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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums"He's leading in Fla"
If I hear another person say that on tv! One freaking poll shows him leading while the others show Clinton leading!
Lochloosa
(16,065 posts)Proud liberal 80
(4,167 posts)Lochloosa
(16,065 posts)saltpoint
(50,986 posts)were doing awfully well in early voting along that I-4 corridor, including Pinellas County.
HRC will carry SE Florida, too. I think the Trump-Pence campaign is going to be disappointed with the Florida vote.
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)dubyadiprecession
(5,711 posts)over Trump. This was reported last night on Rachel Maddow.
world wide wally
(21,744 posts)Pretty soon they can fire all the hosts and staff ther programming with all Trump surrogates and let him pay for them.
VMA131Marine
(4,139 posts)Trump is leading in 4 by a maximum of 3%. Hillary is leading in 12 with a maximum lead of 6. There is one tie.
The average of those polls is HRC 45.2 DJT 43.4 for a Clinton lead of 1.8%.
83% of HRC's polling numbers are within the MOE of the mean and 61% of DJT's numbers are within the MOE of the mean. 94% of HRC's numbers are within 2 times the MOE of her mean and 89% of DJT's numbers are within 2 times the MOE of his mean.
Statistically, Hillary is leading by more than double Obama's margin in 2012. It's just dishonest to say otherwise, especially when evidence on the ground tends to support the fact that she is leading.
Foggyhill
(1,060 posts)Many of these "polls" should not even be used
All those polls have different methods, moe
Averaging them gives a number that means almost nothing. There is no basis in stat to do this average
If they were using all the same method, models and sample size you possibly could
Better pick the large sample reputable polls with likely voters skewing dem because of increased Latino turnout, individually
All of that puts Clinton ahead
Gotv means Clinton most likely wins florida
gratuitous
(82,849 posts)Remember Jeb Bush, as his campaign was juddering to its ignominious end? Talking to a small group of dedicated fans, and giving one of his stump speech applause lines, he was reduced to pleading with them, "Please clap."
This is the popular media equivalent: Yeah, we know this race has run its course, but we have a lot of time to fill in the next couple of weeks, and this is the story we're invested in. Please watch.