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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 10:05 AM Nov 2016

Hillary is going to win the pop vote 49-46 and by some 2,500,000 votes

Dave Wasserman ?@Redistrict 12h12 hours ago
Hillary Clinton looks likely to hit 65M votes, roughly on par w/ Obama '12, and win popular vote by ~2.5M: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/133Eb4qQmOxNvtesw2hdVns073R68EZx4SfCnP4IGQf8/edit#gid=19Hillary



I see a lot of Trumpkins whining that a lot of these votes are coming from the Republic Of California. Fine, let us secede and we will form a loose confederation with Mexico and do just fine. We are the sixth largest economy in the world. You need us more than we need you.
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Hillary is going to win the pop vote 49-46 and by some 2,500,000 votes (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 OP
As a Californian, I'll go for that. still_one Nov 2016 #1
Same here! Silver Gaia Nov 2016 #6
We can get Nevada, Washington, and Oregon to join us. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #8
Kick & Rec!!!!!!! still_one Nov 2016 #12
What will you do for water? n/t Yavin4 Nov 2016 #16
No water: No food. No technology. No culture. And no oil from our buddy, Mexico. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #18
I don't think you've thought this through. Act_of_Reparation Nov 2016 #50
California is the sixth largest economy in the world. Mexico is the fifteenth largest economy in... DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #52
What the fuck? Act_of_Reparation Nov 2016 #56
In my fantastic scenario California Republicans would be given a chance to leave. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #57
They haven't left yet. Act_of_Reparation Nov 2016 #58
No mention of party DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #59
Which part is confusing to you? Act_of_Reparation Nov 2016 #62
Temper, temper, temper... DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #63
If this thread is any indication, I wouldn't worry about what people seem to be to you. Act_of_Reparation Nov 2016 #64
When I'm upset I go for a walk. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #66
What happened today, then? Act_of_Reparation Nov 2016 #67
The weather is always great in So Cal. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #69
COW are water sufficient and do not depend on supplies from other states Auggie Nov 2016 #23
CA and the Colorado River Mendocino Nov 2016 #48
We have a river here in Washington pokerfan Nov 2016 #43
Absolutely. jalan48 Nov 2016 #22
CA, NV, OR, and WA are all contiguous. We can form loose confederations with Canada and Mexico. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #24
Yep. British Columbia would be a natural ally. jalan48 Nov 2016 #25
As would Mexico. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #26
As a people we have become so afraid. jalan48 Nov 2016 #31
There would still be markets and trade. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #32
Can you bring Texas? metroins Nov 2016 #28
In twenty years. I don't think they want to be part of our experiment yet. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #29
No, that means NJ & NY will have to bail out the socialist-loving Red States even more than we do. TheBlackAdder Nov 2016 #2
We should get a proposition on the ballot to add this language to our Constitution DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #4
i'm going home. barbtries Nov 2016 #3
I really wish I could move to Cali. Ligyron Nov 2016 #5
Maybe I see my adopted state through rose colored glasses. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #7
Every time I go to Cali, and I've gone a lot, I'm always impressed by how nice everyone is. Ligyron Nov 2016 #14
I was born in NYC, raised in FL. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #17
I'm from FL myself and am here now on the Southeastern coast. Ligyron Nov 2016 #19
I lived mostly in Orlando but graduated from North Miami Beach Senior High School. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #20
There are no basements in CA... stopbush Nov 2016 #27
Why would California need Mexico? ileus Nov 2016 #9
while I doubt the electoral college will go away totally, I do think potentially ericson00 Nov 2016 #10
50,000 or so votes in OH and HI and Ford would have beat Carter despite losing the pop vote by ... DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #11
The stupid states will never allow it. libtodeath Nov 2016 #30
Great safeinOhio Nov 2016 #13
Trump is very unpopular here. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #15
Who here remembers in 2000 all the RED maps? underpants Nov 2016 #21
Kicking nt/ UTUSN Nov 2016 #33
imagine if trump had lost the EC vote but won PV by 2 and 1/2 million? lawsuits coast to coast spanone Nov 2016 #34
Trump's projected popular vote deficit equals all the Clinton votes in 12 states: Coyotl Nov 2016 #35
And this is supposed to be a democracy? GMAFB! ecstatic Nov 2016 #36
Who told you that? Never was a democracy. WillowTree Nov 2016 #60
The Electoral College Is A Republican Scam colsohlibgal Nov 2016 #37
California would have 11 more EC votes OnlinePoker Nov 2016 #39
I agree philosslayer Nov 2016 #40
See Federalist 68 DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #42
Then it could work right now lake loon Nov 2016 #55
As a Canadian... OnlinePoker Nov 2016 #38
I've been wondering about that too n/t TubbersUK Nov 2016 #61
they have vote by mail with the vote only having to be postmarked by election day dsc Nov 2016 #68
kick Dawson Leery Nov 2016 #41
That's about what the national polls said BainsBane Nov 2016 #44
Hopefully all of the "polls were so off" nonsense can die off mythology Nov 2016 #46
The rust belt apparently needs a lot more education dollars. nt BootinUp Nov 2016 #45
There is more going on in this election than meets the immediate review jimlup Nov 2016 #47
Electronic votes were hacked by Russia workinclasszero Nov 2016 #49
Yes Achilleaze Nov 2016 #51
2.5 million are owed an investigation of the hack and all the rest under the 2.5. lonestarnot Nov 2016 #53
Consolation prize Lotusflower70 Nov 2016 #54
I'd love to see a lot of people in blue states move to swing states lovemydog Nov 2016 #65

