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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsPaul Ryans plan to phase out Medicare is just what Democrats need
https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/11/15/paul-ryans-plan-to-phase-out-medicare-is-just-what-democrats-need/Paul Ryans plan to phase out Medicare is just what Democrats need
By Paul Waldman November 15 at 9:03 AM
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Understanding just how much senior citizens love this big-government program of single-payer health insurance, Ryan and other Republicans have always tried to sell privatization by telling seniors that they shouldnt worry because the changes theyre proposing wont take effect for a while. Youll still have the Medicare program you love, they say. Its those who come after you who will be without it. For whatever combination of reasons this argument has never been persuasive; perhaps seniors just dont trust it, or perhaps they want to make sure their children and grandchildren enjoy the same health security they do. But whenever Republicans have considered making a privatization push, theyve quickly changed their minds as they contemplated the almost inevitable backlash.
But now they may have the boldness to give it another shot. For Ryan and other Republicans, phasing out Medicare is a high-risk, high-reward game. Getting rid of it is a beautiful dream, because Medicare is a living rebuke to everything Republicans argue about government programs: Its a gigantic entitlement that has solved a significant societal problem, works efficiently, and is spectacularly popular. If they could privatize it and then begin to shrink it down little by little, they could then do the same to Medicaid, to CHIP, to anything. As Ryan says on his website, Medicare is the cornerstone on which all other government health care programs rest.
Ryan knows the political dangers he faces in trying to phase out Medicare, but he also knows that a chance like the one he has now doesnt come along very often. So he seems determined to move forward, and that gives Democrats a tremendous opportunity.
An effort to phase out Medicare will unite liberals and give them one specific thing to direct their energies toward. Itll make the consequences of unified Republican rule vivid and concrete. It will also enable them to apply pressure to every member of Congress in a way that the parade of Trump administration horrors may not. A Republican congressman from Alabama doesnt care if a few of his constituents are appalled that President Trump will have a white nationalist as his senior adviser. But a threat to their Medicare? Hoo boy. Now thats trouble.
So as much as the 2016 presidential campaign showed the danger of making predictions in politics, I feel comfortable making this one: Ryans effort will fail. If he actually tries to move ahead with a privatization plan, there will be a revolt. Even Republican members of Congress who agree with Ryans anti-government goals and who would like to see Medicare die will be terrified of their angry constituents and will quickly abandon him. At some point, President Trump who has no genuine beliefs about any of this and therefore no ideological commitment to privatizing Medicare will pull the plug.
And Democrats, having beaten back this effort one more time, might begin to see a glimmer of hope. Theyre going to lose a lot in the next four years, perhaps more than they can truly understand at this stage. But they wont lose everything.
Liberal In Texas
(13,579 posts)You should have.
And Social Security will be next.
JustABozoOnThisBus
(23,369 posts)Trump likes veterans who DON'T need medical care. You know, the STRONG ones.
uponit7771
(90,364 posts)... the start.
Dems can rally The Resistance around this
CurtEastPoint
(18,664 posts)Eh. They could lose theirs and I wouldn't sweat it. They voted for that shit.
MurrayDelph
(5,301 posts)but I've been tempted if I see an elderly person with a Trump sticker to ask them what they're planning on doing once the Republicans destroy Medicare, especially since they are against Obama care.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)time for guerrilla warfare, in all 240 or so House district townhalls were the Rep is a GOPer.
LonePirate
(13,431 posts)Of course we won't see hide nor hair of them; but hopefully the American people and a small number of the less insane Republicans in the Senate will help us defeat these changes.
Drahthaardogs
(6,843 posts)He sure does not anyone else having a turn
MurrayDelph
(5,301 posts)I got mine, screw you.