President Trump? History and demographics make it unlikely

[LuckyTheDog]

By Anthony J. Gaughan

The GOP nomination is within Donald Trump’s grasp.

Trump’s decisive victory in the Indiana primary on Tuesday night drove his two final challengers to withdraw from the race. Whatever hopes the GOP establishment still harbored of a brokered convention ended when Ted Cruz dropped out of the race on Tuesday night and John Kasich dropped out on Wednesday. Trump will be the Republican nominee for president in 2016.

Trump’s march to the nomination has shocked the GOP establishment and defied conventional wisdom. Could he pull off an even bigger upset by winning the White House in November?

If history, polling data and demographics are any guide, the answer is no. The evidence suggests that Trump will likely suffer a crushing defeat in the general election.

MORE HERE: http://yonside.com/president-trump-history-and-demographics-make-it-unlikely/

[LonePirate]

1. They obviously didn't consult the DUers who are convinced Trump wins easily in November.

[stopbush]

3. Why would they? It's such a tiny minority of DUers.

[trotsky]

2. Trump is such a wildcard though.

Cruz, hell yeah, either of our candidates would have trounced him easily.

But Trump, I just don't know. I don't see conventional political analysis applying quite as easily to him. I will be on pins and needles on election night until I see at least 271 blue electoral votes counted.

[no_hypocrisy]

4. I said the same thing about Reagan and Baby Bush.

It sucks to be wrong. Nothing is impossible.

[TeamPooka]

5. I said the same thing about Arnold Schwarzenegger here in CA when he ran for Gov.

but in a nation of starfuckers the natural force/power that is "celebrity" is stronger than gravity.
They didn't just elect that motherfucker governor, they re-elected him after knowing what a tool and failure he was too.
Sooo, fingers crossed America. Fingers crossed.

[Squinch]

6. I believe this but I think it would be a terrible mistake to act as if this will be anything but a

dog fight. If we win in a landslide that will be great, but we CANNOT let this man gain any ground.