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boxman15

(1,033 posts)
Thu May 31, 2012, 09:10 PM May 2012

Gallup: Obama vs. Romney among several different demographics:

There are a few surprises here, anything you see of note? (This is taken from the same sample of Gallup tracking polls that found Romney has a huge lead among veterans)

http://www.gallup.com/poll/154973/Structure-Presidential-Race-Shows-Little-Change-Far.aspx

Presidential Candidate Vote Preferences by Group
Overall: (46% Obama/46% Romney)

Groups in favor of Obama:

- Black (88% Obama/6% Romney)
- Democrat (88/8)
- Liberal (83/12)
- Nonwhite (76/16)
- No religion (68/22)
- Hispanic (65/25)
- Nonreligious (60/31)
- 18 to 29 (57/33)
- Not married (56/35)
- Moderate (55/34)
- Postgraduate (54/41)
- Less than $36,000 annual income (53/37)
- East (52/39)
- Women (50/42)
- Moderately religious (49/43)
- 30 to 49 (48/44)
- Midwest (47/44)
- West (47/45)
- Catholic (47/44)

Tied:
- Some college (46/46)

Groups in favor of Romney:
- Republican (90% Romney/7% Obama)
- Conservative (76/17)
- Highly religious (58/35)
- Non-Hispanic white (54/38)
- Married (54/39)
- 65+ (53/39)
- Protestant/Christian (52/40)
- South (52/40)
- Men (50/42)
- $36,000 to $89,999 annual income (49/44)
- $90,000 or more annual income (49/45)
- 50 to 64 (48/44)
- College graduate (47/46)
- High school or less (46/44)
- Independent (43/41)

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Gallup: Obama vs. Romney among several different demographics: (Original Post) boxman15 May 2012 OP
Education level is a little surprising SoutherDem May 2012 #1
Note that the Republicans/Right Wing has declared a defacto war Dawson Leery May 2012 #2
I find that 47/45 number for the West demo to be suspicious LonePirate May 2012 #3

SoutherDem

(2,307 posts)
1. Education level is a little surprising
Thu May 31, 2012, 09:30 PM
May 2012

post grad Obama, makes sense
some college Tied, trend being established
College grad/no college, trend shot to hell

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)
2. Note that the Republicans/Right Wing has declared a defacto war
Thu May 31, 2012, 10:15 PM
May 2012

on all Pro-Obama groups where his numbers are at 50% approval or better.

LonePirate

(13,431 posts)
3. I find that 47/45 number for the West demo to be suspicious
Thu May 31, 2012, 10:17 PM
May 2012

Obama will win CA, HI, NM, OR and WA by at least 10-20 points each. He will also win CO and NV while AZ will be close if he loses it. The other, far less populous states in the West will be Romney's. Overall, Obama has a far larger lead in the West than 2 points, especially when weighted proportionally to population and likely vote totals.

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