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
18. No water: No food. No technology. No culture. And no oil from our buddy, Mexico.
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 10:56 AM
Nov 2016

BTW, CO where we get some of our water from is more simpatico with us than Trumpica.

And Trumpica still needs our ports.

Act_of_Reparation

(9,116 posts)
50. I don't think you've thought this through.
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 10:34 AM
Nov 2016

Seven states draw water from the Colorado River watershed. Water rights are determined and distributed under the Colorado River Compact. If California were to secede from the United States, it would be prohibited from membership in the Compact because, by law, states cannot enter compacts with foreign governments without consent of Congress.

The US would suffer the loss of a major agricultural center, sure, and maybe even suffer the loss of a few ports. But the US is a big place, and could repurpose other parts of the country to absorb the loss. The same can't be said for California and its water supply. If it comes down to a game of chicken wherein the US withholds water and Cali withholds agriculture, Cali will eventually lose.

Never mind California's wild political demographics. Trumpica doesn't start at the Arizona border. It starts the second you step foot outside of a major city.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
52. California is the sixth largest economy in the world. Mexico is the fifteenth largest economy in...
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 10:42 AM
Nov 2016
"...Never mind California's wild political demographics..."

-Act_of_Reparation



You mean those scary people of color?



California is the sixth largest economy in the world. Mexico is the fifteenth largest economy in the world. We would do just fine in a loose confederation with Washington, Nevada, Oregon, and British Columbia (Canada).

Middle America needs the coasts a lot more than the coasts needs them.

To suggest the eastern and western seaboard nations couldn't form viable political entities is fanciful.

Act_of_Reparation

(9,116 posts)
56. What the fuck?
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 12:04 PM
Nov 2016
You mean those scary people of color?


No, and I can't for the life of me discern how in the name of Jesus H. Baldheaded Christ you arrived at such an incredibly off-the-mark interpretation of the very simple idea put forth to you.

I'm talking about California Republicans. I would have thought that obvious, but apparently "political" and "racial" are synonyms in your neck of the woods. Who knew.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
57. In my fantastic scenario California Republicans would be given a chance to leave.
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 12:23 PM
Nov 2016

I don't see how they can like it here.



"...I'm talking about California Republicans. I would have thought that obvious, but apparently "political" and "racial" are synonyms in your neck of the woods. Who knew..."


Act_of_Reparation



Political party membership =/= demographics?


"... I would have thought that obvious, but apparently "political" and "racial" are synonyms in your neck of the woods. Who knew...."


Act_of_Reparation



Neck? what neck?

Act_of_Reparation

(9,116 posts)
58. They haven't left yet.
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 12:40 PM
Nov 2016
Political party membership =/= demographics?


Yes. Crack open the closest dictionary and see for yourself.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
59. No mention of party
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 12:42 PM
Nov 2016
Demographic analysis can cover whole societies or groups defined by criteria such as education, nationality, religion, and ethnicity.





"...They haven't left yet..."

Act_of_Reparation






I suspect if they did they would come back shortly.

Act_of_Reparation

(9,116 posts)
62. Which part is confusing to you?
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:13 PM
Nov 2016
Demographic analysis can cover whole societies or groups defined by criteria such as education, nationality, religion, and ethnicity.


The definition of "criteria", or the intended use of the phrase "such as"? Whatever your malfunction may be, this definition clearly doesn't say what you seem to think it does.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
63. Temper, temper, temper...
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 02:19 PM
Nov 2016

Temper, temper, temper...




"...Whatever your malfunction may be..."



Act_of_Reparation



You seem, well, apoplectic... Breathe...

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
69. The weather is always great in So Cal.
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 09:42 PM
Nov 2016
Bad weather?

