New Reuters/Ipsos Clinton/Trump poll: Support surges for the talking yam

[cali]

Exclusive: Trump Surges in Support, Almost Even With Clinton in National U.S. Poll

NEW YORK — Donald Trump's support has surged and he is now running nearly even with Democrat Hillary Clinton among likely U.S. voters, a dramatic turnaround since he became the Republican party's presumptive presidential nominee, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Wednesday.

The results could signal a close fight between the two likely White House rivals as Americans make up their minds ahead of the Nov. 8 election to succeed Democratic President Barack Obama. As recently as last week, Clinton led Trump by around 13 points in the poll.

In the most recent survey, 41 percent of likely voters supported Clinton, the Democratic front-runner, and 40 percent backed Trump, with 19 percent not decided on either yet, according to the online poll of 1,289 people conducted from Friday to Tuesday. The poll had a credibility interval of about 3 percentage points.

The results reflect a big increase in support for Trump since he knocked out U.S. Senator Ted Cruz of Texas and Ohio Governor John Kasich last week to become the last Republican in the White House race.


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http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2016/05/11/us/11reuters-usa-election-poll.html?partner=IFTTT&_r=0

[spanone]

1. when you're promoted by the 'news' media 24/7 you get these results

[Dawgs]

2. In the end all Republicans will be on board.

Defeating Hillary is a powerful force that will make the GE closer than anything we've seen in awhile.

[yourpaljoey]

3. The street is abuzz with anticipation for the Trump Talking Yam

Demand is incredible!
Will be interesting to see what he does next.
He has to do three things:
1. Quit with the jibber-jabber
2. Veer Left
3. Prepare to hoist Hill by her own petard.
She has written his attack ads for him.

[RandySF]

4. I lost count of the "McCain Surges" stories in 2008

Or "Bill Clinton Running Third" in 1992. And wasn't

[cali]

5. This isn't 2008 or 1992.

[hollowdweller]

7. I think it is more like 2000 or 2004

[ChisolmTrailDem]

6. It's Hillary supporters' fault for forcing a candidate on the people that the people don't want. nt

[hollowdweller]

9. They aren't forcing. People are voting for her.

Trump was on TV for a long time in a position of authority. Everybody knows Clinton.

A LOT of people vote on name recognition alone.

Also like 2004 when Dean was the anti war candidate but dems were a little afraid of his electability they voted for a dem who had been for the war Kerry because he was more electable.

Besides the name recognition, people are voting for a candidate who supported Wall Street in the past, even though they feel big business is too powerful because they see her as more electable.

Lets hope she can pull ahead and vanquish Trump and make good on peoples hopes should she get the nomination, unlike Kerry.

[0rganism]

8. i'd like to see some analysis of the turnout models used to get these results

the one released recently for Florida had some "interesting" numbers too, and corresponds to an equally interesting predicted electorate

if they're weighting these polls with a severely depressed D turnout that shows us something about how the RNC is going to try to play this race

[JCMach1]

10. Reminder: Romney extends lead over Obama in presidential race: Reuters/Ipsos poll

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-campaign-poll-thu-idUSBRE89A12U20121011


Can we at least discuss reality-based polling?