Toomey Way Ahead in Pennsylvania --- Strickland Leads Portman in Ohio

[DonViejo]

A new Quinnipiac poll finds Sen. Pat Toomey (R) beating Joe Sestak (D) in a U.S. Senate match up, 48% to 33%, and topping Katie McGinty (D), 48% to 32%.

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http://politicalwire.com/2015/08/25/toomey-way-ahead-in-pennsylvania/

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Strickland Leads Portman in Ohio

A new Quinnipiac poll in Ohio shows Ted Strickland (D) just ahead of Sen. Rob Portman (R) in a possible U.S. Senate match up, 44% to 41%.

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http://politicalwire.com/2015/08/25/strickland-leads-portman-in-ohio-2/

[spinbaby]

1. To be fair

Most of us in PA aren't paying attention yet.

[still_one]

2. It is still disturbing, and Toomey is not new to the PA scene. Now maybe your assessment is correct,

and perhaps the large population areas weren't given the proper weighting

[spinbaby]

3. Toomey isn't particularly popular

So give it time. If he gets any kind of decent opposition, he's toast. What worries me, though, is that the Democratic Party in this state sometimes seems to just give up before the race is run.

[still_one]

6. Well then I hope the Democratic party in Pennsylvania, doesn't let us down, because PA is important

[PRETZEL]

4. Big part is that it's early still

only Sestak and McGinty are in.

Also, the budget impasse has taken center stage.

After the new year it'll be different.

[dsc]

5. the samples for these polls are weird

Ohio has 30 D 27 R while PA 33 D and 33 R meaning they have PA more R than OH which is opposite of how they have been since the late 1940's. Dukakis carried PA for example and the margin in PA was more than OH for both Clinton and Obama and of course Gore and Kerry carried PA but lost OH. In short, it is hard to see this poll as being correct in terms of the relative strength of our party on those states.