*** LIVE THREAD - JONES WINS *** ALABAMA SENATE SPECIAL ELECTION ***

[eppur_se_muova]

Please post updates as they come in.

1% counted - Moore 77%, update to 60% Jones -- waiting for more %

I'm watching MSNBC live, results at the bottom of the screen

Older, men, no college favor Moore
Younger, women, college educated favor Jones
No surprises there.

[brooklynite]

1. Now 60/40 Jones...

Really no point in reporting anything until we're between 5-10%

[Drunken Irishman]

2. I would say it doesn't matter until it's 25-30%, actually.

Even at 5-10% you're looking at only a fraction of the overall vote.

[Wounded Bear]

3. Early returns are probably from blue districts...

urban and suburban areas with better infrastructure.

[obamanut2012]

5. State returns are ctually usualy the reverse

Urban/blue areas report last or close to last, smaller rural araes are first.

These early votes are probably absentee.

[2theleft]

4. My favorite site to watch online:

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones

It updates every 30 seconds.

[a kennedy]

6. Yup, this is the best site.

[eppur_se_muova]

7. Doug Jones leads by 12 percentage points over Roy Moore with 2 percent of precincts fully reporting.

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones#eln-forecast-section

There are some blue spots showing up in unexpected places (I'm ignoring "preliminary" results; results for at least one precinct in).

[yallerdawg]

8. Watch Talledega County!

26% in, 60-40 for Jones!

Yes - home of NASCAR!

That could be an early bellwether!

[yallerdawg]

33. 70% Talledega County reporting!

Jones holds lead 54-46%!

[yallerdawg]

83. Jones held Talledega County 100% reporting!!!

51-49%!

Unheard of!!!!

[eppur_se_muova]

9. Doug Jones leads by 8 percentage points over Roy Moore with 3 percent of precincts fully reporting.

[grantcart]

10. kick

[grantcart]

11. Moore under performing in Limestone county -- good news

[eppur_se_muova]

12. Woohoo ! Madison Co going 2:1 for Jones ! OK, only 1 precinct -- still ! nt

[L. Coyote]

13. Who has other election results links to add?

Great mapping and graphics here:

http://www.cnn.com/election/2017/results/alabama-senate

Jones 53.5% 13,355
Moore 45.5% 11,350
Write-ins 1.0% 244

Link to tweet

[L. Coyote]

17. Thanks FuzzyRabbit for posting this on the the thread I'll delete.

Alabama Secretary of State results are behind CNN in updating, but i suspect this is more official. We should track both.

http://www2.alabamavotes.gov/electionNight/statewideResultsByContest.aspx?ecode=1000915

Jones 3,742
Moore 2,285

[L. Coyote]

19. NY Times: In Election Interference, Its What Reporters Didn't Find That Matters

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones

Roy Moore leads by 6 percentage points over Doug Jones with 9 percent of precincts fully reporting.
Roy Moore Republican 50,524 52.2%
Doug Jones Democrat 44,878 46.4%
Total Write-Ins 1,418 1.5%

Looks like the rural vote is coming in first.

[eppur_se_muova]

14. Jones leading 10:1 in Etowah Co -- home of Gadsden !!

OK, OK, it's only one precinct ! Still !


UPDATE: Now three precincts reporting. Jones 71.8%

[L. Coyote]

15. Exit polls .. women voting for Jones by a 57% to 42% margin

Link to tweet

This is what Trump can expect on the outside chance he's not in jail in 2020.

[eppur_se_muova]

16. Red counties showing mostly more write-in votes -- some over 2%

One with 3.6%


UPDATE: Madison Co. now nearly 4%

Moore could lose by a margin less than the write-in vote. That would mean R's just couldn't vote for Roy.

[eppur_se_muova]

18. Roy Moore leads by 8 percentage points over Doug Jones with 7 percent of precincts fully reporting.

Ugh. This is the first time Moore has pulled ahead.

[L. Coyote]

20. NY Times forecast LIVE

Live Estimates of the Final Vote
Updated at 8:57:24 PM ET
https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones?smid=tw-share#eln-forecast-section

Our estimates are based on the results reported so far, the results of previous elections and demographic data. Unlike reported results, they attempt to account for precincts that have not yet reported their votes. The shaded area in the gauge below shows the range of our forecasts.

