March 15 Primary Predictions

[RandySF]

Florida :
Clinton (D)
Rubio (R) By a very close margin

Illinois:
Clinton (D)
Trump (R)

Missouri:
Clinton (D) By a very close margin
Cruz (R)

North Carolina:
Clinton (D)
Trump (R)

Ohio:
Sanders (D) Close
Katich (R)

[PatrickforO]

1. With all due respect, I hope you are wrong in IL, and MO - I'm thinking

Bernie might win these narrowly as well.

We'll see, won't we?

[RandySF]

3. Chicago and St. Louis are VERY influential in statewide primaries

But you're right, we'll see. Right now I'm keeping a keen eye on the Republicans.

[PatrickforO]

6. Yes, you and me both. I'm very, very concerned about Trump.

[davidn3600]

2. You do know the polls have Trump up 20+ points in Florida, right?

Are you saying Rubio is going to pull an upset?

[RandySF]

4. Mason-Dixon, one the best firms, has Rubio closing fast.

http://www.theledger.com/article/20160310/POLITICS/160319958#document/p1

And Trump usually underperforms on voting day.

[davidn3600]

7. That poll is an outlier at this point

It'll be surprising if Rubio wins. A lot of Republicans that voted for him for Senate feel betrayed by him. He was elected mainly by the Tea Party back in 2010. Most of those voters are now either with Cruz or Trump.

[Quixote1818]

5. I am extremely curious to see if what occured in Kansas and Michigan continues

Polls showing Hillary up by 10 points can mean very little if 5% move to Sanders when they actually get in the voting booth. It seems a hell of a lot of people are doing their research right at the end and switching. The debate in Florida could also be a factor as pretty much everyone agreed that Sanders won that easily. His standing ovation at the end was quite remarkable.

[RepubliCON-Watch]

8. My predictions(no bias used)

Last edited Sun Mar 13, 2016, 03:36 AM - Edit history (1)

FL:
50/50 Sanders/Clinton
Trump

IL:
Sanders
Trump

MO:
Sanders
Cruz

NC:
Clinton
Cruz

OH:
Sanders
Trump

I don't like Kasich's chances for some reason in Ohio and I think he drops out Tuesday after taking the 'L'. Sanders, I think, pulls out some key victories based on his appeal of ideas and the states provided and also based on the events from this weekend and the possible appeal to voters that he truly cares about the values Trump despises. I won't be surprised to see a wide margin win for Sanders in either OH or MO. Hillary will have to start rebooting her campaign, I feel, if she doesn't want another 2008 to take place. As for Trump, this all but locks it up for him because of the unusual circumstances of this race across the board and winning OH.

[brettdale]

9. Clinton to sweep

Clinton to sweep
Dumpy Trumpy to win everything apart from Ohio, that will go to Kaich.

Rubio will drop out.

[oberliner]

10. Trump is way ahead in the polls in Florida

What makes you think he will lose it to Rubio?

[RandySF]

11. Kicking for further discussion.