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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsPoll: Hurt by Trump, Rubio in 'too close to call' U.S. Senate race with Murphy
http://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2016/08/florida-poll-hurt-by-trump-rubio-in-too-close-to-call-us-senate-race-with-murphy-104657Democratic U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy is catching up to Sen. Marco Rubio and is nearly tied with him in a new Quinnipiac University poll that suggests Donald Trump is a drag on the incumbent Republican.
Rubio has a marginal 3-point lead over Murphy, 48 percent to 45 percent, in the latest poll of likely voters. However, last months Quinnipiac poll showed Rubio ahead by 13 points, 50 percent to 37 percent. Factoring in the new poll's 3-point error-margin, the Senate race is now "too close to call," Quinnipiac said in a news release.
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The cumulative 10-point shift in Murphys favor comes amid bad local press for the Democrat and relatively little paid media that would normally lead to such a change.
Quinnipiacs assistant polling director, Peter A. Brown, suggested Trumps struggles are hurting Rubio in Florida just as he appears to be damaging Republican Sen. Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania. Toomey trails his Democratic challenger, Katie McGinty, in the portion of the poll surveying likely Pennsylvania voters.
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Poll: Hurt by Trump, Rubio in 'too close to call' U.S. Senate race with Murphy (Original Post)
jpak
Aug 2016
OP
Also, Quinnipiac's history this cycle is to favor the Rs disproportionately.
Stinky The Clown
Aug 2016
#1
The important take away is that Rubio lost 10 points compared to Quinnipiac's poll last month.
RAFisher
Aug 2016
#8
Stinky The Clown
(67,808 posts)1. Also, Quinnipiac's history this cycle is to favor the Rs disproportionately.
I'm not saying they're in the tank for the GOPee. I just think the logarithms they're using this cycle are a little off. In fact, they've even found themselves in outlier territory a few times.
All that is to say, based solely on this one poll, that Murphy is tied or maybe even ahead.
RAFisher
(466 posts)8. The important take away is that Rubio lost 10 points compared to Quinnipiac's poll last month.
That's very good. At this point it really doesn't matter if Quinnipiac is skewed toward the Republicans. He's losing ground and other polls should confirm that.
JCMach1
(27,559 posts)2. Cliinton wins FL, Murphy wins...
Historic NY
(37,451 posts)3. Remember Rubio is the guy that didn't want to be a Senator.....
lets grant him that wish.
shraby
(21,946 posts)4. They don't mention rubio's remark about the Zika virus as a reason people might not vote for him
and the fact that he's a shyster and a republican.
Mass
(27,315 posts)5. His position on abortion cannot help him either. It is absolutely extreme.
napkinz
(17,199 posts)6. No-Show Rubio
GulfCoast66
(11,949 posts)7. Plus
The raving mad tea party trumpeters will never vote for 'Little Mario'.
They once saw as the enemy and are too indoctrinated to change their view.