Do you think this morning's VERY optimistic Bloomberg poll passes the smell test?

[bluestateguy]

I dislike polls and pollsters. Like the one from Gallup a couple of weeks ago showing Mitt Ramney with a massive lead among military veterans. It just doesn't pass the smell test.

Well that same skepticism hits me too when the polls show my guy way up as well.

This morning Bloomberg is out showing Obama with a 13 point lead and a 53% approval rating. Obama may well be winning, but that just seems too good to be true.

The poll and writeup: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-20/obama-leads-in-poll-as-voters-view-romney-as-out-of-touch.html

[leveymg]

1. I think Obama has long been well ahead, and will win. There's been a lot of push-polling

and the pollsters, the networks, and much of the media (and perhaps the Democratic Party) also have an interest in making it seem like a tighter horse race than it really is.

Romney never led.

This could change if he does something stupid like taking America into war with Syria or Iran, or if the stock market crashed. Short of that, it's no contest.

[WI_DEM]

2. I'm skeptical...

Every other poll has the race within a few points, most with Obama ahead. The job news has not been good. While I think Obama is ahead I don't think he's ahead by anything like 13-points. Before I get too excited about this poll I'd want to see other national polls showing Obama's lead increasing.

[catbyte]

3. I don't believe they are in a dead heat here in MI either N/T

[DCBob]

4. Polls showing Romney/Obama neck and neck dont pass the smell test for me.

This is only one that makes any sense... imo.

[Swede Atlanta]

5. Keep in mind...........

People with only cell phones are, for the most part, not included in polling. This includes younger voters. Obama did very well among younger voters in 2008. We know this demographic has been hit hard by the recession in terms of jobs, etc. but I would still be surprised if they cut for Romney.

[HopeHoops]

6. I don't trust Bloomberg polls on anything.

[Arkana]

7. I think kneecapping Romney with the immigration thing helped him recapture the upper hand

this week, so a bump in the polls is certainly expected--but think of this as one data point on a chart that contains a bazillion other data points.

[On the Road]

8. There are Always Outliers

Doesn't necessarily mean the poll is biased.

[Puzzledtraveller]

9. "smells like teen spirit"

[JoePhilly]

10. Who cares ... the media SHOULD be scream "MITT IS DOOMED!!!", which is what they do

when any poll says Obama is down by one.

[Douglas Carpenter]

11. I hope it's true. But to look at it realistically and optimistically - it might reveal a shift in

Obama's direction. But I think this was one of those outsider results that occurs frequently in polling. But like I said, it may nonetheless indicate a recent positive trend.

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

12. It is pretty optimistic

I think the country is still 50/50 on Obama, but I also think they are very, VERY suspicious of Romney.

[magical thyme]

13. it passes the visual test, imho

Pictures in the last week showing them at their events.

Mittens draws...tens.
O draws...hundreds.

Mittens draws...hundreds.
O draws...thousands.

[Cali_Democrat]

14. Well imagine if a poll came out showing Mitt 13 points ahead

The media would have a collective orgasm and declare Obama's campaign to be doomed.

A poll comes out showing Obama up 13 points and the media is either downplaying it or ignoring it completely. So much for that "liberal media".