Right now, our most likely estimates span Jones +13 to Moore +15. The more we know, the narrower our range will be.

Our best guess is that Mr. Moore has a small advantage, but the race is very close.

[eppur_se_muova]

21. Voters already in line at poll closing can still cast ballots

Alabama polls closed at 7 p.m. local time, 8 p.m. ET, but votes are still being cast: Those in line at the timepolls closed are still legally allowed to cast their ballot.

Doug Jones allies — including actress Alyssa Milano who is on the ground in Alabama today — are urging voters to stay in line.

Alyssa Milano
✔
@Alyssa_Milano

ALABAMA! If you are in line when the polls close you have the right to vote. STAY IN LINE. And if you have any issues please call the Doug Jones Voter Protection Hotline [phone]
6:55 PM - Dec 12, 2017

67 67 Replies
778 778 Retweets
1,297

https://www.nbcnews.com/card/alabama-voters-line-poll-closing-can-still-cast-ballots-n829036

[mindfulNJ]

22. Roy Moore pulling away

Still lots to come in...can we still hope?

[yallerdawg]

23. Virtually nothing yet from Birmingham, Montgomery, Mobile!

And the Black Belt counties will likely be 90% Jones!

[L. Coyote]

24. Daily Kos Elections Alabama Senate special election liveblog thread #2

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2017/12/12/1723671/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Alabama-Senate-special-election-liveblog-thread-2

[L. Coyote]

25. Roy Moore leads by 1.5 percentage points over Doug Jones with 15 percent of precincts fully reportin

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones
Candidate Party Votes Pct.
Roy Moore Republican 75,384 50.1%
Doug Jones Democrat 73,177 48.6
Total Write-Ins — 1,901 1.3

[Thrill]

26. Embarrassing State

Very Pathetic

[Alea]

53. Sorry, we tried

These states gave us trump

Alaska
Idaho
Montana
North Dakota
South Dakota
Wyoming
Nebraska
Utah
Arizona
Kansas
Oklahoma
Texas
Louisiana
Arkansas
Missouri
Indiana
Wisconsin
Michigan
Kentucky
Tennessee
Ohio
West Virginia
Georgia
Florida
South Carolina
North Carolina
Pennsylvania
Part of Maine
and Alabama

[mahatmakanejeeves]

27. Per exits, white voters w. college degrees for Moore 59-37. Moore 78-20 among white voters, no deg.

Retweeted by Dave Weigel: https://twitter.com/daveweigel

Per exits, white voters with college degrees went for Moore by 59-37. But Romney won that group by 59 POINTS in 2012. Moore also wins 78-20 among white voters WITHOUT college degrees. That's a much larger group (36% of total)

Link to tweet

Also check https://twitter.com/Fahrenthold

and https://twitter.com/washingtonpost

[Kaleva]

28. Lots of blue vote left to be counted in Birmingham

[Takket]

29. rememeber the small rural counties with few voters come in first

that is where Moore needs to build his lead then Jones needs to come back when the cities are counted. The count being about 50/50 right now is BAD for Moore.

[eppur_se_muova]

30. Roy Moore leads by 5 percentage points over Doug Jones with 21 percent of precincts fully reporting.

[Akoto]

31. 9:05pm EST - MSNBC: 13% in, too close to call, less than 5000 votes between. n/t

[Ccarmona]

32. Ive been to every State in the Union except

Alabama & South Carolina. I will never step into either one of those Racist States. I suggest everyone else do the same. Why spend one hard earned cent to support racism, sexism, and total suppression of critical thought.

[L. Coyote]

34. Live Estimates of the Final Vote -- current estimated margin --Moore +0.6%

Turnout is key at this point.

[Ccarmona]

35. 17% In

Moore 114,478
Jones 108,989

[L. Coyote]

36. Roy Moore leads by 8 percentage points over Doug Jones with 25 percent of precincts fully reporting.

Roy Moore Republican 138,318 53.2%
Doug Jones Democrat 118,077 45.4
Total Write-Ins — 3,418 1.3

25% reporting (563 of 2,220 precincts)

[femmedem]

37. I like the analysis at 538's blog where they are comparing results to benchmarks.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/alabama-senate-election-results/

[Legends303]

38. they should call the race already

Jones is down by 8% that's not good

[ClarendonDem]

41. I've been saying for weeks

That a Jones win would be absolutely shocking.