Act_of_Reparation


The weather is always great in So Cal.


Maybe the absence of great weather in you life is the source of your apoplexy.

Auggie

(31,174 posts)
23. COW are water sufficient and do not depend on supplies from other states
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 12:32 PM
Nov 2016

besides, what we save on defense spending will expand renewable energy used to desalinate the Pacific Ocean.

My pipe dream. Talk of succession is a waste of time. We're in this with the rest of country.

Mendocino

(7,495 posts)
48. CA and the Colorado River
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 10:06 AM
Nov 2016

CA takes a lions share of this water, 4.40 million acre feet a year. Despite having the second lowest of river frontage of all the Colorado River Compact states and nearly no viable return of water to the CO watershed.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
26. As would Mexico.
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 12:45 PM
Nov 2016

We get Silicon Valley, Hollywood, Vegas, the Port Of Los Angeles, and lush farmlands.

We could build a beautiful racially diverse social democracy.

jalan48

(13,870 posts)
31. As a people we have become so afraid.
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 12:57 PM
Nov 2016

It would be great to live in a place where people thought more positively about working together, as a real community, instead of competing with one another for scraps. Global Capitalism does more harm than just environmental damage, it poisons the relationships between humans. It turns us into self-centered competitors, willing to push others into the gutter to stay afloat.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
32. There would still be markets and trade.
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 01:14 PM
Nov 2016

However there would be a robust safety net and a commitment to eliminating abject poverty.

We would be more like, say, Canada.

TheBlackAdder

(28,209 posts)
2. No, that means NJ & NY will have to bail out the socialist-loving Red States even more than we do.
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 10:18 AM
Nov 2016

.


New Jersey is the #1 donor to those "socialist-loving" Red States, giving $31 Billion, more than state budget.

California is #2 and NY is #3.



Without California, how will the Red States survive? They won't have your sugar daddy state to bail them out!


.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
4. We should get a proposition on the ballot to add this language to our Constitution
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 10:30 AM
Nov 2016

The Republic of California rejects all forms of bigotry and welcomes all who are escaping from it.

Ligyron

(7,633 posts)
5. I really wish I could move to Cali.
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 10:31 AM
Nov 2016

I'm too old and apparently too poor to do so, lol.

Unless anyone has a spare basement...

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
7. Maybe I see my adopted state through rose colored glasses.
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 10:40 AM
Nov 2016

Is there racial tension? Yes. Are there parts of the city that I would be afraid to go? Yes, but that is true of any major city in any country. There are always going to be knuckleheads who don't want to get along.

OTOH, if you go to a mall or store or restaurant you will see folks of all races, nationalities, religions, and gender orientations mixing and getting along. We bask in our diversity.

Ligyron

(7,633 posts)
14. Every time I go to Cali, and I've gone a lot, I'm always impressed by how nice everyone is.
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 10:49 AM
Nov 2016

The whole west coast seems to be like that. Oh, sure, there are jerks but compared to many places it's not even close.

When things get bad, I hope the whole West coast succeeds. It will bankrupt flyover country.

I think Sessions, if he gets in, will go after weed and that may be the kick off.

I'm about half serious here.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
17. I was born in NYC, raised in FL.
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 10:55 AM
Nov 2016

I am so disappointed in my former state. I really thought Hillary's moderate liberalism was a great fit for it.

I see Rick Scott wants to run against Bill Nelson. Bill Nelson temperamentally and politically is a great fit for FL. He should be able to beat Rick Scott handily. But Trump's win in FL makes me challenge everything I thought I knew about the state I was raised in.

Ligyron

(7,633 posts)
19. I'm from FL myself and am here now on the Southeastern coast.
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 11:11 AM
Nov 2016

As you know, it's a strange mix statewide of NYC liberal and southern idiocy plus more Latinos all the time. Hard to gauge what's going on exactly but we know there's some GOP funny business always in play.

I wouldn't be surprised if Hills hadn't actually won here,. but...

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
20. I lived mostly in Orlando but graduated from North Miami Beach Senior High School.
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 11:14 AM
Nov 2016

I hope Scott doesn't beat Nelson. I don't think he can. Nelson is pretty popular.

 

ericson00

(2,707 posts)
10. while I doubt the electoral college will go away totally, I do think potentially
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 10:42 AM
Nov 2016

amending it so that if the margin of popular vote victory for one candidate is greater than 2% nationally, the EC gets cancelled out. The GOP knows full well that some day, a Democrat could win the EC while losing the popular vote, like had John Kerry won Ohio in 2004. A case could be made the preserving the EC until 2% keeps the incentive to engage both rural and urban/suburban, but that democracy doesn't just go out of the window.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
11. 50,000 or so votes in OH and HI and Ford would have beat Carter despite losing the pop vote by ...
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 10:46 AM
Nov 2016

50,000 or so votes in OH and HI and Ford would have beat Carter despite losing the pop vote by 1m.

