Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

SoCalMusicLover

(3,194 posts) Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:36 PM Dec 2017

0

So When Exactly Is Jones Going To Start Catching Up?

I see 60% Reporting, and Doug is still losing by 3%+.

19 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

So When Exactly Is Jones Going To Start Catching Up? (Original Post) SoCalMusicLover Dec 2017 OP

When Birmingham and Montgomery come in marylandblue Dec 2017 #1

+1 n/t LuckyCharms Dec 2017 #2

When, or IF, they start counting black votes DemocraticSocialist8 Dec 2017 #3

Yep, absolutely. n/t TDale313 Dec 2017 #4

Very big if. Crunchy Frog Dec 2017 #12

The four major metropolitan areas and African American voters in the north, I hear. n/t Akoto Dec 2017 #5

Birmingham is out (half of Bham) woolldog Dec 2017 #6

Keep in mind, the most populous counties (where Jones is just RUNNING AWAY with it) still have a TON Grown2Hate Dec 2017 #7

Yep, and the "Black Belt" is kicking ass Drahthaardogs Dec 2017 #15

Moore is running out of votes. Still lots of blue areas to count. Kaleva Dec 2017 #8

...or NOT count. regnaD kciN Dec 2017 #9

A lot of Mobile votes haven't been counted brooklynite Dec 2017 #10

Moore +7% Owl Dec 2017 #11

Look at the voting breakdown... Drunken Irishman Dec 2017 #13

Red counties in, blue counties not yet counted grantcart Dec 2017 #14

Here He Comes!!!! Stallion Dec 2017 #16

Not... Baconator Dec 2017 #17

Moore with +23000 votes. Owl Dec 2017 #18

Now! he won now! Jones WINNER bronxiteforever Dec 2017 #19

marylandblue

(12,344 posts)

1. When Birmingham and Montgomery come in

Reply to SoCalMusicLover (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:38 PM

Dec 2017

LuckyCharms

(17,440 posts)

2. +1 n/t

Reply to marylandblue (Reply #1)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:38 PM

Dec 2017

DemocraticSocialist8

(396 posts)

3. When, or IF, they start counting black votes

Reply to SoCalMusicLover (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:39 PM

Dec 2017

TDale313

(7,820 posts)

4. Yep, absolutely. n/t

Reply to DemocraticSocialist8 (Reply #3)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:40 PM

Dec 2017

Crunchy Frog

(26,587 posts)

12. Very big if.

Reply to DemocraticSocialist8 (Reply #3)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:43 PM

Dec 2017

Akoto

(4,266 posts)

5. The four major metropolitan areas and African American voters in the north, I hear. n/t

Reply to SoCalMusicLover (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:40 PM

Dec 2017

woolldog

(8,791 posts)

6. Birmingham is out (half of Bham)

Reply to SoCalMusicLover (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:40 PM

Dec 2017

Montgomery is out. Mobile vote is out. Tuscalosa vote is out. A lot of the rural vote is in.

Grown2Hate

(2,012 posts)

7. Keep in mind, the most populous counties (where Jones is just RUNNING AWAY with it) still have a TON

Reply to SoCalMusicLover (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:40 PM

Dec 2017

to come in. And look at those DEEP red counties in the north? They're all almost 100% counted already.

Quick, messy math: I can see Jones making up 60K votes in Jefferson County alone.

I mean, I'm not a prognosticator, so please don't quote me, but I feel half-way decent about it.

Drahthaardogs

(6,843 posts)

15. Yep, and the "Black Belt" is kicking ass

Reply to Grown2Hate (Reply #7)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:46 PM

Dec 2017

Thank God women and minorities turned out. WTF is wrong with white males?

Kaleva

(36,301 posts)

8. Moore is running out of votes. Still lots of blue areas to count.

Reply to SoCalMusicLover (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:41 PM

Dec 2017

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)

9. ...or NOT count.

Reply to Kaleva (Reply #8)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:41 PM

Dec 2017

brooklynite

(94,572 posts)

10. A lot of Mobile votes haven't been counted

Reply to SoCalMusicLover (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:42 PM

Dec 2017

Owl

(3,642 posts)

11. Moore +7%

Reply to SoCalMusicLover (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:42 PM

Dec 2017

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

13. Look at the voting breakdown...

Reply to SoCalMusicLover (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:44 PM

Dec 2017

It's a five-point margin.

BUT

Jefferson County still has 60% unreported (Jones leads 81%-18)
Mobile County still has 84% unreported (Jones leads 66%-32%)
Montgomery County still has 68% unreported (Jones leads 72-28)

Once those counties start fully reporting, the margins should change in a hurry.

grantcart

(53,061 posts)

14. Red counties in, blue counties not yet counted

Reply to SoCalMusicLover (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:45 PM

Dec 2017

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones#eln-forecast-section

Stallion

(6,474 posts)

16. Here He Comes!!!!

Reply to SoCalMusicLover (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:52 PM

Dec 2017

down only 20,000

Baconator

(1,459 posts)

17. Not...

Reply to SoCalMusicLover (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 10:57 PM

Dec 2017

Owl

(3,642 posts)

18. Moore with +23000 votes.

Reply to SoCalMusicLover (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 11:03 PM

Dec 2017

bronxiteforever

(9,287 posts)

19. Now! he won now! Jones WINNER

Reply to SoCalMusicLover (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 11:43 PM

Dec 2017

Reply to this discussion

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»So When Exactly Is Jones ...