General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums2017/2018 US Senate and Governors Election winner predictions
2017
AL-US Senate-Republican Primary Runoff Winner.
NJ-Governor-Phil Murphy-D
VA-Governor-Democratic Primary Winner.
2018
AL-Governor-Republican Primary Runoff Winner.
AK-Governor-Bill Walker-I
AZ-US Senate-Kyrsten Sinema-D
AZ-Governor-Doug Doucey-R
AR-Governor-Asa Hutchinson-R
CA-US Senate-Eric Garcetti-D
CA-Governor-Gavin Newsom-D
CO-Governor-Democratic Primary Winner.
CT-US Senate-Chris Murphy-D
CT-Governor-Democratic Primary Winner.
DE-US Senate-Tom Carper-D
FL-US Senate-Bill Nelson-D
FL-Governor-Democratic Primary Winner
GA-Governor-Republican Primary Runoff Winner-December 2018 Runoff-If neither political party gets over 50 percent in Nov.
HI-US Senate-Mazie Hirono-D
HI-Governor-David Ige-D
ID-Governor-Republican Primary Winner
IL-Governor-Democratic Primary Winner
IN-US Senate-Joe Donnelly-D
IA-Governor-Democratic Primary Winner if Steve King is the Republican nominee.
KS-Governor-Republican Primary Winner.
ME-US Senate-Angus King-I
ME-Governor-Democratic Primary Winner
MD-US Senate-Ben Cardin-D
MD-Governor-Larry Hogan-R
MA-US Senate-Elizabeth Warren-D
MA-Governor-Charlie Baker-R
MI-US Senate-Debbie Stabenow-D
MI-Governor-Democratic Primary Winner
MN-US Senate-Amy Klobuchar-D
MN-Governor-Democratic Primary Winner
MS-US Senate-Roger Wicker-R
MO-US Senate-Claire McCaskill-D
MT-US Senate-Jon Tester-D
NE-US Senate-Deb Fischer-R
NE-Governor-Pete Ricketts-R
NV-US Senate-Democratic Primary Winner
NV-Governor-Democratic Primary Winner
NH-Governor-Steve Marchand-D
NJ-US Senate-Democratic Primary Winner
NM-US Senate-Martin Heinrich-D
NM-Governor-Democratic Primary Winner
NY-US Senate-Kirsten Gillibrand-D
NY-Governor-Andrew Cuomo-D
ND-US Senate-Heidi Heitkamp-D
OH-US Senate-Sherrod Brown-D
OH-Governor-Republican Primary Winner
OK-Governor-Republican Primary Winner
OR-Governor-Kate Brown-D
PA-US Senate-Bob Casey-D
PA-Governor-Tom Wolf-D
RI-US Senate-Sheldon Whitehouse-D
RI-Governor-Gina Raimondo-D
SC-Governor-Republican Primary Winner
SD-Governor-Republican Primary Winner
TN-US Senate-Bob Corker-R/Bill Halsam-R if Corker-R runs for Governor
TN-Governor-Republican Primary Winner
TX-US Senate-Ted Cruz-R
TX-Governor-Greg Abbott-R
UT-US Senate-Republican Primary Winner
VT-US Senate-Bernie Sanders-I
VT-Governor-Phil Scott-R
VA-US Senate-Tim Kaine-D
WA-US Senate-Maria Cantwell-D
WV-US Senate-Joe Manchin-D
WI-US Senate-Tammy Baldwin-D
WI-Governor-Scott Walker-R
WY-US Senate-John Barrasso-R
WY-Governor-Republican Primary Winner
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,716 posts)You have us holding all of them.
nkpolitics1212
(8,617 posts)is because neither of those states have top tier Republican candidates who are planning to run. Democratic incumbents in MO,MT,ND,and WV have previous statewide experience before getting elected to the US Senate. Democratic incumbent in IN could lose if Republicans avoid making the same mistake they made in 2012.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,716 posts)I didn't count. How many gubernatorial seats can we pick up ?
nkpolitics1212
(8,617 posts)Regarding the Gubernatorial seats, We will hold onto CA,CO,CT,HI,MN,NY,OR,PA,RI,and VA all of the seats up for grabs in the 2017-VA and the 2018 election year. We will pick up NJ in 2017,IL,ME,MI,NV,and NM in 2018. We have a 50-50 percent chance of picking up FL,GA,NH,and OH.
During the 2002 midterm election, Democrats won Governors Races in AZ-Napolitano,KS-Sebelius,OK-Henry,TN-Bredensen,WI-Doyle,and WY-Freudenthal. Can we repeat that again?
The last Republican Governor of MD- Bob Ehrlich lost re-election in the 2006. Was Ehrlich more popular or less popular than Hogan? Can Hogan suffer the same fate in 2018 as Ehrlich suffered in 2006.? Can US Representative Anthony Brown-D win in a rematch or is he waiting to run for Governor in 2022 when Hogan leaves Office?
Bleacher Creature
(11,258 posts)As a human, I also hate seeing Scott Walker listed as favored.
I get that Hogan's numbers are good here. Still not sure why, but I get it.
nkpolitics1212
(8,617 posts)Bleacher Creature
(11,258 posts)I seem to recall that Ehrlich's approval was in the high 50s/low 60s.
Txbluedog
(1,128 posts)No way we hold all the Dem Senate seats up for reelection
nkpolitics1212
(8,617 posts)the same mistake that the 2012 Republican US Senate nominees made? Due to Trump being in the White House and his poor job approval and personal favorable poll numbers, 2018 election cycle can be more favorable to the Democrats than in 2012.