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malaise

(269,038 posts)
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 09:20 AM Mar 2016

That is some serious weather in Texas right now and it is moving East

Please stay safe DUers and pay attention to tornado warnings and watchesabout tornadoes

Jeff Masters - Severe Storms, Heavy Rain for TX/LA/AR/MS
https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3259
<snip>


Figure 5. Convective outlooks issued by NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center as of midday Monday, valid for the 24 hours until 6:00 am CST on (left to right) Tuesday, March 8; Wednesday, March 9; and Thursday, March 10.
The powerful upper jet plowing across California this weekend will soon carve out an unusually deep upper low extending far south into Mexico. Near-record low temperatures (especially cool daytime highs) can be expected across northern Mexico, with snow falling atop some of the higher Sierra Madre peaks. The upper low will help channel copious amounts of tropical moisture northward into the south-central U.S., setting the stage for a multi-day period of torrential rain and severe weather. With the atmosphere so moist at all levels, and with upper- and lower-level winds all blowing more or less from the south, this doesn’t look like a classic spring outbreak with isolated supercell thunderstorms. Instead, we’re likely to see many clusters and lines of intense storms dumping extremely heavy rain, with some severe weather embedded in the mix. Short-lived circulations and brief tornadoes may crop up as the storms multiply, making for a tough week for local forecasters. As of midday Monday, the NOAA Storm Prediction Center was not highlighting any areas of significant severe weather for the next several days, another sign that most of the storms are unlikely to be especially destructive. For most areas, SPC is dubbing the event a “long duration-low probability tornado risk.”

The very moist air mass expected to flow into the south-central states will approach or exceed precipitable water records for March at some locations. Together with the powerful upper low, this means the potential for extreme rainfall, gradually spreading from Texas and Arkansas into Louisiana and Mississippi as the week unfolds. The details will depend on how each night’s showers and thunderstorms evolve; it’s likely that the zones of highest rainfall will get shunted southeastward each day as rain-cooled air pushes a surface front in that direction. When all is said and done by week’s end, we may see totals of more than a foot of rain in some locations, with widespread 6-12” amounts.

27 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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That is some serious weather in Texas right now and it is moving East (Original Post) malaise Mar 2016 OP
Thank you! tanyev Mar 2016 #1
Glad you're prepared for the worst malaise Mar 2016 #6
Already reports of mobile homes flipped over close to Grandbury I believe snooper2 Mar 2016 #2
CHeck in and let us know how you're malaise Mar 2016 #5
Just dandy! :) I love storms... snooper2 Mar 2016 #8
Damn malaise Mar 2016 #19
We're under a tornado watch until 1PM here in Austin. nt Javaman Mar 2016 #3
Hope you're OK malaise Mar 2016 #4
I'm in Houston..at the moment...just kinda breezy and cloudy. nt clarice Mar 2016 #7
Me too! With our 5-minute bucket downpours. ScreamingMeemie Mar 2016 #9
Looks like it might miss us. nt clarice Mar 2016 #14
fingers crossed. nt clarice Mar 2016 #10
Thanks for the heads up, Malaise! Aerows Mar 2016 #11
You're welcome malaise Mar 2016 #16
They shouldn't have voted Cruz lame54 Mar 2016 #12
Oh Brother....can't you lighten up for a MINUTE? lol. nt clarice Mar 2016 #13
He did malaise Mar 2016 #18
woooops....was that a quick one that slipped by me? nt clarice Mar 2016 #21
Weather Underground's WunderMap has been screwing up for me all day. kentauros Mar 2016 #15
Stay safe malaise Mar 2016 #17
Thank you! kentauros Mar 2016 #20
I'm getting ready for it to hit here, about 11 pm or so. Avalux Mar 2016 #22
Stay safe malaise Mar 2016 #25
I will thanks! Avalux Mar 2016 #26
Stay safe y'all. Dont call me Shirley Mar 2016 #23
Welcome to the start is spring, ya'll B2G Mar 2016 #24
It is supposed to hit tonight around 2:00 AM Texasgal Mar 2016 #27

tanyev

(42,564 posts)
1. Thank you!
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 10:00 AM
Mar 2016

I knew we were getting heavy rain today, but I didn't know there were already tornado warnings. Got the local news on now, and cat carrier at the ready.

 

snooper2

(30,151 posts)
2. Already reports of mobile homes flipped over close to Grandbury I believe
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 10:40 AM
Mar 2016

They weren't sure if it was a touchdown or just straight line winds-

Heavy duty shit rolling through in next couple hours- I'm sure the siren down the street from my work will go off in a couple hours when system moves east-

 

snooper2

(30,151 posts)
8. Just dandy! :) I love storms...
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 03:12 PM
Mar 2016

Except tornadoes ----

I am still picking up little pieces of debris from the tornado that touched down in Garland the day after Christmas. I'm just north of where it stopped and dropped the last of the shingles and insulation

 

Aerows

(39,961 posts)
11. Thanks for the heads up, Malaise!
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 04:14 PM
Mar 2016

I swear, here on the coast we are going to float away if we get much more rain.

It's a beautiful day today, thankfully. Maybe it will miss us here. I'm not going to say it has been raining a lot, but I saw a man nailing a boat together and some animals lining up two by two...

kentauros

(29,414 posts)
15. Weather Underground's WunderMap has been screwing up for me all day.
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 06:12 PM
Mar 2016

Easier to just look out the window and pay attention to the gusts and downpours

The wind was pretty strong yesterday, and it's still moving to the NNE. I'm not sure how much more rain we'll get today because it does seem to be shifting to the east now.

West-central Texas is getting some nastier storms right now, though: http://wxug.us/1tph4

kentauros

(29,414 posts)
20. Thank you!
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 07:41 PM
Mar 2016

And I'm glad you post this stuff, too. We all need to remain informed about what's going on weather-wise, no matter where we are

Avalux

(35,015 posts)
22. I'm getting ready for it to hit here, about 11 pm or so.
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 07:46 PM
Mar 2016

It was 84 degrees today with high humidity; the conditions are ripe for severe weather. It's going to be a bumpy night!

Avalux

(35,015 posts)
26. I will thanks!
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 09:44 PM
Mar 2016

These storms will have a lot of lightning and they're saying hail too. My dogs won't let me sleep so I'll be awake listening to it and watching the radar. So long as it doesn't get too crazy I'll enjoy it. We need the rain!

Texasgal

(17,045 posts)
27. It is supposed to hit tonight around 2:00 AM
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 10:00 PM
Mar 2016

Today was awful... muggy and HOT. I'm in Central Texas. Hope all my fellow DU'ers stay safe tonight!

North Texans: You guys okay?

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