Democrats Best Bet to Retake the House? Follow the Sun.

[elleng]

'There has been no shortage of reports that President Trump is still very popular in the bars and diners of the old industrial towns that decided the 2016 presidential election.

But if you want to meet the voters who will decide the biggest political story of the 2018 congressional elections, you might have to fly right over the blue-collar workers of Youngstown, Ohio, and go talk to the real housewives of Orange County, Calif.

Yes, it’s early. But if we’re already breathlessly checking in on Altoona, Pa., then add the O.C. to the mix.

Orange County was the heart of Sun Belt conservatism and one of the most reliably Republican bastions of the 20th century. It voted Republican in every presidential election from 1936 until 2016, when it voted for Hillary Clinton by a nine-point margin.

It’s hard to think of a place that was less relevant to Mr. Trump’s fortunes in 2016. Mrs. Clinton’s success in Orange County, and in well-educated and Hispanic areas elsewhere in the Sun Belt, helped her win the popular vote — though there was no payoff in the Electoral College. But it’s districts like these that will decide whether the Democrats can make a serious run at control of the House.'>>>

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/22/upshot/democrats-best-bet-for-house-control-is-following-the-sun.html?

[PatsFan87]

1. Interesting. A lot of California districts seem ripe for a flipping

if reliably Democratic groups are energized and motivated to turn out. Issa, Rohrabacher, Walters, Royce, Knight, Valadao, and Denham can all be taken down with a ton of phone calls, door to door conversations, meetings, etc. That's 7 seats right there.

[Ohioblue22]

2. or just lie to them tell them what they want to hear but

nothing will work if dems dont start falling in line in the ageneral.

[pstokely]

3. in many places the repuke congresscritters outperformed tRump

nt