[bearsfootball516]

43. Well, a quick scan of your previous posts confirms that you're a troll.

[Drahthaardogs]

51. Moose Comrade, Moose

No trolls here, only mooses

[renegade000]

44. No...

Jones might lose, but it's going to be very close. All the major urban areas that Jones is winning by decent margins are still outstanding...

[L. Coyote]

45. NY Times is calling it for Jones based on current results.

[eppur_se_muova]

39. Houston, Randolph Cos. 100% reporting

Both favor Moor by ~2:1. Both rural, AFAIK

[eppur_se_muova]

56. Moore UNDERPERFORMING in both Cos. -- Cornacki just confirmed. nt

[L. Coyote]

40. Roy Moore leads by 4 percentage points over Doug Jones with 29 percent of precincts fully reporting.

Roy Moore Republican 162,117 51.6%
Doug Jones Democrat 148,109 47.1
Total Write-Ins — 4,205 1.3

29% reporting (652 of 2,220 precincts)

[L. Coyote]

42. NY Times Estimated margin -- NOW Jones +2.9%

YUUUUUGE shift!

Estimated margin, in pct. points
Jones +2.9
Reported marginNo reported leader

[BootinUp]

48. Oh dear I guess I gotta get my hopes up

Just a tad...

[Johnny2X2X]

54. Jones +4.9 now

77% win chance.

No idea how they're calculating this, but I like it.

[eppur_se_muova]

46. TRMS just confirmed 30% black turnout nt

[yallerdawg]

47. NYT has Jones at...

over 60% chance of winning!

[eppur_se_muova]

49. There is a lot of blue on that map, including some unexpected places.

Even some counties with more than 50% of precincts reporting.

[L. Coyote]

50. Jones ---- Chance of winning 77%

[jamzrockz]

52. Last election

I went to bed with Hillary safely in the lead and woke up with the shock of my life. Its not over till it is over. Still think Jones will eek out a win.

[jamzrockz]

104. Have been calling a Jones win all week

Rest easy people

[Takket]

55. moore is really struggling right now

only up about ~20000 but hardly anything has been counted in the counties housing Montgomery, Tuscaloosa, mobile and Birmingham

[L. Coyote]

57. Estimated margin NOW at Jones +5.1% --- 77% chance of winning.

Roy Moore leads by 6 percentage points over Doug Jones with 37 percent of precincts fully reporting. Jump to estimate of final result ?
Candidate Party Votes Pct.
Roy Moore Republican 205,763 52.3%
Doug Jones Democrat 182,224 46.3
Total Write-Ins — 5,240 1.3

[yallerdawg]

62. MOORE IS RUNNING OUT OF VOTES!

[grantcart]

58. Nate Silver: Jones over performing in Urban areas and they haven't reported much in urban areas yet

[Ccarmona]

59. Link to NYT Forecast Page

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=b-lede-package-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news#eln-forecast-section|

[eppur_se_muova]

61. Roy Moore leads by 5 percentage points over Doug Jones with 39 percent of precincts fully reporting

But NYTimes calling it for Jones !

[Ccarmona]

64. Where, l dont see that

I see the Times is saying Jones has more paths to Victory, but they haven’t called it.

[eppur_se_muova]

66. Sorry, *PROJECTING* it for Jones.

Scroll to the bottom of the page:

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones?smid=tw-share#eln-forecast-section

[L. Coyote]

63. Check the NY Times maps. We are still waiting on BLUE Montgomery County(?)

Roy Moore Republican 223,600 52.1%
Doug Jones Democrat 200,046 46.6
Total Write-Ins — 5,858 1.4

41% reporting (903 of 2,220 precincts)

[eppur_se_muova]

65. Russell Co. 100% in -- goes for Jones ! nt

[L. Coyote]

67. NOW 89% chance Jones wins.

Roy Moore leads by 3 percentage points over Doug Jones with 48 percent of precincts fully reporting.
Candidate Party Votes Pct.
Roy Moore Republican 254,321 51.0%
Doug Jones Democrat 238,023 47.7
Total Write-Ins — 6,599 1.3

48% reporting (1,072 of 2,220 precincts)

[Takket]

68. times just jumped to 90% odds of jones win..........

long way to go but the vast majority of precincts to be counted are in urban areas where jones has huge leads.

