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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsBill Scher in Politico, comparing Trump to 1987 miniseries "Amerika" about Russian takeover
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/01/the-1987-tv-miniseries-that-predicted-a-russian-takeover-of-america-214609 The 1987 TV Miniseries That Predicted a Russian Takeover of America
Long since forgotten, Amerika was a commercial and artistic flop. Watching it today makes for uncomfortable viewing.
If the election of an American president abetted by Russian interference seems stranger than fiction, you're almost right. Exactly 30 years ago, in the midst of the Cold War, ABC aired a seven-night, 14-and-a-half-hour miniseries depicting life 10 years after the Soviet Union manipulates the presidential election as meek and deflated Americans shrug. Amerika, was heavily criticized at the time for peddling the histrionic premise of a bloodless coup. And while much of the production remains implausible, its core message is more relevant today than ever: They did it because we let them.
-snip-
American conservatives with a nationalist, and even authoritarian, bent like Donald Trump are not unnerved by the prospect of Russian influence over the U.S. government. Some see common cause with President Vladimir Putin in the war against Islamic militants, shelving concerns about Russias imperial ambitions and comfort with genocidal tactics. Much like how the Russians in Amerika want the United States of America to dissolve, both Putin and Trump have rhetorically undermined the European Union, and Trump has questioned Americas commitment to Putins bête noire, NATO. Weaker global and regional institutions make it easer for individual nations to act with impunity.
Russia isnt popular with most Americans, but Trump supporters did not flinch when he deflected allegations that Putins government murdered journalists by defending him and smearing America: at least hes a leader I think our country does plenty of killing also. And those in the alt-right movement see Putin as a symbol of white nationalist values. News of how Russia used hacking to manipulate voting behavior has only increased Republican approval of Putin in polls. His net favorable rating among Republicans has jumped from minus-66 to minus-10 in little more than two years, while Barack Obamas festers at minus-64.
Whats even more disturbing is Trumps dismissal of the U.S. intelligence communitys conclusion that Russia not only meddled in the election, but actively sought his victoryand then celebrated it. Trumps reaction has been to mock and misrepresent their findings, while blaming the victims for being hacked. His aides scoff at the implication that hes too pro-Putin: He is going to modernize our nuclear capability, hes going to call for an increase in defense budget, hes going to have oil and gas explorationall which goes against Russias economic and military interests, Trumps senior adviser Kellyanne Conway recently noted. But these moves are not all that provocative if Trump and Putin have overlapping foreign policy goals. Moreover, Trump himself has had every opportunity to clear up any misconceptions, and he hasnt done it. American presidents have had warm relationships with Russian leaders in the pastReagan and Gorby, Clinton and Yeltsinbut this feels different.
-snip-
Amerika did not foresee that Russias entry into America politics would be greased by a bombastic right-wing populist billionaire. The fictional president is a mild-mannered, self-described figurehead. But he is not without insight, telling Bradford, Totalitarianism doesnt need armies. It only needs to control a couple of things: the media, and the ability to dispense privilege to some, and withhold it from others. And of course, a weak and divided people helps.
The seeds of that dark future are already in the soil. Russia executed a subtle control of the mediaweaponizing mainstream institutions through releases of stolen emails and flooding social media with fake news. Fox News is airing uncritical interviews with Julian Assange of WikiLeaks, an organization U.S. officials have linked to Russian intelligence. And the American people are not only deeply divided along geographic and cultural lines, but new research shows them to be increasingly dubious about the importance of democracy.
Long since forgotten, Amerika was a commercial and artistic flop. Watching it today makes for uncomfortable viewing.
If the election of an American president abetted by Russian interference seems stranger than fiction, you're almost right. Exactly 30 years ago, in the midst of the Cold War, ABC aired a seven-night, 14-and-a-half-hour miniseries depicting life 10 years after the Soviet Union manipulates the presidential election as meek and deflated Americans shrug. Amerika, was heavily criticized at the time for peddling the histrionic premise of a bloodless coup. And while much of the production remains implausible, its core message is more relevant today than ever: They did it because we let them.
-snip-
American conservatives with a nationalist, and even authoritarian, bent like Donald Trump are not unnerved by the prospect of Russian influence over the U.S. government. Some see common cause with President Vladimir Putin in the war against Islamic militants, shelving concerns about Russias imperial ambitions and comfort with genocidal tactics. Much like how the Russians in Amerika want the United States of America to dissolve, both Putin and Trump have rhetorically undermined the European Union, and Trump has questioned Americas commitment to Putins bête noire, NATO. Weaker global and regional institutions make it easer for individual nations to act with impunity.
