General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forumsthe demographics, they are changing..
It has been known for a while that the changing demographics favor the democrats. The country is becoming more and more diversified and the white anglo saxons (I am one of them ) will no longer be the majority in a couple decades or less.
Given that the latino population is increasing fast and that they tend to vote democrat, its looking better and better for us democrats.
At 538, they have this interesting interactive tool they call the "swing-o-matic". Fun to play with :
here
If their assumptions about turnout for this year as well as current voting trends hold, the nominee will easily carry the country.
House of Roberts
(5,184 posts)Chris Ladd of the Houston Chronicle (The Chron) conceded the 2016 Dem nominee 257 electoral votes. George Will conceded Hillary 242 electoral votes last year, for the same demographic reasons.
LonePirate
(13,431 posts)I honestly do not see how this election is close regardless of our nominee.
drray23
(7,637 posts)He will take a big hit amongst the latino for sure. Using that tool, moving latino vote from 71% D to 80 % D would give us north carolina.. Likewise for only 3 % more african american turnout. That would be a rout for the GOP. I am not sure the results will be widly different, be it Hilary or Bernie.