The E C is a mess !!!

underpants

(182,832 posts)
21. Who here remembers in 2000 all the RED maps?
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 11:46 AM
Nov 2016

The talking point on the right (picked by MSM of course) was "Look at how much of the country voted for Bush!"

Dirt doesn't vote, people do. It makes no difference if the votes "are just coming from California" (RW talking point) it's still people.

spanone

(135,846 posts)
34. imagine if trump had lost the EC vote but won PV by 2 and 1/2 million? lawsuits coast to coast
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 04:21 PM
Nov 2016

you were right dictator don, it is rigged....in your favor

 

Coyotl

(15,262 posts)
35. Trump's projected popular vote deficit equals all the Clinton votes in 12 states:
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 04:55 PM
Nov 2016
In eleven states Trump won, the total of all the Trump votes is less than 2.5 million.

Clinton’s popular vote margin should reach 2.5 million, about 5x Kerry’s margin in 2004.


Final result will be Clinton wins popular vote by over 2.5 million if the same California percentages prevail as the current count.


Trump’s projected popular vote deficit equals all of Clinton’s votes in 12 states: WY, ND, AL, SD, MT, VT, WV, ID, DE, RI, HI, and NE.

Thirty states have fewer votes cast per state than Trump’s projected deficit of 2.5 million.

In eleven states Trump won, the seven state total vote is less than 2.5 million.


Seven states combined cast 2.3 million total votes (least first): WY, AK, DC, VT, ND, SD, and HI.


The exit polls draw a very different picture.
?1479568156

ecstatic

(32,712 posts)
36. And this is supposed to be a democracy? GMAFB!
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 05:12 PM
Nov 2016

We look like clowns right now. Over half the nation is still sickened by the idea of trump's "regime" (his words) taking control. What a joke disaster!

WillowTree

(5,325 posts)
60. Who told you that? Never was a democracy.
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 12:49 PM
Nov 2016

The US is and always has been a republic by the intentional design of the framers of the Constitution.

colsohlibgal

(5,275 posts)
37. The Electoral College Is A Republican Scam
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 06:36 PM
Nov 2016

All this BS that it makes it fairer for people in sparsely populated states is nonsense. Lawrence O'Donnell eviscerated that argument the other night. To wit.....Montana has about a million people and 3 electoral votes. If California had the same ratio it would have over a 100 electoral votes and so on and so on.

It always works in favor of the right. Think of the cost resulting from 2000! Why, after that, we did not go after this dinosaur hard is beyond me. This nation is founded on one person one vote and yet.....in any other nation the person with the most votes wins, but not necessarily here.

One more thing...we must get away from voting machines and get real about voting.

OnlinePoker

(5,722 posts)
39. California would have 11 more EC votes
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 07:23 PM
Nov 2016

Currently, they get 55 votes. California has 12.2% of the population. 12.2% of the 538 EC votes is 66, not 100.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
42. See Federalist 68
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 10:28 PM
Nov 2016

It was partly designed to prevent a demagogue from gaining power. It is obviously failing.

OnlinePoker

(5,722 posts)
38. As a Canadian...
Tue Nov 22, 2016, 07:19 PM
Nov 2016

How can they still be counting votes 2 weeks after the election took place? It boggles my mind that it can't be done in one night (or two at most).

dsc

(52,163 posts)
68. they have vote by mail with the vote only having to be postmarked by election day
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 09:40 PM
Nov 2016

with a holiday only 3 days after that means a non trivial number of ballots could take a week or so to arrive.

 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
49. Electronic votes were hacked by Russia
Wed Nov 23, 2016, 10:25 AM
Nov 2016
Computer scientists urge Clinton campaign to challenge election results
By Dan Merica, CNN Updated 10:23 PM ET, Tue November 22, 2016

(CNN)Hillary Clinton's campaign is being urged by a number of top computer scientists to call for a recount of vote totals in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, according to a source with knowledge of the request.

The computer scientists believe they have found evidence that vote totals in the three states could have been manipulated or hacked and presented their findings to top Clinton aides on a call last Thursday.

The scientists, among them J. Alex Halderman, the director of the University of Michigan Center for Computer Security and Society, told the Clinton campaign they believe there is a questionable trend of Clinton performing worse in counties that relied on electronic voting machines compared to paper ballots and optical scanners, according to the source.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/22/politics/hillary-clinton-challenge-results/index.html

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10028299199
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