Russia isnt popular with most Americans, but Trump supporters did not flinch when he deflected allegations that Putins government murdered journalists by defending him and smearing America: at least hes a leader I think our country does plenty of killing also. And those in the alt-right movement see Putin as a symbol of white nationalist values. News of how Russia used hacking to manipulate voting behavior has only increased Republican approval of Putin in polls. His net favorable rating among Republicans has jumped from minus-66 to minus-10 in little more than two years, while Barack Obamas festers at minus-64.
Whats even more disturbing is Trumps dismissal of the U.S. intelligence communitys conclusion that Russia not only meddled in the election, but actively sought his victoryand then celebrated it. Trumps reaction has been to mock and misrepresent their findings, while blaming the victims for being hacked. His aides scoff at the implication that hes too pro-Putin: He is going to modernize our nuclear capability, hes going to call for an increase in defense budget, hes going to have oil and gas explorationall which goes against Russias economic and military interests, Trumps senior adviser Kellyanne Conway recently noted. But these moves are not all that provocative if Trump and Putin have overlapping foreign policy goals. Moreover, Trump himself has had every opportunity to clear up any misconceptions, and he hasnt done it. American presidents have had warm relationships with Russian leaders in the pastReagan and Gorby, Clinton and Yeltsinbut this feels different.
-snip-
Amerika did not foresee that Russias entry into America politics would be greased by a bombastic right-wing populist billionaire. The fictional president is a mild-mannered, self-described figurehead. But he is not without insight, telling Bradford, Totalitarianism doesnt need armies. It only needs to control a couple of things: the media, and the ability to dispense privilege to some, and withhold it from others. And of course, a weak and divided people helps.
The seeds of that dark future are already in the soil. Russia executed a subtle control of the mediaweaponizing mainstream institutions through releases of stolen emails and flooding social media with fake news. Fox News is airing uncritical interviews with Julian Assange of WikiLeaks, an organization U.S. officials have linked to Russian intelligence. And the American people are not only deeply divided along geographic and cultural lines, but new research shows them to be increasingly dubious about the importance of democracy.
The reference to "new research" in that last sentence links to this NYT article on November 29:
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/29/world/americas/western-liberal-democracy.html
How Stable Are Democracies? Warning Signs Are Flashing Red
But since 2005, Freedom Houses index has shown a decline in global freedom each year. Is that a statistical anomaly, a result of a few random events in a relatively short period of time? Or does it indicate a meaningful pattern?
Mr. Mounk and Mr. Foa developed a three-factor formula to answer that question. Mr. Mounk thinks of it as an early-warning system, and it works something like a medical test: a way to detect that a democracy is ill before it develops full-blown symptoms.
The first factor was public support: How important do citizens think it is for their country to remain democratic? The second was public openness to nondemocratic forms of government, such as military rule. And the third factor was whether antisystem parties and movements political parties and other major players whose core message is that the current system is illegitimate were gaining support.
If support for democracy was falling while the other two measures were rising, the researchers marked that country deconsolidating. And they found that deconsolidation was the political equivalent of a low-grade fever that arrives the day before a full-blown case of the flu.
Venezuela, for instance, enjoyed the highest possible scores on Freedom Houses measures of political rights and democracy in the 1980s. But those democratic practices were not deeply rooted. During that apparent period of stability, Venezuela already scored as deconsolidating on the Mounk-Foa test.
-snip-
According to the Mounk-Foa early-warning system, signs of democratic deconsolidation in the United States and many other liberal democracies are now similar to those in Venezuela before its crisis.
-snip-
But since 2005, Freedom Houses index has shown a decline in global freedom each year. Is that a statistical anomaly, a result of a few random events in a relatively short period of time? Or does it indicate a meaningful pattern?
Mr. Mounk and Mr. Foa developed a three-factor formula to answer that question. Mr. Mounk thinks of it as an early-warning system, and it works something like a medical test: a way to detect that a democracy is ill before it develops full-blown symptoms.
The first factor was public support: How important do citizens think it is for their country to remain democratic? The second was public openness to nondemocratic forms of government, such as military rule. And the third factor was whether antisystem parties and movements political parties and other major players whose core message is that the current system is illegitimate were gaining support.
If support for democracy was falling while the other two measures were rising, the researchers marked that country deconsolidating. And they found that deconsolidation was the political equivalent of a low-grade fever that arrives the day before a full-blown case of the flu.
Venezuela, for instance, enjoyed the highest possible scores on Freedom Houses measures of political rights and democracy in the 1980s. But those democratic practices were not deeply rooted. During that apparent period of stability, Venezuela already scored as deconsolidating on the Mounk-Foa test.
-snip-
According to the Mounk-Foa early-warning system, signs of democratic deconsolidation in the United States and many other liberal democracies are now similar to those in Venezuela before its crisis.
-snip-
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