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"He's leading in Fla" (Original Post) Proud liberal 80 Oct 2016 OP
You listening to Wolf again? Lochloosa Oct 2016 #1
MSNBC Proud liberal 80 Oct 2016 #2
"The race is tightening". Must have said it 3 times in the last 5 mins Lochloosa Oct 2016 #6
Last update I heard was that Clinton-Kaine saltpoint Oct 2016 #3
Paying attention to msm now is waste of time beachbum bob Oct 2016 #5
538 says that of the average of all the Florida polls, Hilary still leads by about 3 points... dubyadiprecession Oct 2016 #7
How many Trump surrogates were on cable news today? world wide wally Oct 2016 #8
Since 10/20 there have been 17 polls from FL reported VMA131Marine Oct 2016 #9
Averaging polls like that is plain wrong Foggyhill Oct 2016 #10
"Please watch" gratuitous Oct 2016 #11
boosting ad revenues....nothing more. spanone Oct 2016 #12

saltpoint

(50,986 posts)
3. Last update I heard was that Clinton-Kaine
Thu Oct 27, 2016, 05:17 PM
Oct 2016

were doing awfully well in early voting along that I-4 corridor, including Pinellas County.

HRC will carry SE Florida, too. I think the Trump-Pence campaign is going to be disappointed with the Florida vote.

dubyadiprecession

(5,711 posts)
7. 538 says that of the average of all the Florida polls, Hilary still leads by about 3 points...
Thu Oct 27, 2016, 05:25 PM
Oct 2016

over Trump. This was reported last night on Rachel Maddow.

world wide wally

(21,744 posts)
8. How many Trump surrogates were on cable news today?
Thu Oct 27, 2016, 05:26 PM
Oct 2016

Pretty soon they can fire all the hosts and staff ther programming with all Trump surrogates and let him pay for them.

VMA131Marine

(4,139 posts)
9. Since 10/20 there have been 17 polls from FL reported
Thu Oct 27, 2016, 05:37 PM
Oct 2016

Trump is leading in 4 by a maximum of 3%. Hillary is leading in 12 with a maximum lead of 6. There is one tie.
The average of those polls is HRC 45.2 DJT 43.4 for a Clinton lead of 1.8%.

83% of HRC's polling numbers are within the MOE of the mean and 61% of DJT's numbers are within the MOE of the mean. 94% of HRC's numbers are within 2 times the MOE of her mean and 89% of DJT's numbers are within 2 times the MOE of his mean.
Statistically, Hillary is leading by more than double Obama's margin in 2012. It's just dishonest to say otherwise, especially when evidence on the ground tends to support the fact that she is leading.

Foggyhill

(1,060 posts)
10. Averaging polls like that is plain wrong
Thu Oct 27, 2016, 05:50 PM
Oct 2016

Many of these "polls" should not even be used

All those polls have different methods, moe
Averaging them gives a number that means almost nothing. There is no basis in stat to do this average

If they were using all the same method, models and sample size you possibly could

Better pick the large sample reputable polls with likely voters skewing dem because of increased Latino turnout, individually

All of that puts Clinton ahead

Gotv means Clinton most likely wins florida

gratuitous

(82,849 posts)
11. "Please watch"
Thu Oct 27, 2016, 06:12 PM
Oct 2016

Remember Jeb Bush, as his campaign was juddering to its ignominious end? Talking to a small group of dedicated fans, and giving one of his stump speech applause lines, he was reduced to pleading with them, "Please clap."

This is the popular media equivalent: Yeah, we know this race has run its course, but we have a lot of time to fill in the next couple of weeks, and this is the story we're invested in. Please watch.

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