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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDonald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates - By Nate Silver
9:51 AM JUL 29, 2015 By NATE SILVER
Despite what you may have read elsewhere or heard from the man himself Donald Trump is not all that popular with Republican voters. Sure, hes in first place in many polls. But Trump is near the back of the pack by another important measure.
In the chart below, Ive taken an average of favorability ratings from seven polls of Republican voters that were conducted wholly or partly after Trump made his comments about John McCain on July 18. They include national polls from CNN, Public Policy Polling and YouGov, along with polls of Iowa and New Hampshire from each of Marist College and Monmouth University.1
On average in these polls, Trumps favorability ratings among Republicans are barely better than break-even: 47 percent favorable and 43 percent unfavorable. Among the 17 Republican candidates, Trumps net favorable rating, +4, ranks 13th, ahead of only Chris Christie, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham and George Pataki.
And yet, in these same polls, Trump is the first choice of an average of 20 percent of Republican voters the highest in the field, ahead of Scott Walker (14 percent) and Jeb Bush (12 percent).
Whats going on? On Twitter yesterday, I likened Trump to the band Nickelback: disliked by most people but with a few very passionate admirers. The best contrast to Trump is Marco Rubio: like a lite rock radio station, hes broadly acceptable but few peoples favorite. Rubios favorable ratings are much higher (56 percent) than The Donalds, and his unfavorable ratings are much lower (16 percent). But only 6 percent of Republicans list Rubio as their first choice.
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http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/donald-trump-is-the-nickelback-of-gop-candidates/
onehandle
(51,122 posts)Blue Owl
(50,393 posts)n/t
Syzygy321
(583 posts)I used to sing "Photograph" to my toddler while pushing her on the swings and when I put her to bed. She'd look up at me every night and giggle, "You forgot Copsies!". (That was her word for the stanza that goes, "The cops hated us hanging out..."
Do the Trendy People want me to hate Nickelback? Why?
malaise
(269,022 posts)Nate Silver has Bush at #10 - that's great news
Jake Stern
(3,145 posts)but I'll take their entire discography on loop over a single sentence from Trump.