Iowa Poll: Iowans favor Democrats for Congress in 2018
NOTE: Iowa's Congressional districts are drawn by a commission and not as badly gerrymandered as in other states.
Iowans favor electing Democrats to Congress over Republicans, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
Forty percent of Iowa Poll respondents say they would vote for a Democrat if congressional elections were held today, compared to 34 percent who say they would back a Republican.
The finding is notable because Republicans hold three of Iowas four congressional seats, including two seen as among the most competitive in the country in 2018.
The results of a so-called generic ballot question provide insight into how Iowans views have shifted after voting heavily in favor of Republican Donald Trump in 2016, said Nathan Gonzales, an elections forecaster and publisher of the nonpartisan Inside Elections newsletter.
It sounds like voters are more skeptical about Republicans going into the 2018 elections, he said.
Democrats are favored among women, all age groups, those earning under $70,000 and people living in cities and towns. A narrow plurality of 31 percent of independents say they would back a Democrat, compared with 28 percent who say theyd vote Republican.
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/2017/12/14/iowa-poll-iowans-favor-democrats-congress-2018/945913001/