Nate Silver: 47% strongly disapprove of Trump, only 20% strongly approve

[highplainsdem]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-a-trump-pivot-might-backfire/

Trump’s problem is that there aren’t many voters who could plausibly be persuaded to join the Trump train, at least not on short notice. Not only are Trump’s disapproval ratings high — about 58 percent of the country now disapproves of Trump’s job performance, the highest figure of his presidency to date — but also most of the voters who disapprove of him do so strongly.

In May, when we looked at polls that broke Trump’s approval rating into four categories — strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove and strongly disapprove — we found that his strong disapproval ratings exceeded his strong approval ratings by about a 2:1 margin. The numbers have actually gotten a little worse for Trump since then. His strong disapproval rating, based on the technique FiveThirtyEight uses to calculate approval ratings, is now 47.4 percent, up from 44.1 percent on May 23. And Trump’s strong approval rating is just 20.4 percent, down a tick from 21.4 percent in May.

As we wrote back in the spring, it’s something of a myth that Trump has an enormous base that’s impervious to any and all missteps from the White House. Instead, he has his fair share of support, but it’s a mix of base voters (about 20 percent of the population) and other voters who support him more reluctantly (16 or 17 percent of Americans “somewhat approve” of Trump).

What Trump doesn’t have is very many people who “somewhat disapprove” of his performance; this group makes up only about 11 percent of the country. It might not sound helpful to have voters who somewhat disapprove of you, but they’re a lot easier to bring over to your side than voters who strongly disapprove of you.

[rufus dog]

1. So we have the 'liberal' media to thank

Pushing the meme that he has a solid base, focusing on "what his supporters are thinking." When in fact 2x the number of Americans don't like him, so we should be seeing 2x the coverage of those who don't like him.

Let's go back in time, the tea baggers got huge coverage when in fact the majority of Americans had different opinions of Obama, yet the media focused on the MINORITY of voters.

Now we have the media focusing on the same MINORITY of voters.

Look, they are racist, ignorant assholes, if the media treated them as such, or just treated them in proportion to their numbers, then we would be dealing with a much different landscape.