First numbers on the board: Dems lead in Kansas-4.

[brooklynite]

James Thompson (Democratic) 14,226
Ron Estes (Republican) 8,563
Chris Rockhold (Libertarian) 325
Write In (Unaffiliated) 36

https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/kansas-4th-congressional-district-special-election/

Way too early to get worked up.

[RandySF]

1. Not enough

If that's the early vote, we're going to come up short.

[beachbum bob]

2. A lead is a lead

Depends much on location of precincts reporting

[brooklynite]

3. Um, this looks...interesting

Link to tweet

[SaschaHM]

4. From Harry Enten (my secret analytical bae) on those results.

Too early to get comfortable, but pretty damning if it holds.

Link to tweet

That being said, if the Dem does win, think of the political blowback against Trump. No one wants to keep a politically toxic individual and a Russia Inquiry could give them the perfect distancing tool.

[sharedvalues]

11. Crossing fingers. Losing this KS district will be a mortal blow to this administration

[chillfactor]

5. keeping my fingers crossed...

that the Democrat lead holds. With all the political crap that has happened in Kansas it is hard to believe anyone would vote recon....but then we know how insanely stupid voters can be...after all, look who is president.

[Dawson Leery]

6. If he comes close, we have some momentum for the next year.

VA GOV per GOP Quinipiac has both Democrats leading the GOP candidates by 12-20 points.

[Barack_America]

7. Did I just send this to the Greatest Page?

Why, yes, I did.

I can take no pleasure in Spicer's horrendous remarks or Trump's horrendous actions, but I can certainly take pleasure in this.

[brooklynite]

8. Harry Entin's starting to wonder...

Link to tweet

[FDRsGhost]

9. He's backed by #OurRevolution

I hope he wins!

[Heron5]

10. Watch Sedgwick

Ryan Struyk (covers politics for ABC) says more than 70% of this vote will come from there (Wichita). Trump won it 56-37%.

[NYC Democrat]

12. So far from what I can see we are seeing an example of the ever increasing Rural/Urban divide here.

Thompson is outperforming benchmarks in urban/suburban Districts, which he needs to do, Estes is outperforming in the Rural districts... which he also needs to do.