[DemocraticSocialist8]

69. A lot of BLUE COUNTIES have lots of votes left to be counted.

Seems like most of the red votes are coming first.

[yallerdawg]

70. NYT!!!

90% CHANCE JONES WINS!!!!

[flamingdem]

91. New York Time predicting this?

?

[yallerdawg]

98. It goes up and down...

but at time I posted, it was 90% chance of winning!

It's at 65% NOW and the only deep blue urban votes left to count!

[KelleyKramer]

71. Moore is running out of places to get votes

And Jones still has a lot that will be coming from the major cities

Wow

[femmedem]

72. Turnout is down in heavily red areas per Nate Silver's blog

Moore meeting his percentage benchmarks, but turnout is way down in white GOP areas.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/alabama-senate-election-results/

[eppur_se_muova]

73. Several small counties now 100% or almost so in, solidly blue -- but low populations.

These are counties with <5000 voters total, in some cases. Montgomery Co has more votes than all combined. These were kind of a "given".

[L. Coyote]

74. Estimated margin NOW -- Jones +8.3%

Roy Moore leads by 4 percentage points over Doug Jones with 50 percent of precincts fully reporting. Jump to estimate of final result ?
Candidate Party Votes Pct.
Roy Moore Republican 267,360 51.3%
Doug Jones Democrat 247,009 47.4
Total Write-Ins — 6,948 1.3

50% reporting (1,106 of 2,220 precincts)

[eppur_se_muova]

75. Madison Co. 3:2 for Jones -- home to 3rd largest city in AL

About half precincts reporting

[eppur_se_muova]

78. Talladega Co 100% in -- marginally for Jones nt

[eppur_se_muova]

84. Counties with AL's five largest cities all going for Jones.

LOTS of votes still to come in from Montgomery, Mobile, even B'ham.

[L. Coyote]

76. NY Times: 565,000 votes remain .... We think Mr. Jones leads in that vote by about 14.1 points.

565,000 votes remain to be counted. We think Mr. Jones leads in that vote by about 14.1 points.

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones

[regnaD kciN]

81. ...and how big were the odds they gave Hillary to win when polls closed a year ago?

Not sure I trust the NYT's election prognostications.

[Takket]

77. uh.... okay this is odd.....................

moore's lead keeps creeping up despite most of the red counties being at 100%.... jones should be making up ground at this point, moore doesn't have a whole lot of voted left out there but he's suddenly jumped to a 50k lead.................

[L. Coyote]

86. We are still waiting on some BLUE areas to report.

and the prediction reflect what you report

NOW:

Estimated margin, in pct. points
Jones +2.1

Chance of winning
62% Jones

68% reporting (1,511 of 2,220 precincts)

[grantcart]

79. most of the rest of the vote is from blue counties

[L. Coyote]

80. Nate Silver "I wouldnt take the probabilities too literally, at least until later in the night."

Nate Silver 9:37 PM
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/alabama-senate-election-results/?lpup=14604987#livepress-update-14604987

The Upshot’s model shows good news for Jones, but it has also been swinging around a fair bit. A few minutes ago, they had him with a 90 percent chance of winning, but that probability is now back down to 67 percent.

I really admire what the Upshot folks are trying to do, but it’s also worth noting that building a live-updating model based on partial returns is a really hard problem. Among other things, its hard to calibrate your estimates of uncertainty based on empirical data, because (to put this in a nontechnical way) every state and every election is different. So I’d keep a watchful eye on the Upshot’s dials to get an overall sense of how things are trending, but I wouldn’t take the probabilities too literally, at least until later in the night.

[Ccarmona]

82. With the NYT saying Jones has a 65% Chance, Time for Putin

To pull his magic lever and throw the election to Moore.

[pangaia]

85. Nyt

Nyt has mostly blue areas left.

But what the heck do i know

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones#eln-forecast-section

[L. Coyote]

87. Estimated margin --- Jones +3.3 --- 69% reporting

70% probability Jones wins.

[L. Coyote]

88. This is what to watch, scroll down to Estimated Votes Remaining

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones

We think about 420,000 votes remain to be counted. We think Mr. Jones leads in that vote by about 14.9 points.

