General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTrump's bounce is gone
Sec Clinton retakes the lead on RCP, albeit by a modest 0.4 points:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
RCP had Durrr Fuhrer up 1.1 points just a few days ago. I predict Clinton will be up by an average of 3-4 points by this time next week.
dawg
(10,624 posts)He could still win, though. This country is messed-up in the head.
No way that clown would be polling above 35% were that not the case.
Charles Bukowski
(1,132 posts)and it boggles my mind that so many people are willing to vote for this farcical man simply because he has an (R) next to his name, but let's enjoy the fact that his convention bounce was historically mediocre and appears to be gone.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)LW1977
(1,235 posts)Where are they getting their current information from?
backscatter712
(26,355 posts)The nowcast shows Hillary winning by a hair (yesterday, it was Trump winning), and the polls-only forecast shows Trump winning.
Considering that the bounce-effects of the DNC haven't made it into the poll numbers, I'd say that 538's current predictions should be taken with a bucket of salt.
Rstrstx
(1,399 posts)I think his model assumes a convention bounce will occur even before polls are released, last week he had Trump surging before any polls had come out. I would expect a continued move towards Clinton over the next week
backscatter712
(26,355 posts)When I checked this morning, Clinton was winning in all three versions.
Response to Charles Bukowski (Original post)
Post removed