General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsQuestions for the realists here regarding Monday
Im a pessimist, so I'm thinking nothing will happen monday.
I know the optimists are thinking Don Jnr and Manafort will be lead away and cuffs.
I would like to know what the realists think, or the people who follow the law
think what will happen monday, the steps involved etc.
MiltonBrown
(322 posts)I have absolutely zero inside knowledge it just seems like we always get our hopes up only to be disappointed.
brettdale
(12,381 posts)Do they walk into Muellers office??
Does he come for them?
Are there actually arrests and people put in cuffs?
Whats the next step?
napi21
(45,806 posts)himself in to whatever authority that's required in this case. The main reason I believe that the charges will only involve his is because he was already warned of his arrest several weeks ago.
Angry Dragon
(36,693 posts)wasupaloopa
(4,516 posts)The Senate investigation has stopped. Soon the House will give up and everyone in Mueller's investigation will skate.
JI7
(89,250 posts)TrollBuster9090
(5,954 posts)with a pleather cat-o-nine tails back in the 90s?
TreasonousBastard
(43,049 posts)TrollBuster9090
(5,954 posts)reveal who paid GPS. We already know it was the Washington Free Beacon and the DNC. But there might have also been other GOP funders.
As for Mueller's sealed indictment, my understanding was that it could remain sealed for some time. I think he just formulated the charges, and then had them sealed so that the Trump Administration can't keep saying that his investigation isn't going anywhere. He is due to submit a BUDGET in a couple of weeks, and I think the Trump administration was planning to say "it's a waste of money to keep funding an investigation that hasn't lead anywhere!" To which Mueller's backers can say "but it IS leading somewhere. They've got one indictment (although we don't know who it is), and it's probably the first of many."
In other words, it was another one of Mueller's preemptive measures. When Trump started making noises about pardoning everybody, so that Mueller would have no leverage to trade little fish for big ones...Mueller opened a joint investigation with the AG of New York, where Trump has no authority to pardon.
Now, when Trump is making noises about killing the investigation because it hasn't gone anywhere, Mueller indicts somebody (and then seals it, so he doesn't give his hand away). So, they can no longer claim it isn't going anywhere.
But if you wanted me to bet on who the indictment is for, my money would be on Manafort.
DeminPennswoods
(15,286 posts)Manafort has reportedly already been told he'll be indicted. Flynn has already been caught red-handed on a few fronts. Additionally, the cases on both men were previously in the works by a grand jury in the eastern district of VA before Mueller took them over. It seems reasonable to think they're the most advanced cases at this point and most prosecution ready.
Remember, too, that Flynn/lawyer asked for immunity right off the bat as the congressional investigations began. To me, that indicates Flynn is ready and willing to flip. He and his lawyer might just have been waiting for an indictment to make a proffer.
TrollBuster9090
(5,954 posts)they could easily be indicted on things as trivial as their lying about meeting with Russians on their security clearance application forms. Mueller could just indict them on those, and then seal the indictment so that nobody will now how small the charge is. But it achieves the goal of stopping the Mueller critics from claiming the investigation isn't leading to anything.
DeminPennswoods
(15,286 posts)and his lawyers since the request for immunity was rejected. Is it possible Flynn is already cooperating?
TrollBuster9090
(5,954 posts)I think he's just a petty, vindictive little man who wanted to get revenge on Obama for firing him by sticking it to Clinton; and did some unscrupulous things for Russia in exchange for money.
I think there's a file on Flynn in the Kremlin someplace that pegs him as a classic "useful idiot." I think the same is probably true for Carter Page.
Manafort, on the other hand, probably knows a LOT, having been involved with Putin and other Russian oligarchs for years.
Hornedfrog1985
(118 posts)He knows what happened in that trump tower meeting.
TrollBuster9090
(5,954 posts)by now he probably wants to get revenge on TRUMP. He might even roll on him WITHOUT needing to be indicted. Just the fact that he's having to shell out hundreds of thousands of dollars on lawyers, while Donald Sr., and his son Butthead are paying for THEIR lawyers out of GOP funds would probably be enough to turn him into a canary.
Hornedfrog1985
(118 posts)In the other meeting with cohen and felix sater. Sater has been an fbi informant in the past. He could be key to flipping everyone,
uponit7771
(90,344 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)with the indictment, which would be explosive news, possibly be used to check Trump's actions?
A former prosecutor was saying indictments are normally sealed when it's believed the target might flee the country. But could this one be sealed as a preemptive threat?
For no particular reason, money I could afford to lose would be on someone in the campaign's data gathering and analysis arm, like Parscale or someone at Cambridge Analytica.
TrollBuster9090
(5,954 posts)Yes, definitely a long shot bet.
But, rather than being used as a threat, the sealed indictment might be being used to intimidate people. As long as the indicted person is unknown (and doesn't even know himself/herself who it is), it will keep everybody off balance. As long as it's sealed, it COULD be ANY of them.
Pretty clever on Mueller's part. He's kept one step ahead of these guys every since he took the job. Meanwhile, the GOP isn't making any friends at the FBI. They're slinging mud at the credibility and integrity of the FBI just to protect Trump. I think the days of Republicans having political operatives inside the FBI (ie-like James Kallstrom giving Rudy Giuliani inside information on Huma Abedin's computer, in order to submarine Hillary Clinton) are numbered. They're burning those bridges pretty fast.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)charges are usually sealed when there is risk the target will flee the country. Jr. and Manafort have long been aware they're in the gun sights.
One Chris Hayes expert suggested the investigation is so broad that the charges might not relate to Russia and collusion at all, but other crimes uncovered during the investigation.
A response to that was intriguing. That former prosecutor believed that Mueller's opening salvo would be something aimed directly at the heart and purpose of the investigation, Russia's involvement in our election and the Trump campaign.
But Rachel pointed out that this is a single-source story, the latest of many rumors that did not pan out. CNN is reporting it as happening, no one else yet.
democratisphere
(17,235 posts)It isn't good to speculate on what might happen because it is pure conjecture at this time. Be patient, the ball is finally rolling on this mess.