[cynatnite]

90. ****THIS**** n/t

[GreenEyedLefty]

107. I trust the New York Times.

I remember the sucker punch last November.

[L. Coyote]

113. I trust the ability of statisticians to write a prediction algorithm.

I did the algebraic for Florida 2000, had to send an alert to Al Gore as he drove to his concession speech. Told them the would win Florida by several hundred votes. They turned around and cancelled the concession.

[GreenEyedLefty]

119. What you said.

I can't spell all them big words.

[SoCalMusicLover]

89. Appears To Be Narrowing nt

[mvd]

92. Only 2.5% Moore lead now

Looking better!

[DemocraticSocialist8]

93. MOORE LEAD DOWN TO 2.5%!!!

[Thor_MN]

94. Dallas county? still no reporting?

How does that county stack up?

[renegade000]

97. That's a DEM county n/t

[eppur_se_muova]

95. Roy Moore leads by 2.8 percentage points over Doug Jones with 76 percent of precincts fully reportin

[eppur_se_muova]

99. Folks, most of the small counties' votes are in. Lots showing 100% reporting.

The big outstanding precincts are all blue. Some heavily blue. Moore's lead is shrinking, and there's basically no way it can go back up.

ETA: The outstanding votes from Jeff Co alone should swamp Moore's current lead.

[Takket]

100. lead finally shrinking and jones still has about 50000 votes in montgomery...........

[Takket]

102. i meant birmingham

[L. Coyote]

101. Roy Moore +3.0 percentage points over Doug Jones with 77 percent of precincts fully reporting

Roy Moore leads by 3.0 percentage points over Doug Jones with 77 percent of precincts fully reporting. Jump to estimate of final result ?
Candidate Party Votes Pct.
Roy Moore Republican 446,905 50.8%
Doug Jones Democrat 420,520 47.8
Total Write-Ins — 12,357 1.4

77% reporting (1,714 of 2,220 precincts)

Estimated margin, Jones +1.7
Chance of winning 63% Jones

[Akoto]

103. 10:00pm EST - MSNBC: 72% In - too close to call - 51% to 48% favoring Moore. n/t

[L. Coyote]

105. Packed house at the Doug Jones party in Birmingham.

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

[yallerdawg]

106. I SHIT YOU NOT!

Fox News just said at 10, 9 CT Jones will win, but too close to call!

[Legends303]

115. Its going to be extremely close if Jones wins

If Moore wins he is going 3-5% but this not good for the Moore campaign. The fact that a Democrat is competing here should send alarm bells to the White House and the GOP tonight.

[L. Coyote]

108. NY Times: 292,000 votes remain --- Jones leads in that vote by about 6.7 points.

We think about 292,000 votes remain to be counted. We think Mr. Jones leads in that vote by about 6.7 points.

[GreenEyedLefty]

109. My god, this is a nail biter

It's looking better and better for Jones, per NYT.

[eppur_se_muova]

110. Roy Moore leads by 0.7 percentage points over Doug Jones with 81 percent of precincts fully reportin

[eppur_se_muova]

117. Some precincts near B'ham reporting 40-50% turnout ! nt

[Hoyt]

111. Jones is moving up!

[GreenEyedLefty]

116. Yes he is!

[Ccarmona]

112. 6500 Vote Difference

[Johnny2X2X]

114. Race is tight.

Jones will win. Down only 0.4 now.

[L. Coyote]

118. Chance of winning 78% Jones

Roy Moore leads by 0.5 percentage points over Doug Jones with 85 percent of precincts fully reporting.

Roy Moore Republican 511,562 49.5%
Doug Jones Democrat 506,894 49.0
Total Write-Ins — 15,817 1.5

85% reporting (1,879 of 2,220 precincts)

[eppur_se_muova]

120. Roy Moore leads by 0.0 percentage points over Doug Jones with 85 percent of precincts fully reportin

[ecstatic]

121. I'm starting to be hopeful! OMG! 😲

If Doug Jones pulls this off, I will be so happy and proud of Alabama resisters!

[GreenEyedLefty]

122. Me too... cautiously!

Please, oh please. Let Jones win.

