General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsInteresting how this years polling
MATCHES the vote.
Interesting how LAST years was soooooooo way off the predictions.
like someone interfered in the polling OR/and the VOTE TOTALS
to favor the maggot.
interesting isnt it.........................
drray23
(7,637 posts)that is all paper ballots. It was recently ordered by the court that all virginia voting precints had to convert to paper. They did. Makes you wonder ..
fierywoman
(7,694 posts)bearsfootball516
(6,377 posts)Most polls had him winning by 3-4. Hes going to end up winning around 10.
mythology
(9,527 posts)The national polls were off by about 1% in 2016, closer than they were in 2012. This nonsense about the polls being so wrong needs to die.
Clinton won the national popular vote by two percentage points according to certified vote tallies compiled by David Wasserman of the Cook Political Report. Most individual surveys found Clinton holding a small single-digit edge over Trump, averaging to a three-point margin. Looking across individual national polls, the average difference from the final Clinton-Trump vote margin is 2.2 percentage points, much smaller than the level of error apparent when they were compared to preliminary vote results (3.4 points).
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/11/10/how-much-did-polls-miss-the-mark-on-trump-and-why/?utm_term=.799cbe177ba8
Another myth is that Trumps victory represented some sort of catastrophic failure for the polls. Trump outperformed his national polls by only 1 to 2 percentage points in losing the popular vote to Clinton, making them slightly closer to the mark than they were in 2012. Meanwhile, he beat his polls by only 2 to 3 percentage points in the average swing state.3 Certainly, there were individual pollsters that had some explaining to do, especially in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, where Trump beat his polls by a larger amount. But the result was not some sort of massive outlier; on the contrary, the polls were pretty much as accurate as theyd been, on average, since 1968.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/
The fact that people pushing nonsensical vote fraud theories can't even be bothered to at least look up the basic facts is a big part of why I don't take any of those theories seriously. The actual numbers are absolutely clear.
uponit7771
(90,364 posts)MFM008
(19,820 posts)perhaps you meant the Russian elections.