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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsEvery Early Sign Points to a Wave
July 7, 2017 at 8:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard
David Wasserman: This is a tricky point in the election cycle to begin making predictions. On one hand, the danger signs are everywhere for the GOP: President Trumps approval is mired in the high 30s, and support for the AHCAs legislation is stuck in the high teens, and Democrats have been significantly over-performingdespite falling shortin a broad array of special elections. They also lead most national generic ballot tests by high single digits.
Race by race, the data isnt much better for Republicans. Multiple public and private polls now show House Republican incumbents who won by wide margins last fall tied with or trailing real and hypothetical opponents Taken as a whole, the evidence would seem to point to a wave election that would justify moving a slew of races into the Toss Up column and threaten GOP control of the House.
Except, the election isnt this November; its still 16 months away. The fact these warning lights are flashing now means Republicans wont be caught off guard like many incumbents were in 2006 and 2010they will have time to raise millions, conduct opposition research and define their opponents early.
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https://politicalwire.com/2017/07/07/every-early-sign-points-wave/
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Every Early Sign Points to a Wave (Original Post)
DonViejo
Jul 2017
OP
elleng
(131,077 posts)1. Except, the election isnt this November; its still 16 months away.
LiberalArkie
(15,728 posts)2. And it all depends on who counts the votes like always
kentuck
(111,110 posts)3. Sort of like the "Clinton landslide"?
Who's going to believe these polls?
awesomerwb1
(4,268 posts)4. Let's get to work unifying the party/message.
Still early, but that part needs a LOT of work.
elleng
(131,077 posts)6. Considering we're Democrats, I won't hold my breath re: unifying;
One of the 'charming' things about Dems.
Girard442
(6,083 posts)5. Dems should campaign every day as if the losers will be hanged.
Who knows? It might even be true.