[eppur_se_muova]

123. JONES NOW AHEAD BY 0.2%

ALL CAPS JUSTIFIED

[Ccarmona]

124. Looking....Dare I Say

Good

[Jersey Devil]

125. fivethirtyeight.com now has Jones in the lead - barely

http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/alabama-senate-election-results/

[Takket]

126. woohoo! Rachel walked on to Lawrence's set to continue lol bonus Rachel is always good

jones just took the lead!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

and moore has NO strongholds left..............

[Tatiana]

127. ***Clutching rosary*** Jones... please let him pull this out.

Jefferson County will deliver!

Hopefully Mobile County will deliver too!

[Akoto]

128. 10:20pm EST - MSNBC: Jones takes lead with 18k votes, votes still outstanding. n/t

[Johnny2X2X]

129. Jones up!!!

Wow!! We need this!!!

[eppur_se_muova]

131. Shelby Co now Moore's ONLY hope for more votes.

It's basically over at this point, looks like.

[yallerdawg]

132. NYT 95% Jones chance of winning!

Got your forks out yet?

[eppur_se_muova]

133. Doug Jones leads by 0.9 percentage points over Roy Moore with 89 percent of precincts fully reportin

NYT saying >95% chance of a Jones win.

[Sancho]

134. Roll Blue Tide...

[DemKittyNC]

135. OMG OMG OMG

So HAPPY right now!!! GO SENATOR DOUG JONES!!!!!!!

[ecstatic]

142. I know me too! Wish I could see dump's face when the election is called

for DOUG muthafckin JONES!!

[DemKittyNC]

147. I am not normally violent

or with harm on others but I hope he has a fucking stroke! He deserves it more than anyone I ever knew. Can't wait for his rage tweeting on this one!

[Ccarmona]

136. NYT SAYS 95% chance of Jones Victory

🧐

[Takket]

137. moore down by 11k now. only Diebold can save him now.

[eppur_se_muova]

139. NYT has all but called it at this point.

Not absolute mathematical certainty, but damn near in the bag at this point.

[Tatiana]

140. Good Lord, I think Alabama is on the brink of electing a Democratic Senator.

WOW!!!!!!!!!!!

Look at all those BLUE counties across the middle of Alabama. I don't ever think I've seen an electoral map for a Democrat in this kind of Southern state.

WOW!!!!!!!!!

Is Texas next?????????????

[nolabear]

141. I knew Alabama could do it.

[defacto7]

143. AP calls it for Jones

[Denzil_DC]

145. Yes, it has:

Link to tweet

The Associated Press
✔
@AP

BREAKING: Democrat Doug Jones won election to the U.S. Senate from Alabama in a sharp blow to President Trump that narrows the GOP’s majority in the Senate to two. He beat Roy Moore, a former chief justice of the state Supreme Court who had been accused of sexual misconduct.

[bagimin]

144. Fox calls it for Jones

[Takket]

146. hillary won 13 counties in 2016. jones currently leads in 25

[KelleyKramer]

150. Trump won the state by 28 points!!

This looks like a 30 point swing to the Dems!

[Takket]

148. times has called it too. jones wiiiiiiiiiinnnnnnnnnnnssssssssssss!!!!!!!!

[Ccarmona]

149. In terms that Alabamians can understand

?itemid=5947678|

[DesertRat]

152. I just switched to Faux

In announcing Jones' win, Dana Perino said this is NOT a movement, "Alabama is an outlier".

[GreenEyedLefty]

153. WOW...

So proud of Alabama!

YES! The system works. It works when you get out and VOTE. When Democrats VOTE they WIN.

This is what has to happen in 2018.

[eppur_se_muova]

154. Jones' margin of victory is so far less than half of the write-in vote ...

... suggesting that the number of R's who voted, but couldn't bring themselves to vote for Moore, may have made the whole difference.



Damn, I'm getting tired of replying to the wrong post.

[Ccarmona]

155. The Mainstream Republican Knives Are Coming Out for Bannon

[L. Coyote]

156. 64,000 votes remain --- Jones leads in that vote by about 16.4 points.

We think about 64,000 votes remain to be counted. We think Mr. Jones leads in that vote by about 16.4 points.
Estimated margin, Jones +1.4 --- Chance of winning >95%

Doug Jones Democrat 629,755 49.5%
Roy Moore Republican 619,952 48.8
Total Write-Ins — 21,792 1.7

96% reporting (2,134 of 2,220 precincts)

NOTE: Write-ins outnumber the vote spread by more than 2 : 1.