood watches have already been issued as the tropical disturbance, which could be named Bill by the National Hurricane Center some time on Monday, tracks north toward Texas. The National Weather Service in Houston has issued a special weather statement warning residents in southeast Texas of a dangerous flood threat over the next few days.
https://img.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1484
Seven-day rainfall forecast, from this morning through next Monday morning. (NOAA/WPC)
To put that forecast into perspective, consider these maps that highlight just how wet it has been there already this spring. The first one shows the rainfall anomaly as a percent of normal (if a location received 10 inches in the past 60 days and the average over the same period is five inches, that would be 200 percent of average).
Read more: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/06/15/dangerous-flood-threat-looms-in-texas-as-tropical-disturbance-pushes-north/
heaven05
(18,124 posts)could it be related to climate change from global warming? Nah, that's too close to science and everyone knows climatological science is not true...
B2G
(9,766 posts)I get that...and?
Paladin
(28,276 posts)...Texans included.
I never felt any glee at the misfortune of anyone else and never intimated that I did. Go try to pick a fight with someone else, no dice here. And if I had grabbed that bullshit bait, I would have been letting myself down. Go try to pick on someone else with your typical M.O.
Lean
(39 posts)for giving us eight years of George W. Bush!
snooper2
(30,151 posts)just FYI
leftyladyfrommo
(18,874 posts)Oh, or gay marriage.
I've heard both.
AuntPatsy
(9,904 posts)homegirl
(1,434 posts)why God is punishing Texas, again.
lib87
(535 posts)Tx is getting hit hard with flooding this season.
riversedge
(70,329 posts)more Gov aid even as he voted it down for other states.--if this develops
safeinOhio
(32,729 posts)going to hit Ireland because god is mad at them.
A Simple Game
(9,214 posts)Now that the Arctic is open most of the year they have a easy path to Ireland.
ananda
(28,879 posts)It's already promising to be a week of rain here.
Yesterday it rained a flood. Today it's a bit
lighter.
I really don't look forward to what's coming,
and that's saying a lot considering the long
drought that has just been overcome.
rocktivity
(44,580 posts)I thought Florida was in charge of getting that kind of weather -- good thing climate change is a hoax...
rocktivity
KamaAina
(78,249 posts)TBF
(32,106 posts)We are 50 miles from the coast and already getting the warnings and closures for tomorrow (we are south of the city of Houston)
juajen
(8,515 posts)Ya'll stay safe. Love.
dhill926
(16,370 posts)really don't appreciate some of the snark in this thread. We should be better than that.
vkkv
(3,384 posts)really shouldn't be electing idiots like, Perry, Abbott, Gohmert, Franks, Cruz, Inhofe, Hensarling, Barton, Sessions, L. Smith, Farenthold and Cornyn. We should be better than that.
DashOneBravo
(2,679 posts)I have friends there in Houston.
Also I love Texas.
Gman
(24,780 posts)But if the track ends up more to the west and the wet side passes over the Hill Country, it could produce Wimberly type floods on a very broad scale.
vkkv
(3,384 posts)Come on Cruz, Gohmert and Trent Franks, something to sell the public on!
We KNOW you can do it!
Your constituents will drink it up!
ChairmanAgnostic
(28,017 posts)Wow. For a christian (ahem) state, they sure see a ton of wrath from their dog. gawd. god. whatever.
B2G
(9,766 posts)They are snarky, cruel and uncalled for.
ChairmanAgnostic
(28,017 posts)B2G
(9,766 posts)ChairmanAgnostic
(28,017 posts)Austin is wonderful, but for the rest of it? If they seceded, I would not miss it.
Paladin
(28,276 posts)They finally recovered the remains of the woman who was a college friend of one of my children. This lady was one of the people who was swept away in the recent Wimberley, TX floods. They also recovered the body of her little girl; the remains of her little boy have yet to be found. Her husband survived. This woman was a guest in our home on more than one occasion, years ago, and she seemed in all ways to be a wonderful person. She and her children damned sure didn't deserve to die like that---even though they were Texans.
Gothmog
(145,631 posts)I live in Fort Bend and I work in Houston. I have not seen any computer models on the likely landfall location for Bill. I think that no one is really sure.
I am expecting rain and flooding. we are delaying the opening of my law office tomorrow in anticipation of some floodig
TexasBushwhacker
(20,220 posts)Since the ground is still quite saturated, we could have a "brown ocean" where the storm doesn't lose strength as it moves inland.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brown_ocean_effect
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)So many weird things are happening these days as a result of climate change. It seems like it's only going to get worse.
Monsoon season starts here in Korea in a few weeks. It will be interesting to see what this year has in store. The last few years have been pretty dry. I remember my second year here (2005) it seems like it rained and rained hard every single day during monsoon season. Now the weather is getting more extreme with hotter summers and colder winters.
niyad
(113,596 posts)happyslug
(14,779 posts)http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIAPWSAT2+shtml/160846.shtml
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022015
0900 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAFFIN BAY TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 95.7W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 15SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 95.7W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 95.3W
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 29.0N 96.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 30.6N 97.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 32.6N 97.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.5N 96.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 36.3N 94.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 39.0N 88.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N 95.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCMAT2+shtml/160845.shtml