Tropical Storm Irma will be a hurricane

[malaise]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT11/refresh/AL112017_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/145752_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 30.3W
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Irma was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 30.3 West. Irma is
moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this general motion
is expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are
near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is
forecast during the next 48 hours and Irma could become a hurricane
on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

[Squinch]

1. And I wonder if that little jog it did to the south means it won't go up the coast, which would mean

it would...

I can't say it.

[malaise]

6. Sadly it may go through any one of the Leewards

Hispaniola, Jamaica or Cuba before the Con's swamp.
I was hoping he'd try to build a wall for Jose (next in line)

[bluepen]

8. Not looking like it.

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2017/tropical-storm-irm

[Achilleaze]

2. If Irma jags north then the republican Shangri La

aka Mar a Liar-O* could well experience a major Golden Shower.

Safety be with all in Irma's path...

* Imperial Palace of republican god-emperor** Comrade Casino, republican Draft-Dodger-in-Chief.

** Many republicans, having turned their backs on American democracy, want to be total SUBs and be ruled over by fake royalty, and so have taken up the fundamentally unAmerican habit of referring to Comrade Casino as their "god emperor"

[DK504]

26. LOL...that was good.

[GusBob]

3. 90 kt winds @120 hour forecast, with a west by southwest course

a southwest direction is indicated as unusual in the forecast discussion

[Snake Plissken]

4. It looks like it's heading for Venezuela

the last thing anyone needs is a direct hit by hurricane, especially the people of Venezuela, they're hurting enough already.

[Lochloosa]

5. That south dip was not good news.

[malaise]

7. +1,000

Very unusual for storms that form so far out. All bets are off.

[bluepen]

9. Not unsual, especially heading into Sept.

https://www.wunderground.com/news/hurricane-season-august-september-october-2017

[malaise]

10. Please identify the South dips on previous paths

Storms that form so early usually go North, NW or WNW - very few go South. Irma is going South

[B2G]

11. Not for long.

Please look at the current models before you have everyone freaking out.

[malaise]

15. I wish more people had paid attentin to the warnings for Texas

It is way too early for panic - it is always early enough for rational preparations for the worst case scenario

[bluepen]

17. Very true. I make a hurricane kit every summer

Usually in early June. That's no guarantee against problems, of course, but it helps.

[B2G]

18. Absolutely. nt

[bluepen]

12. See current Euro and GFS models.

Actually, more are available now. All show what you're talking about.

An early jog to the south means nothing.

But I was just correcting the record about storm formation.

[bluepen]

13. Irma Models

I hope this shows up. Didn't when I first posted. So if not...http://news.brevardtimes.com/2017/08/tropical-storm-irma-projected-path.html?m=1

[malaise]

14. Thanks n/t

[haveahart]

16. I was about to ask you if you saw anything else brewing out in the Atlantic.

Thanks.

[malaise]

19. Irma may be a fish storm

Still to early to draw a conclusion but most of the experts think so - have to keep an eye for Bermuda and Nova Scotia

[haveahart]

20. What does "fish storm" mean?

[LisaL]

21. Goes out to sea, doesn't threaten land.

[malaise]

22. Sadly she'll be a major hurricane when she hits the Leeward islands

Looks like a lot of trouble for several islands including Dominica, Martinique and Guadeloupe

[haveahart]

23. Prayers for these people.

[Laxman]

24. Today's GFS Model.....

has Irma staying north of the Caribbean Islands and making its closest approach to the US mainland on Saturday evening September 9 as a monster storm off the NJ coast. (that's 000Z Sunday). That's at the end of the model period so there is lots of room for changes in the track.

[malaise]

25. That's the good news for the Caribbean

because we can't handle a major

[Achilleaze]

27. Yeow - Sandy redux?

Give republican Khristoskank Ted Cruz another chance to piss on New York and New Jersey while he's got his grubby paws stretched out for his homies.

Free clue for republican TruthWanker TeddyBoy Cruz: it's all part of the USA. We must hang together or we will all drown together.