General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums2017/2018 US Senate Election-Top Tier Democratic challengers for Republican held US Senate seats.
2017
AL (Strange-R)
Former Governor Jim Folsom Jr. (1993-1995)
Former US Representative AL-2CD Bobby Bright (2009-2011)
Democrats could win or come close to winning the AL US Senate Race if Republicans have a divisive primary and nominate the least conservative candidate causing conservatives to stay home or vote third party in the general election or the most conservative candidate gets nominated causing moderate Republicans and Independents to vote Democratic.
2018
AZ (Flake-R)
US Representative AZ-9CD Kyrsten Sinema
US Representative AZ-7CD Ruben Gallego
Democrats will win AZ based on two factors- Flake loses in the Republican primary causing Independents to vote Democratic or Flake wins the Republican primary causing conservatives to stay home or vote third party.
MS (Wicker-R)
Former Attorney General Mike Moore (1988-2004)
Current Attorney General Jim Hood.
This race depends on whether Wicker face a tough Republican primary challenge. If Wicker faces a tough Republican primary challenge, Moore or Hood have a strong chance of winning MS US Senate Race.
NE (Fischer-R)
Former US Representative NE-2 Brad Ashford (2015-2017)
This race is Fischer's to lose.
NV (Heller-R)
US Representative NV-1 Dina Titus
US Representative NV-3 Jacky Rosen
US Representative NV-4 Ruben Kihuen
Democrats will win the NV US Senate Race.
TN (Corker-R)
US Representative TN-5 Jim Cooper
US Representative TN-9 Steve Cohen
This is Corker's race to lose.
TX (Cruz-R)
US Representative TX-16 Beto O'Rourke
US Representative TX-20 Joaquin Castro
This is the first time since 2002(Ron Kirk) TX Democrats will nominate a top tier candidate for the US Senate. 2018 will be more Democratic friendly than 2002.
UT (Hatch-R)
Former US Representative UT-2/UT-4 Jim Matheson (2001-2015)
Matheson could defeat Hatch, Romney, Chaffetz or Love.
Hatch is too old, Romney is a carpetbagger,Chaffetz is too right wing for the UT GOP establishment, Love will cause the extreme conservatives to stay home or vote third party.
WY (Barrasso-R)
Former Governor Dave Freudenthal (2002-2010)
Barrasso is favored to win but the NRSC and RNC will have to waste resources in WY.
sabbat hunter
(6,829 posts)the only possible pick up for D among these races is Nevada. Especially if Trump pushes to restart the Yucca Mountain project.
nkpolitics1212
(8,617 posts)2020 Democrats will pick up CO and win the 2020 Presidential Election with the next Democratic VP breaking the tie vote.
Democrats will also pick up GA,ME,and NC.
sabbat hunter
(6,829 posts)Lots of rednecks still out there. Atlanta is blue, but most of the rest of the state is still red.