General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsGallup: Obama vs. Romney among several different demographics:
There are a few surprises here, anything you see of note? (This is taken from the same sample of Gallup tracking polls that found Romney has a huge lead among veterans)
http://www.gallup.com/poll/154973/Structure-Presidential-Race-Shows-Little-Change-Far.aspx
Presidential Candidate Vote Preferences by Group
Overall: (46% Obama/46% Romney)
Groups in favor of Obama:
- Black (88% Obama/6% Romney)
- Democrat (88/8)
- Liberal (83/12)
- Nonwhite (76/16)
- No religion (68/22)
- Hispanic (65/25)
- Nonreligious (60/31)
- 18 to 29 (57/33)
- Not married (56/35)
- Moderate (55/34)
- Postgraduate (54/41)
- Less than $36,000 annual income (53/37)
- East (52/39)
- Women (50/42)
- Moderately religious (49/43)
- 30 to 49 (48/44)
- Midwest (47/44)
- West (47/45)
- Catholic (47/44)
Tied:
- Some college (46/46)
Groups in favor of Romney:
- Republican (90% Romney/7% Obama)
- Conservative (76/17)
- Highly religious (58/35)
- Non-Hispanic white (54/38)
- Married (54/39)
- 65+ (53/39)
- Protestant/Christian (52/40)
- South (52/40)
- Men (50/42)
- $36,000 to $89,999 annual income (49/44)
- $90,000 or more annual income (49/45)
- 50 to 64 (48/44)
- College graduate (47/46)
- High school or less (46/44)
- Independent (43/41)
SoutherDem
(2,307 posts)post grad Obama, makes sense
some college Tied, trend being established
College grad/no college, trend shot to hell
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)on all Pro-Obama groups where his numbers are at 50% approval or better.
LonePirate
(13,431 posts)Obama will win CA, HI, NM, OR and WA by at least 10-20 points each. He will also win CO and NV while AZ will be close if he loses it. The other, far less populous states in the West will be Romney's. Overall, Obama has a far larger lead in the West than 2 points, especially when weighted proportionally to population and likely vote totals.