General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThat is some serious weather in Texas right now and it is moving East
Please stay safe DUers and pay attention to tornado warnings and watchesabout tornadoes
Jeff Masters - Severe Storms, Heavy Rain for TX/LA/AR/MS
https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3259
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Figure 5. Convective outlooks issued by NOAAs Storm Prediction Center as of midday Monday, valid for the 24 hours until 6:00 am CST on (left to right) Tuesday, March 8; Wednesday, March 9; and Thursday, March 10.
The powerful upper jet plowing across California this weekend will soon carve out an unusually deep upper low extending far south into Mexico. Near-record low temperatures (especially cool daytime highs) can be expected across northern Mexico, with snow falling atop some of the higher Sierra Madre peaks. The upper low will help channel copious amounts of tropical moisture northward into the south-central U.S., setting the stage for a multi-day period of torrential rain and severe weather. With the atmosphere so moist at all levels, and with upper- and lower-level winds all blowing more or less from the south, this doesnt look like a classic spring outbreak with isolated supercell thunderstorms. Instead, were likely to see many clusters and lines of intense storms dumping extremely heavy rain, with some severe weather embedded in the mix. Short-lived circulations and brief tornadoes may crop up as the storms multiply, making for a tough week for local forecasters. As of midday Monday, the NOAA Storm Prediction Center was not highlighting any areas of significant severe weather for the next several days, another sign that most of the storms are unlikely to be especially destructive. For most areas, SPC is dubbing the event a long duration-low probability tornado risk.
The very moist air mass expected to flow into the south-central states will approach or exceed precipitable water records for March at some locations. Together with the powerful upper low, this means the potential for extreme rainfall, gradually spreading from Texas and Arkansas into Louisiana and Mississippi as the week unfolds. The details will depend on how each nights showers and thunderstorms evolve; its likely that the zones of highest rainfall will get shunted southeastward each day as rain-cooled air pushes a surface front in that direction. When all is said and done by weeks end, we may see totals of more than a foot of rain in some locations, with widespread 6-12 amounts.
tanyev
(42,564 posts)I knew we were getting heavy rain today, but I didn't know there were already tornado warnings. Got the local news on now, and cat carrier at the ready.
malaise
(269,038 posts)Stay safe and I hope you're OK
snooper2
(30,151 posts)They weren't sure if it was a touchdown or just straight line winds-
Heavy duty shit rolling through in next couple hours- I'm sure the siren down the street from my work will go off in a couple hours when system moves east-
malaise
(269,038 posts)doing!
snooper2
(30,151 posts)Except tornadoes ----
I am still picking up little pieces of debris from the tornado that touched down in Garland the day after Christmas. I'm just north of where it stopped and dropped the last of the shingles and insulation
I'll pass on the tornadoes thank you.
Stay safe
Javaman
(62,530 posts)malaise
(269,038 posts)clarice
(5,504 posts)ScreamingMeemie
(68,918 posts)clarice
(5,504 posts)clarice
(5,504 posts)Aerows
(39,961 posts)I swear, here on the coast we are going to float away if we get much more rain.
It's a beautiful day today, thankfully. Maybe it will miss us here. I'm not going to say it has been raining a lot, but I saw a man nailing a boat together and some animals lining up two by two...
malaise
(269,038 posts)lame54
(35,293 posts)clarice
(5,504 posts)It's a good joke - we don't believe in that kind of stuff - but he's right
clarice
(5,504 posts)kentauros
(29,414 posts)Easier to just look out the window and pay attention to the gusts and downpours
The wind was pretty strong yesterday, and it's still moving to the NNE. I'm not sure how much more rain we'll get today because it does seem to be shifting to the east now.
West-central Texas is getting some nastier storms right now, though: http://wxug.us/1tph4
malaise
(269,038 posts)kentauros
(29,414 posts)And I'm glad you post this stuff, too. We all need to remain informed about what's going on weather-wise, no matter where we are
Avalux
(35,015 posts)It was 84 degrees today with high humidity; the conditions are ripe for severe weather. It's going to be a bumpy night!
malaise
(269,038 posts)Ilove night rain but hate night storms -
Avalux
(35,015 posts)These storms will have a lot of lightning and they're saying hail too. My dogs won't let me sleep so I'll be awake listening to it and watching the radar. So long as it doesn't get too crazy I'll enjoy it. We need the rain!
Dont call me Shirley
(10,998 posts)B2G
(9,766 posts)Stay safe!
Texasgal
(17,045 posts)Today was awful... muggy and HOT. I'm in Central Texas. Hope all my fellow DU'ers stay safe tonight!
North Texans: You guys okay?