Republicans are in a lose-lose situation.

[Shoulders of Giants]

There are currently two possibilities for the Republicans in regards to the presidential primary.

1.Trump gets over 50% of the delegates and there is no brokered convention. They then have the candidate who has the highest unfavorability rating of all time at the top of their ticket. Therefore, their odds of winning are low.

2.Trump does not get 50% percent of the delegates, but still wins a plurality, but not majority. There is a brokered convention and the party insiders choose someone they think is more electable. Donald Trump gets mad, either runs third party or tells people not to vote for the Republican. He will say the party insiders screwed him over, despite the fact that he got more votes than any other candidate. There is a major rift in the Republican party, making it very hard for them to win.


I don't know which of these two things will happen, but both of these options aren't good for them. I don't really see how Republicans can win this year, regardless of if there is a brokered convention this year or not.

[Generic Brad]

1. They have all but written off the presidency

The big money will be spent down ticket in local, congressional and senate races. If they can't buy the presidency, there are plenty of other races that are for sale and have willing takers.

[Shoulders of Giants]

2. This will hurt the smaller races as well.

If there is chaos on the Republican side on the top of the ticket, that will lower their turnout for local races as well. Its looking like there is a good chance that there will be Democratic unity on the top of the ticket, so we probably won't have that problem.

[NutmegYankee]

3. I really hope they collapse in November.

I don't want to live under a fascist or a dominionist.

[KentuckyWoman]

4. I am no longer convinced Donald would lose in the GE.

My faith in my fellow Americans is a bit shaky right now.

[PJMcK]

5. Agreed but what about our side?

Your binary analysis makes sense, Shoulders. Thanks for articulating it.

But what about the Democratic voters? A thread posted a little later than yours reports that tens of thousands of Senator Sanders' supporters will leave the Democratic Party if Hillary Clinton wins the nomination:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511425503

Most likely, each side will coalesce around their party's nominee and perhaps some on each side will choose not to vote. In the end and in every race, I think it's most important to elect a Democrat rather than a Republican.